Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Week 12: Model that beat experts says start Brian Dozier, sit David Fletcher

Week 12 of the Fantasy baseball season brings tough questions for owners as they set their lineups. Should you go with a proven option like Dodgers shortstop Corey Seager, who has a tough week of matchups, or roll the dice on a low-owned, high-upside option like Tigers second baseman Niko Goodrum, who entered the weekend having recorded a hit in seven of his last eight games? Is a player returning from injury like Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon (calf) safe to rely on in Week 12 Fantasy baseball rankings? These are the types of questions that owners will have to answer before determining their Week 12 Fantasy baseball strategy. And owners around the country know a victory this week could be the determining factor between their team making the playoffs or going home empty-handed. With so much on the line this week, be sure to consult the Week 12 Fantasy baseball rankings from SportsLine's advanced computer model. 

When it comes to ranking players, their model beat human experts in Fantasy football last season when there were big differences in ranking. And the model was closest-to-the-hole overall, meaning it best pinpointed where every player would finish each week. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Last week, the model was extremely high on A's shortstop Jurickson Profar, saying he'd finish in the top five shortstops despite being started in just 54 percent of leagues. The result: Profrar recorded five hits, three RBIs and one run scored in Oakland's three-game series against the Angels. Anybody who had him in their lineup was well on their way to a huge week.

Now the model, which simulates every pitch and every at-bat 10,000 times, has set its sights on MLB and revealed its Fantasy baseball rankings for the week of June 10-16.

One player the model is high on this week: Nationals second baseman Brian Dozier. He got off to a slow start offensively, but the veteran has been seeing the ball extremely well at the plate lately. In fact, Dozier entered the weekend having recorded multiple hits in three straight games, raising his slash line to .229/.321/.410 on the season through 188 at-bats. The 32-year-old is also on pace to hit his most home runs in a single season since 2017. 

SportsLine's model ranks Dozier as the No. 11 second baseman for Week 12 even though he's owned in just 52 percent of leagues. He's a player you can pick up and start with confidence this week and should be high up in your Fantasy baseball rankings 2019.

And a massive shocker: Angels third baseman David Fletcher, a top-10 player at his position according to market value, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top 25. 

Fletcher and the Angels will play six games this week against extremely tough pitching. Los Angeles will open the week with a two-game home stand against the Dodgers, who are allowing opponents to hit just .223 against them. They close with a four-game series on the road against the Rays, who boast the best pitching staff in baseball with a cumulative team ERA of 2.99. He's a player to consider putting on the bench.

The model is also calling for a surprising catcher you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top 10 of its Week 12 rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing.

So who should you sit and start this week? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 12 Fantasy baseball rankings for every position, plus see which catcher is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts in football big time last season, and find out.

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