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If you won't be around a computer or a phone with access to twitter around 6:30, you probably shouldn't even bother playing tonight, because things could get wacky. With an extended All-Star break looming for most teams just after tonight's matchups, it wouldn't be at all shocking to see some big names sitting out to get an extra day or two of rest.
Of course, that means those of you players who are willing to sit around and wait for lineups to trickle in before the FanDuel lock deadline hits could strike it right tonight. We already have guys like Tyson Chandler, Monta Ellis and Carmelo Anthony nursing injuries, and it wouldn't be right if Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer and Spurs coach Greg Poppovich didn't sit out one or two -- or more -- of their stars tonight in the name of rest.
If you can't justify the kind of time commitment later tonight, you can still play, but you probably want to avoid teams playing on back-to-back nights; that means no Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, L.A. Lakers, Memphis or Sacramento players tonight for fear their coaches may decide an extra night off is worth it. Tonight could be an outlier, which means your normal plan may be thrown into complete disarray. That could make things more fun, depending on how you look at it. I'll be willing to make late changes to my lineup if need be, though I did end up avoiding players on either the first or second night of a back-to-back, just in case.
Good luck tonight, and enjoy the long break before the next big night of basketball; it's only nine days away!
New York at Orlando
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 396.7
With Carmelo Anthony likely out, the Knicks are a grab-bag of mediocre-at-best options. Pick one and hope you get lucky, I guess, because there's nobody dependable on this roster right now; 12 different players saw the floor in Monday's game.
Atlanta at Boston
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 391.9
I wouldn't put it past Mike Budenholzer to pull a Greg Poppovich and give some of his stars an extra day of rest, especially with four of them set to compete in All-Star competitions this weekend.
San Antonio at Detroit
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 390.4
The Spurs intentionally avoid going for offensive rebounds, in favor of gettting back on defense, so Greg Monroe could be in line for a good one. Andre Drummond, who does much of his work on the offensive glass, may have a tougher time of things.
Washington at Toronto
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 379.3
The Wizards tend to kill Fantasy value, so I wouldn't feel great about any Raptors, though DeMar DeRozan has played well relative to his price lately.
Sacramento at Milwaukee
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 393.9
In their last game playing for coach Tyrone Corbin, it's hard to know what to think of the Kings. They did not look good Tuesday in an 18-point loss to the Bulls.
Golden State at Minnesota
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 397.9
The Wolves have been downright feisty since Kevin Martin, Nikola Pekovic and Ricky Rubio have returned, but you might still find value in the depths of the Warriors' rotation in the event of a blowout.
Indiana at New Orleans
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 384.8
If Anthony Davis' shoulder injury keeps him out again, you have to like Eric Gordon and Tyreke Evans filling gigantic roles on offense.
Memphis at Oklahoma City
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 379.3
Mitch McGary might be the darling of the DFS community after coming out of nowhere to post two big lines following Steven Adams' injury, but I wouldn't want to rely on him in this matchup.
Miami at Cleveland
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 382.3
LeBron James wasn't at the top of his game the last time these two met, and he still had 42.8 FanDuel points. He's kind of good.
Utah at Dallas
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 393.4
With Tyson Chandler out, the Mavericks will like play small again tonight, which creates a conundrum; the Jazz bigs could kill on the boards, but they might not be able to find minutes for all three. Prioritize Derrick Favors, who can play either big position.
LA Lakers at Portland
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 397.9
LaMarcus Aldridge is just 15 of 38 in two games against the Lakers, but I expect him to regress to the mean in a big way tonight.
Houston at LA Clippers
Combined FanDuel points allowed per game: 386.5
The Rockets have dialed up the pace lately, and they are undermanned inside, so DeAndre Jordan could be in for another big night. The matchup isn't so great for Spencer Hawes, who might struggle to keep up with Houston's athletic fours.
My roster for Feb. 11 at FanDuel.com:
PG Chris Paul, Clippers vs. Houston($10,000)
PG JJ Barea, Mavericks vs. Utah($4,800)
SG Eric Gordon, Pelicans vs. Indiana($6,300)
SG Elijah Millsap, Jazz at Dallas ($3,800)
SF Khris Middleton, Bucks vs. Sacramento($6,500)
SF Andre Iguodala, Warriors at Minnesota ($4,500)
PF LaMarcus Aldridge, Trail Blazers vs. L.A. Lakers($9,600)
PF David West, Pacers at New Orleans($6,800)
C Hassan Whiteside, Heat at Cleveland ($7,700)
JJ Barea, PG, Mavericks vs. Utah($4,800)
Barea has scored at least 20 FanDuel points in five straight games since Rajon Rondo's injury, and more importantly, has done so while logging 32 or more minutes in three straight. The Mavericks have been forced to rely on him a ton, and that shoulldn't change tonight, with Monta Ellis expected to sit out as well. The Jazz are actually a fairly stingy defense from a FanDuel perspective, but Barea is one of the safest sub-$5,000 bets you can make at this point.
