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There are six games on the NBA schedule, and none of them feature an elite point guard making more than $9,000 on FanDuel. I actually consider this a good thing for the position tonight, because it makes it easier to highlight just how many good values there are on any given night.
Compare point guard to power forward for a second:
• There are seven
power forwards available tonight between $6,500 and $5,000. Those seven
are averaging 23.1 FD points since ASB, led by Andrea Bargnani's 26.8 average. There are 10 point guards between
$6,500 and $5,000. Those 10 are averaging 25.0 FD points since ASB, led
by Jeremy Lin's 30.0 average.
• If you take Jarrett Jack and his 17.6 per-game average out of the mix, the point guard group is averaging 25.9 points per game; if you remove Tristan Thompson, the lowest of the power forwards, the average jumps up to just 24.1.
The point guard middle class runs deeper and provides better bang for the buck than other positions, which isn't a surprise given the way the league is going. While it is enticing to go for the big names when they are the likes of Chris Paul and Stephen Curry, there is always reliable value to be found on the lower tiers as well, which isn't necessarily the case at other positions.
Orlando at Indiana
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 389.8
The Magic are tough to pin down as long as Nikola Vucevic is out, but I love how Victor Oladipo is playing lately. He is averaging 36.4 FanDuel points per game since the All-Star break.
New Orleans at Brooklyn
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 391.4
We haven't had the opportunity to see Anthony Davis go up against this Nets' frontcourt, but he did average 45.6 FanDuel points per game against them last season, nearly four points higher than his season average. He'll be fine.
Cleveland at Dallas
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 389.5
I almost went with Tristan Thompson for this one, given the Mavericks' rebounding issues. He could have a big game off the bench.
Toronto at San Antonio
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 386.9
The Spurs are starting to hit their stride, but I'm still not trusting Tony Parker given all the other good options.
New York at Utah
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 381.5
The Knicks have the second-worst offense in the league since the All-Star break. The Jazz have the best defense. I wouldn't think about anyone but Andrea Bargnani here, and I wouldn't even feel great about that.
Detroit at LA Lakers
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 404.8
I love Greg Monroe, Reggie Jackson and Andre Drummond for this one. The Lakers remain a mess, and they don't have anyone who can slow Drummond and Monroe down, no matter how many times Byron Scott changes his lineup.
My roster for March 10 at FanDuel.com:
PG George Hill, Pacers vs. Orlando ($6,300)
PG Jeremy Lin, Lakers vs. Detroit ($5,300)
SG Victor Oladipo, Magic at Indiana ($8,000)
SG Louis Williams, Raptors at San Antonio ($5,100)
SF Kawhi Leonard, Spurs vs. Toronto ($7,600)
SF Tobias Harris, Magic at Indiana ($6,500)
PF Derrick Favors, Jazz vs. New York ($7,600)
PF Amar'e Stoudemire, Mavericks vs. Cleveland ($4,800)
C Andre Drummond, Pistons at L.A. Lakers ($8,300)
Andre Drummond, C, Pistons at L.A. Lakers($8,300)
The Lakers cycle a number of big men in and out of the lineup, but none of them are particularly good. Whether it is Jordan Hill or Ed Davis or Robert Sacre, the Lakers tend to bleed points in the frontcourt, allowing the sixth-most FanDuel points to opposing centers, both over the last three weeks and for the season as a whole. Drummond did a solid job against them the last time these two teams matched up, dropping 28.6 FanDuel points in just 25 minutes. His minutes are up to 33.4 since the All-Star break, so expect him to play a much bigger role in this one.
Kawhi Leonard, SF, Spurs vs. Toronto($7,600)
Leonard has recovered nicely from a subpar February, during which he posted his lowest FanDuel point average (29.9 per game) of the season. Leonard has 35-plus FanDuel points in each March game, and has actually been able to extend that stretch back six games, during which he is averaging 39.5 FanDuel points. Leonard's ability to fill up the box score -- including defensive categories -- is so vital in FanDuel, and he is going to be looking to make up for a bad performance the last time he faced the Raptors. Leonard had just 17.5 FanDuel points against Toronto in early February, but I am expecting a big game to make up for it.
