Note: FanDuel is hosting a one-day Fantasy Baseball league tonight. It's $3 to enter and pays out $100,000 in cash prizes. First place wins $8,000. Sign up now!
As crazy as Monday was, an explanation may be the best way to start Tuesday. The cancellation in Baltimore threw me into a bit of disarray right off the bat. I generally abhor using the tool to replace one player in all of your lineups, but I didn't have much choice. Out with Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Adam Eaton, Caleb Joseph and Jimmy Paredes. Status: Irritated, but on task.
The weather in Texas became the next concern and the general consensus was there was about a 50 percent chance the game was played. I had two lineups with Taijuan Walker in them, several with Mariners hitters and a few with Rougned Odor. I hate starting pitchers in questionable weather, but I'll take more risks with hitters. I pulled Walker and replaced him with Jason Marquis. I left most of the hitters but pulled Nelson Cruz. Status: Shaken, not stirred.
Finally, Walt Weiss decided not to release his lineup until after FanDuel lineups had locked. I had a ton of Tulowitzki and Arenado last night. This was the final straw. Now, I didn't snap or anything and I didn't remove Tulowizki or Arenado, but I was officially on tilt and the games hadn't even started yet.
The point of all this? Baseball is a lot better than basketball, but you still need to pay attention the hour before the games. I tried to do something as simple as working out around 6:15 and fell way behind. Simple solution, I just won't workout anymore.
In all seriousness you don't have to let DFS run your life, but your winning percentage can be tied to your availability on nights like last night. Also, if you don't want to give up your entire evening, this makes the best case for FanDuel's lineup locks. Once 7:06 rolls around, there's nothing you can do about it anyway.
Special note: The Orioles and White Sox have been postponed again. Avoid players from these lineups.
Johnny Cueto ($10,400) vs. Brewers: Cueto has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this year and the Brewers have been one of the worst offenses. How could he not be our top pick? By the measure of FIP only Max Scherzer and Collin McHugh can best Cueto's 1.94. Cueto should be used heavily in cash games, but I think this matchup is even good enough to use in tournaments, especially with the softer pricing for hitters.
Clayton Kershaw ($11,500) vs. Giants: Kershaw is striking out an astounding 12.95 batters per nine innings, the best in the majors so far. So why is his ERA still north of four? He's surrendering a .393 BABIP and 21.4 percent of fly balls against him are leaving the park. All signs point to a classic Kershaw performance being right around the corner. Still, it's hard to pay $1,100 more for the ace with Cueto's matchup.
Tyson Ross ($8,400) vs. Astros: Much like teammate James Shields, Ross has struck out batters at a career high rate so far this year. As I said yesterday, it's difficult to see that trend ending against the Astros. Even when they score runs, they strikeout a ton. The main benefit for Ross? Roberto Hernandez is on the bump for the Astros. Ross is my top tournament play of the night.
Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Kendrick: Kendrick is the type of pitcher you can take advantage of no matter where he's pitching, but he's been especially terrible at Chase Field. He has given up 44 base runners and five home runs in 23 career innings there. I would want to make sure Chip Hale doesn't get creative with his lineup, but anyone in the top six should be in play tonight.
Tigers vs. Mike Pelfrey: Pelfrey has actually looked like a major league starter so far this year, but I don't expect that to last. He has a career high 61 percent ground ball percentage and is stranding 90 percent of runners that reach base. The Tigers offense is starting to click and I like it even more if Jose Iglesias ($2,400) remains in the two hole.
Pirates vs. Travis Wood: There were a lot of choices for this spot. The Marlins, Cardinals and Rays all get matchups against inexperienced pitchers. The first time a team sees a pitcher can be both enticing and frightening. I'm choosing to stick with the safer option. We know Travis Wood, the Pirates know Travis Wood. The Pirates should crush Travis Wood.
1. Paul Goldschmidt ($4,500) vs. Kendrick
2. Nelson Cruz ($5,000) vs. Detwiler
3. Giancarlo Stanton ($4,900) vs. Montero
4. Kris Bryant ($3,500) vs. Locke
5. Joey Votto ($4,100) vs. Lohse
1. Asdrubal Cabrera ($2,200) vs. Whitley
2. Justin Ruggiano ($2,200) vs. Detwiler
3. Andrelton Simmons ($2,400) vs. Cole
It's going to be very rare that I suggest a pitcher against a healthy Rockies lineup, but it's not a bad contrarian play tonight. I see signs that Archie Bradley's ($7,000) K rate should be higher than it is and he's doing a great job of preventing solid contact. At his price he can afford to allow a couple of runs and still provide great value. Gerardo Parra ($2,400) is a nice value play and has an absurd history against Cueto. Parra is 7-for-20 with two home runs against the ace. There's not much weirder than trying to predict a home run on a specific night, especially the first home run of a player's career. Well, that's exactly what I'm doing with Kris Bryant ($3,500) on Tuesday. Go yard, young man.