Hassan Whiteside, C, Heat at Cleveland($7,700)
Whiteside's value peaked last week at $8,400, and I still thought about starting him given how productive he has been. One ankle issue and a subpar performance against the Knicks in his return dropped his price nearly $1,000, but shouldn't be enough to scare Fantasy owners away. The Cavaliers are much improved on defense, but are still just middle of the road against opposing centers, allowing 46.11 FanDuel points per-48 minutes over the last three weeks. Whiteside's value is falling, which makes this the perfect time to jump back on board.
Elijah Millsap, SG, Jazz at Dallas($3,800)
Millsap is still very much unproven, but he has scored 20-plus points in each of his last two games, and should continue to see big minutes with Joe Ingles and Rodney Hood still dealing with injuries. He has scored in double figures just once in 18 career NBA games, but he has foound other ways to contribute over the last two games, totaling 14 rebounds, five assists, two blocks and five steals. The Mavericks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league and have been ravaged by injury, so there's a good chance he can continue to chip in at a cheap price.
Overpay of the night
Kyle Lowry, PG, Raptors vs. Washington ($7,900)
Lowry played some of the best ball of his career when DeMar DeRozan was sidelined by an injury in December, doing all he could to keep the Raptors afloat -- and earned his first All-Star berth as a result. It shouldn't come as much of a surprise then that the return of DeRozan in mid-January coincided with a big dip in Lowry's production, and he hasn't been able to pull out of the tailspin yet. His FanDuel price has taken a big hit as a result, but you're still paying quite a bit for someone who is averaging 26.1 FanDuel points per game over the last five. Despite the slump, Lowry is still the eighth most expensive option of the night at the deepest position in the league, and has to go against one of the toughest defenses in the league tonight. I don't like doubting Lowry, but I'm steering clear until he proves he can figure things out.
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@mylesduve: Do you see Lance or Beverley worth a waiver add? Would drop Hawes and/or Paul George
CT: I think waiting on George to make a big impact for your Fantasy team is something of a fool's errand, given how difficult the road to recovery will still be for him. Even if he hits the most optimistic projection, George won't be back until mid-March, so he won't be helping you get into the playoffs. Unless you are extremely comfortable in your chances of making the playoffs, he is the one to drop here, given Hawes' expanded role. Unfortunately, I'm pretty close to giving up on Stephenson, especially after reports indicated that the Hornets' acquisiton of Mo Williams was at least partially motivated by their desire to reduce Stephenson's role. Beverley is struggling mightily lately as well, so I might hang on to George and wait for a better option to come along the wire.
CT: Given how hard it is to find useful forwards, I don't think you can drop Nene. He struggles with consistency, but it's hard to find forwards who can provide the kind of passing numbers Nene is capable of, and that can give you a big boost in a categories league. So it comes down to Galloway against Clarkson, two players who weren't even in the discussion for playing time for their respective teams before their rosters were devastated by injury and underperformance. Galloway might have a better opportunity to put up numbers on a Knicks team that is about to lose Carmelo Anthony for the rest of the season. However, Galloway has also struggled mightily of late, shooting just 36.1 percent from the field over the last 10 games. Clarkson hasn't been much better, but the fact that his team plays at a much faster pace probably gives him the edge at this point. When faced with two players of similar skill and role, I will default to the one who gets a few extra possessions every game to work with.
Waiver Wire flier
Hollis Thompson, G, 76ers
Thompson proved he can be a useful Fantasy option last season, when he shot 40.1 percent from 3-point range and contributed nearly one 3-pointer per game despite a limited role. However, he has failed to build on the promise shown in his second season and has been overtaken at times in the rotation by the likes of Jerami Grant, K.J. McDaniels and Robert Covington. He has made a big return to the rotation of late, averaging 30.0 minutes per game over the last five games, while shooting 47.9 percent from the field and averaging 13.4 points per game, so it makes some sense that he is now the second-most added player in CBSSports.com leagues over the last week, with his ownership rising from seven to 34 percent. Unfortunately, he also missed each of his nine shots in Monday's game, highlighting the downside to relying on any of the still relatively unproven players on the Sixers' roster. He has to contend with a number of other players on the wing all desperate to prove they belong on an NBA roster, so there is no guarantee Thompson will continue to see much playing time moving forward. Taking a flier on anyone who shows promise on the Sixers can be a smart move, given their pace of play and the opportunity to steal a role, but you should do so understanding that the chances of hitting on someone like Covington remain very low.