Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2018 and Busts: Model that beat experts warns about Elvis Andrus, Eric Hosmer
SportsLine simulated the MLB season 10,000 times and warns that Elvis Andrus, Eric Hosmer will be busts
Last season, Xander Bogaerts was plucked off Fantasy Baseball draft boards extremely early, but instead of repeating his impressive 115 runs, 98 RBI and 21 home runs from 2017, Bogaerts face-planted. He finished the 2017 season with just 62 RBI and 10 homers.
The team at SportsLine was all off Bogaerts last year. Their model had the Red Sox shortstop finishing well outside the top five at his position despite Bogaerts being the consensus No. 1 SS in most drafts.
SportsLine's model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy companies. And that same group is sharing their Fantasy Baseball positional rankings for 2018.
In fact, when it came to ranking players in Fantasy Football, SportsLine's Projection Model beat human experts last season when there were big differences in ranking. And the model was the closest-to-the-hole overall, meaning it best pinpointed where every player would finish each week. That could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.
One huge bust SportsLine is calling this season: Rangers SS Elvis Andrus. He has an ADP of 67, but SportsLine's model has him ranked behind shortstops like Bogaerts (80 ADP) and Didi Gregorius (106 ADP). Don't be fooled by Andrus' preseason hype.
Another player you'll want to steer clear of is Padres 1B Eric Hosmer. He is batting .273 (15-for-55) this spring after signing an eight-year deal with the Padres during the offseason.
Despite Hosmer's 25 homers in back-to-back seasons for the first time in his career, SportsLine's projections point towards him being overvalued at an ADP of 88. Rather than reach for this Fantasy Baseball bust, SportsLine has first basemen like Eric Thames (184 ADP) and Carlos Santana (157 ADP) ranked above him.
SportsLine's model is also calling for a starting pitcher to bust in a major way. Rather than targeting him, their projections call for Alex Wood, Gio Gonzalez and Kyle Hendricks to have similar production.
So what busts should you avoid in your Fantasy Baseball draft? And what big-name pitcher could ruin your season? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy Baseball rankings for every single position from the model that called Xander Bogaerts' face-plant last season, and find out.
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