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Some nights you feel pretty good about the lineup you've put together, and some nights are like Monday. The five-game slate isn't great for Fantasy purposes, with two of the five most expensive players available out with injuries and two of them playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
If you want to go with a start, Stephen Curry is probably your only safe bet, because Chris Paul and DeAndre Jordan are staring at a potential blowout against the Timberwolves. Of course Jordan did have 17 rebounds at halftime Sunday, so a blowout might not be enough to slow him down. If you really want to double up on stars, I would go with him over Paul, even with handful of good, cheap options available at center tonight.
Part of the problem with going cheap at center is it's tough to fill out a roster if you do so. Only 15 players come in over $7,000 tonight, and only one player is either small or power forward, once you take away Anthony Davis and Blake Griffin. You're going to have to go cheap on SF and PF, which means going cheap at center could leave you with too much money left over; I had to upgrade from Alexis Ajinca to Gorgui Dieng to Hassan Whiteside while building my roster, because I could leave myself with $2,000 extra.
In all likelihood, you're going to have some extra cash left over tonight. It's just that kind of night. Don't kill yourself trying to get to $60,000. If you like Robert Covington at $6,200 more than Nerlens Noel at $6,800, don't force Noel in just because you have some money left. It's better to play someone you like and leave money on the table.
Toronto at Philadelphia
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 401.4
Nerlens Noel's offensive game has come a long way of late and this Raptors frontcourt isn't exactly the toughest test in the world.
Golden State at Brooklyn
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 390.3
Deron Williams has stepped his game up considerably of late and is still very reasonably priced. But it's difficult to rely on him against this defense.
Phoenix at Miami
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 385.8
Goran Dragic revenge game! He has predictably struggled to mesh in Miami next to Dwyane Wade, but the drop in his price makes him a worthy gamble.
L.A. Clippers at Minnesota
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 397.3
This feels like a game where the Clippers' reserves could play a big role. However, that team's bench is so bad, there isn't really anyone you want to rely on beyond Jamal Crawford.
New Orleans at Dallas
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 386.7
Eric Gordon has been up and down lately, but you have to like his overall production of late, especially against a matchup like Monta Ellis.
My roster for March 2 at FanDuel.com:
PG Stephen Curry, Warriors at Brooklyn ($10,000)
PG Goran Dragic, Heat vs. Phoenix ($6,300)
SG Eric Gordon, Pelicans at Dallas ($6,300)
SG Jamal Crawford, Clippers at Minnesota ($5,700)
SF Robert Covington, 76ers vs. Toronto ($6,200)
SF Michael Beasley, Heat vs. Phoenix ($3,500)
PF Markieff Morris, Suns at Miami ($6,900)
PF Nerlens Noel, 76ers vs. Toronto ($6,800)
C Hassan Whiteside, Heat vs. Phoenix ($7,600)
Alexis Ajinca, C, Pelicans at Dallas ($4,800)
Tyson Chandler is still a very, very good defensive big man, and has covered up for a lot of the Mavericks' shortcomings this season, but he isn't a miracle worker. The Mavericks simply don't have the bodies to get the job done on the glass, and that is something I have looked to take advantage of this season. They rank dead last in the NBA in defensive rebound percentage, and aren't much better on the other side, besting just eight teams on the offensive glass. Ajinca didn't get to take advantage of that the last time these two teams matchedup, but he enters play tonight riding high with three games of 20-plus FanDuel points in a row, including a massive 38.6-point effort against Miami Friday. He should remain a solid play as long as Anthony Davis is sidelined.
Hassan Whiteside, C, Heat vs. Phoenix ($7,600)
Opposing centers have had a good time against the Suns this season, averaging 45.8 FanDuel points per-48 minutes against them according to RotoGrinders.com, the 11th-highest mark in the league. Whiteside enters play tonight undervalued, compared to his recent play, as he is averaging 36.8 FanDuel points per game since the team's acquisition of Goran Dragic. The Suns rank just 18th in offensive rebound percentage and 25th in defensive rebound percentage, so Whiteside could have a huge night on the boards.
Luol Deng, SF, Heat vs. Phoenix ($6,400)
Deng has been very up and down lately, but the highs have mostly overshadowed the lows, as he has four games with 30-plus FanDuel points over the last six. Of course, the two where he has fallen short have seen him log just 9.1 and 6.3 points, respectively, so the lows have been very low. Still, the Heat need a lot from him in Chris Bosh's absence, and he has thrived at times playing power forward in smaller lineups surrounded by three guards. Tonight's game should be a great chance for Deng to see extended time at the four, and he plays up a little better athletically there. Lets look for a big bounce back game in what should be a fast-paced matchup.
Overpay of the night
Chris Paul, PG, Clippers at Minnesota ($10,000)
On a night with so few choices for elite players, you want to stick with safe calls here. Paul has been tremendous lately and should be a good bet to throw up another huge line against the Timberwolves, but you have to be at least a little scared on the second night of a back-to-back. He is averaging 39.4 FanDuel points per game on the second night of back-to-backs, which is actually slightly better than what he averages with only one day of rest, though significantly less than what he averages with multiple days of rest. He played just 25 minutes the last time the Clippers took the Timberwolves off, finishing with 27.6 FanDuel points. The possibility of a blowout and early end to the night for Paul is enough to scare me off, even with how well he has played of late.
@legsanity: If you were to expand from a standard eight-category league to, say, 10 categories, which two would you add?.
CT: I'm no fan of turnovers as a category, so I'm glad to see you going with an eight-category format. If you expand to 10, skip right over turnovers, which essentially punishes players who do things like create, shoot and, you know, actually play. Any category you could win by simply not fielding a lineupn is not a category worth your time. I would go with assist-to-turnover ratio, which at least attempts to reward players for going out there and trying to do something. My 10th category would be double-doubles, in an attempt to boost the value of the forward and center positions, which sorely lag behind guard.
CT: I wouldn't drop Andrea Bargnani at this point. Yes, that felt as weird being typed as it probably did being read. Bargnani is a decidedly mediocre NBA player, but he can be a useful Fantasy option in the right scenario, and his eligibility at forward and center makes him a far more useful piece than Galloway. Galloway is the very definition of "replaceable" at guard, especially as his shooting percentages and assist rate have tumbled. If Taj Gibson is out for a week or more, Mirotic could be a big-time contributor for a Bulls offense that is suddenly very shaky.