Down on the Farm: Gausman could be here to stay
If you're thinking about using a waiver claim on Kevin Gausman, Scott White's here to tell you to stop thinking about it and just do it in our latest Down on the Farm.
First thing's first: You have to pick up Kevin Gausman. No need to make excuses. No reason to run through hypotheticals. Just do it.
Got him? All right, now let's talk about why you had to. Sure, we can all envision ways it doesn't work out for him, but he was the first pitcher selected in last year's draft. His talent is on a different level from most every other pitcher who gets a midseason look. Among those who've gotten the call this year, he stands out as the most promising, even above Tony Cingrani and Dan Straily.
So what are the drawbacks? Well, he doesn't have much professional experience, having made only 13 starts in the minors so far. But that hasn't stopped Jose Fernandez, a rookie with a similarly deep arsenal, from making a worthwhile Fantasy contribution this year. And unlike Fernandez, Gausman has at least competed at the college level.
And unlike some other big-name pitching prospects, he doesn't suffer from a lack of command. In eight starts at Double-A, he issued 1.0 walk per nine innings without compromising his power arsenal. His fastball reaches the high 90s, and he counters it with a changeup that most scouts rated the best among all amateur pitchers last year. Take that, Trevor Bauer.
Ever been tempted by Bauer? If you're a Fantasy owner reading a prospects column, you obviously have. Gausman hasn't gotten quite the same hype, but that's mostly because he's in the same system as Dylan Bundy. Even before Bundy's elbow started acting up, Gausman was considered the closer of the two to earning a rotation spot. And now that he has one, just imagine if he keeps it.
|1.||Josh Rutledge, 2B, Rockies||81|
|2.||Wil Myers, OF, Rays||73|
|3.||Tony Cingrani, SP, Reds||57|
|4.||Zack Wheeler, SP, Mets||49|
|5.||Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals||47|
|6.||Yasiel Puig, OF, Dodgers||40|
|7.||Billy Hamilton, SS, Reds||35|
|8.||Gerrit Cole, SP, Pirates||33|
|9.||Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins||32|
|10.||Trevor Bauer, SP, Indians||32|
This isn't me rehashing my Jurickson Profar-inspired anyone-with-that-kind-of-upside-is-worth-a-gamble argument from a few days ago. Gausman has a legitimate opening here. The Orioles have struggled to find a replacement for the injured Wei-Yin Chen, opting for Jair Jurrjens the first time through the rotation. Even if the Orioles send Gausman back to Double-A after Thursday's start (to stay well-stocked in the bullpen or whatever else), that turn will eventually come up again.
And even when Chen returns, Freddy Garcia isn't exactly a lock to keep his spot. Once the seal is broken on Gausman, he's perpetually next in line, provided he meets his end of the bargain.
"Well, a lot of good this does me now, Scott. Maybe if you had told me last week, I could have beaten my step-cousin-in-law to Gausman on the waiver wire."
Good news, my sarcastic friend with amazingly high familial bandwidth. The Orioles aren't the only organization moving to promote its top pitching prospect. Or I should say its top healthy pitching prospect. Stupid Bundy tripping up what should have been a smooth transition.
The Twins just sent down Vance Worley after his latest meltdown Wednesday at Atlanta. They haven't said Kyle Gibson will take his place, but considering he was recently in the running to step in for Pedro Hernandez before the Twins ultimately opted for Samuel Deduno, it's a legitimate possibility.
Recently recovered from Tommy John surgery, Gibson is more than ready for a major-league tryout at age 25, having proven readiness by throwing two complete-game shutouts -- a rarity in the minor leagues, particularly for top prospects -- in his last three starts. He took a no-hitter into the eighth inning in one.
And then there's Zack Wheeler, the most owned minor-league pitcher in Fantasy aside from the recently demoted Tony Cingrani. Just a few short weeks ago, his ascension seemed to have hit a roadblock with his slow adjustment to the heavy-hitting Pacific Coast League. Turns out he just needed a mechanical tweak. Over his last three starts, he has a 1.35 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings, prompting general manager Sandy Alderson to say he hopes to see him in the majors after two or three more starts.
Understand the significance of that report. It's not just Dodgers manager Don Mattingly saying the team has talked about Yasiel Puig maybe contributing at some point -- a throwaway comment that for some reason captured the imagination of Fantasy owners. It's the general manager of the Mets, the one guy who actually decides when Wheeler comes up, providing a timetable for bringing him up. That's big time.
In fact, if they were arriving at the same time, I'd actually prefer Wheeler to Gausman, with Gibson a somewhat distant third. But because Gausman gets a two- or three-week head start on Wheeler and because his value could skyrocket depending on what he does Thursday, he obviously takes priority.
When Diamondbacks pitcher Patrick Corbin walked off the mound following Monday's complete-game win at Colorado, it was the ninth straight start he had gone at least six innings without having allowed more than two runs.
As CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Danny Knobler highlighted Tuesday, Corbin became just the second pitcher since 1916 to begin a season having not allowed more than two runs while working at least six innings in nine straight starts, joining Ubaldo Jimenez (2010). Knobler also mentioned Justin Verlander accomplished the feat, while not at the beginning of the season, during a stretch of starts during his MVP campaign in 2011. Randy Johnson never went more than nine in a row. Roy Halladay has never reached that milestone. And the best Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw has done is made it five straight starts.
It's quite the accomplishment, but it's even more fascinating because Corbin had to earn his stripes this spring. It probably seems like a distant memory, but you might recall Corbin had to vie for the final spot in the rotation this spring with Tyler Skaggs and Randall Delgado, who ended up in the rotation at Triple-A Reno.
The Diamondbacks not only made the right decision given Corbin's success, but Skaggs and Delgado have delivered poor results for the Aces, amplifying the Diamondbacks' choice to keep Corbin. Skaggs, who entered the season considered the Diamondbacks' top prospect by Baseball America and MLB.com, is 4-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in nine starts, while Delgado, who was considered a top 50 prospect heading into 2012, is 1-3 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in nine starts.
Luckily for the Diamondbacks, they haven't had a need to call for starting pitcher help. All five of the team's starters -- Corbin, Trevor Cahill, Brandon McCarthy, Ian Kennedy and Wade Miley -- have made every turn through the rotation and Kennedy, who began the season as the team's ace, has the highest ERA at 4.70. Arizona is tied for third in quality starts (28) and tied for second in ERA for starters (3.29).
With the way Archie Bradley is tearing through the minors, he's likely to supplant Skaggs as the team's top prospect. Only problem is Bradley was just promoted to Double-A Mobile and unlikely to be on the radar if the Diamondbacks need a starter, making it imperative Skaggs and Delgado right the ship and don't take all season to make it happen. Though, Skaggs seems to be taking steps in the right direction, going 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA in his last three starts.
Now, it's time for five more players making headlines in the minors ...
Drew Pomeranz, SP, Rockies
Danny Salazar, SP, Indians
Erik Johnson, SP, White Sox
Robbie Ray, SP, Nationals
Matthew Bowman, SP, Mets
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