George Hill, PG, Pacers vs. Orlando($6,300)
This is another good example of why it doesn't make much sense to spend big money at the point guard position. Hill is averaging 29.1 FanDuel points per game since the All-Star break, and has been incredibly consistent while doing so; he has 25-plus in five of his last six games. Hill doesn't post huge scoring or assist numbers, but he contributes a little bit everywhere, averaging 14.7-5.3-6.5-1.7 over the last six games, with no turnovers. The Magic have improved their defense under interim coach James Borrego, but Hill still had 32.7 FanDuel points in 20 minutes against them in their last matchup.
Overpay of the night
Tim Duncan, PF, Spurs vs. Toronto ($7,200)
There aren't a ton of great power forward options tonight, and Duncan costs more than all but four of them. He might be appealing tonight because he is just about alone among the middle class at the position; he and Derrick Favors are the only PF available between $7,900 and $6,300 tonight, which means he might be the only round peg available if you are left with a round hole at the end of your lineup. However, while Favors is averaging 33.8 FanDuel points per game since the All-Star break, Duncan is down to 27.4. This isn't a bad matchup at all for Duncan, but I would rather pay for more of a sure thing (Greg Monroe, Kevin Love) or go cheap and hope to hit on someone at the bottom (Carlos Boozer, Andrea Bargnani). Duncan is kind of in no man's land, especially since he hasn't reached 30 FanDuel points in any of his last five games and is averaging just 22.9 in that span.
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CT: This seems incredibly reactionary, at least with regards to Wright vs. Len. Wright has 21 points and 15 rebounds in 55 minutes over his last two games, which is great; however he is averaging just 6.2 points and 4.3 rebounds over the last 10. He'll give you a block and a steal per game too, but that doesn't come close to what Len can provide. He is averaging 7.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.9 blocks over the last nine, and the ankle injury that kept him out Saturday is not a serious issue. The McLemore-for-Snell swap makes much more sense, because Snell has been incredibly underwhelming since Jimmy Butler's injury. Neither player will fill up the box score, but McLemore is playing better of late, averaging 12.2 points, 1.6 3-pointers and 1.4 steals per game over the last five. Snell's shot has completely abandoned him after a strong run, and he is at just 7.2 points, 1.6 3-pointers and 0.6 steals in that same span. Neither Snell nor McLemore is likely to make a true difference, so go with the one who is playing better right now.
CT: The Celtics are taking it very easy with Olynyk, who has played just 43 minutes in three games since returning from an 18-game absence due to an ankle injury. His role should increase as he gets his legs under him, but he has connected on just two of his first 17 shots since returning, so you really aren't getting anything out of him anyways. I like Olynyk as a contributor down the stretch, but you're basically stashing him until he gets going, just like Dwight. Howard has the most upside, but he's also only four weeks into a 6-8 week recovery timetable, so Olynyk could be "back" sooner. Howard has more upside, but Olynyk's all-around contributions probably give him the edge in category-based formats.
Waiver Wire flier
Isaiah Canaan, G, 76ers
Canaan struggled out of the gate upon arriving in Philadelphia, shooting just 34.0 percent from the field in his first five games with just two more assists than turnovers. He looked overmatched as a lead guard, and looked like a waste of a waiver-wire pickup for everyone who ran out to add him. He is starting to figure things out lately, however, averaging 18.3 points and 5.3 assists per game on 41.1 percent shooting with 4.5 3-pointers per game. What makes this little run even more impressive is that the last three games have come against the Thunder, Jazz and Hawks, three of the best defenses in the league right now. The track record is still very small, and Canaan's overall numbers in Philadelphia are still very pedestrian, but he's starting to show flashes, which is all Fantasy players need at this point. If he's available in your league -- and he still is in 33 percent on CBSSports.com -- take a flier.