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When people hear mention of dynasty leagues, oftentimes their first association is prospects. That's the fun of them, right? What's a bird in the hand when you can have one in the bush?

Well ... not exactly. True, a steady trickle of prospects is what sustains a dynasty, first supplementing the core before eventually overtaking it, but the winning never happens if the core is never established. And so often in the breathless pursuit of the Next Big Thing, the last big thing already doing the thing gets passed over.

Still, it can be tricky to balance present and future in a dynasty league, whether in speculating how many prime years an established player has left, estimating how many years before a top prospect comes through (presuming he ever does), or wondering when exactly to seize upon a 30-something who could put you over the top. Fair to say it's an inexact science.

To that end, I've devised a rank list using an inexact process that considers these three factors for prospects and established players alike:

  1. Present value: What a player is expected to be in 2021
  2. Future value: What his peak looks like and how much peak he has left
  3. Confidence rating: How confident I am in him meeting his present and future value

Each factor is measured on a 1-to-5 score, with five being the best, and a player's ranking is primarily determined by adding the scores. Ties typically go to the younger player, but personal preference plays a role as well. The distinctions become less evident further down the list, so at some point subjectivity has to reign.

Top 150 for dynasty leagues
RankPlayerAge (on 7/1)PresentFutureConfidence
1 235 5 5
2 22 5 5 5
3 22 5 5 5
4 26 5 5 5
5 29 5 4 5
6 28 5 4 5
7 28 5 4 5
8 28 5 4 5
9 25 5 5 4
10 27 5 5 4
11 29 5 4 4
12 28 5 4 4
13 30 5 35
14 27 5 4 4
15 33 535
16 28 5 44
17 26 5 53
18 27 5 5 3
19 31535
20 28 4 45
21 2844 5
22 2444 5
23 2545 4
24 264 5 4
25 23 4 53
26 20255
27 28 4 44
28 28 4 44
29 25 4 4 4
30 24 4 5 3
31 24453
32 24 4 5 3
33 31 4 35
34 3053 3
35 3053 3
36 233 5 3
37 2545 2
38 26 4 4 3
39 24 4 5 2
40 243 5 3
41 223 5 3
42 24 3 44
43 32524
44 2844 3
45 28 4 43
46 2225 4
47 27 4 52
48 26 4 52
49 34514
50 2125 3
51 232 5 3
52 2115 4
53 28 4 4 2
54 28 4 42
55 27 3 4 3
56 26 4 4 2
57 243 4 3
58 25352
59 263 5 2
60 30532
61 30 4 3 3
62 29532
63 30 4 3 3
64 31424
65 32 4 2 4
66 273 4 3
67 233 4 3
68 22343
69 23 3 4 3
70 232 5 3
71 27442
72 27 3 4 3
73 28 3 4 3
74 2833 4
75 36 5 1 3
76 33513
77 3352 2
78 2015 3
79 27 25 2
80 27342
81 263 3 3
82 263 4 2
83 26 3 4 2
84 22252
85 34 4 14
86 3441 4
87 3451 3
88 2943 2
89 28 4 3 2
90 27 4 3 2
91 27 3 33
92 32423
93 32324
94 33423
95 34414
96 3143 2
97 31 4 23
98 31 324
99 31 4 2 3
100 3143 2
101 263 4 2
102 26 3 4 2
103 26 3 4 2
104 2733 3
105 27342
106 23 3 42
107 24 3 4 2
108 24 3 4 2
109 24 3 42
110 223 5 1
111 252 5 2
112 2425 2
113 232 5 2
114 3043 2
115 28342
116 27342
117 2933 3
118 24 3 51
119 243 4 2
120 23342
121 23342
122 24 3 42
123 253 3 3
124 26 3 4 2
125 25 3 4 2
126 26 3 42
127 27 3 4 2
128 28 3 41
129 37 4 13
130 32251
131 28 2 4 2
132 20152
133 22152
134 1915 2
135 34413
136 31422
137 3242 2
138 25 431
139 27431
140 23251
141 24251
142 24251
143 24251
144 2933 2
145 30323
146 2932 3
147 31314
148 231 5 2
149 24 15 2
150 1815 2