2020 Fantasy Football Rankings: Model that beat experts says draft Evan Engram, avoid Le'Veon Bell

Proven three-down workhorse running backs are tough to find in the NFL. That's why backs like Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey are at the top of the 2020 Fantasy football rankings. With those players undoubtedly getting snatched up in the first few 2020 Fantasy football picks, you'll have to figure out which backs who could split work like Melvin Gordon, Chris Carson and Nick Chubb can still return huge production.

Having the optimal 2020 Fantasy football strategy at running back is just one part of the equation, however, since the best teams are loaded with value picks at every position. Before determining your 2020 Fantasy football strategy, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say. Their model has a proven history and can help identify the top 2020 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts, giving you a major advantage over your competition.

Last season, the model correctly said Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield would be a bust despite the fact that he was being drafted in the sixth round on average. It also nailed Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin as a breakout when he was being drafted well outside the top 15 wide receivers, and correctly predicted that quarterback Jameis Winston, who finished the season with an eye-popping 5,109 passing yards and 33 touchdowns, would be among the top sleepers. Anyone who followed their model's advice was well on their way to a league title.

Now, the model has simulated the entire 2020 NFL season 10,000 times and came up with some very surprising player projections. It's identified the top sleepers, breakouts and busts so you'll have an edge in your Fantasy football league. 

Top 2020 Fantasy football picks

One player the model is high on: Giants tight end Evan Engram. The first-round pick out of Ole Miss in 2017 had a breakout rookie campaign with 64 catches for 722 yards and six touchdowns. He's paced towards those numbers in 2018 and 2019, but injuries (hamstring in 2018, foot in 2019) have cut his seasons short. 

Fantasy players are being cautious with him in early 2020 drafts, making him the eighth tight end off the board, according to the latest 2020 Fantasy football ADP. Even with the injury risk, SportsLine's model is still high on him as one of the centerpieces of New York's offense with Daniel Jones under center, placing Engram No. 5 in its 2020 Fantasy football tight end rankings. He'll produce more than tight ends going off the board earlier like Darren Waller and Austin Hooper, so confidently target Engram as one of your top Fantasy football sleepers 2020.

Another surprise: The model is fading Jets running back Le'Veon Bell, even though he finished in the top 10 in touches last season. Bell is coming off a lackluster season in East Rutherford, N.J., rushing for just 789 yards on 245 carries and scoring only three touchdowns, his worst full season as a pro. 

Last season was Bell's first since 2013 in which he averaged less than 4.0 yards per carry, going for a career-worst 3.2. As a result, the Jets were ranked second-to-last in the NFL in rushing offense. Bell's receiving totals were also down in 2020, as he caught 78 passes for 461 yards (both full-season lows since 2013) and just one touchdown.

Despite Bell's 311 touches, which ranked eighth in the NFL last season, the Jets made moves in the offseason to lighten his load even further. New York added 37-year-old Frank Gore to be the No. 2 back in an attempt to spell Bell, who is entering the second year of a four-year, $52.5 million contract. SportsLine's model says Bell will again under-perform, ranking him as the No. 15 running back in the NFL, behind players like Josh Jacobs, Leonard Fournette and Chris Carson.

Where to find 2020 Fantasy football rankings

The model is also calling for a surprising wide receiver you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top 10 of its 2020 Fantasy football rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing.

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Visit SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

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