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Picking last in Round 1 stinks. You have no shot at one of the top eight or so running backs. You'll be lucky to get your mitts on Travis Kelce. And picking last in Round 1 means picking back-to-back in every single round, so you'll have all kinds of angst over players you want going in front of you. 

Oh well. Might as well resign yourself to taking Nick Chubb and Tyreek Hill to start building your roster. Boo hoo hoo. 

Here's how my team turned out: 

1.12: Nick Chubb
2.01: Tyreek Hill
3.12: Miles Sanders
4.01: Amari Cooper
5.12: Kareem Hunt
6.01: Chase Claypool
7.12: Justin Herbert
8.01: Dallas Goedert
9.12: Devin Singletary
10.01: Marvin Jones
11.12: Jalen Hurts
12.01: Giovani Bernard
13.12: Kenneth Gainwell
14.01: Sony Michel
15.12: Trey Lance

Before you even draft, go ahead and make your own personal top-13 rank list. The bad news? You have no shot at about 10 of the players you put on the list. The good news? You're guaranteed two of them. That's exactly how I wound up with Chubb and Hill.

You could even go so far as to make a top-40 list and know in your heart that you're promised to land four players from the list. Whatever it takes to make you feel better about picking 12th. 

Could I have snagged two running backs at the 12/13 turn? Sure could have, but I felt like Hill was a safer pick. No doubt, Harris' upside is grand, but his downside is worse than Hill's. Plus, I figured I would take a decent enough No. 2 running back at the Round 3/4 turn. 

Here's how that turned out: 

1.12: Nick Chubb
2.01: Tyreek Hill
3.12: Miles Sanders
4.01: Amari Cooper

Had I taken running backs early, the start would have been: 

1.12: Nick Chubb
2.01: Najee Harris
3.12: Amari Cooper
4.01: Chris Godwin

That fourth-round pick would have come down to Godwin or Tyler Lockett ... or maybe Myles Gaskin. As it turns out, I'm happier with how my team actually worked out. You may opt to do something similar with yours. 

Each of my first six picks were either running backs or wide receivers. This was done by design -- I didn't want to take a quarterback or a tight end unless they came at great values. That didn't happen. Being forced to wait and wait at the end of every other round to take two players usually means waiting for good values. That was the goal for my quarterback and tight end picks, and I feel like I did a good job waiting for Justin Herbert at 7.12 and Dallas Goedert at 8.01. Both are top-10 at their respective positions, neither one was a reach. Don't reach for quarterbacks or tight ends if you're picking at the turn. 

  • Drafting from No.: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12

Some final thoughts

  • It wasn't a must for me to take Kareem Hunt after drafting Chubb. It was more of a circumstantial thing. He was the best running back available when I was up in Round 5/6. I think starting both of them isn't a terrible option, but it's not something I'm planning on doing every week. While a heavy investment, I feel great about having the Browns' backfield locked up.
  • As excited as I was to get Herbert, I was kind of sad about passing on Aaron Rodgers when I was up at the Round 9/10 turn. I could have still taken Rodgers and used him as a trade piece later on (more on that in a second), but that wouldn't have made great sense. So perhaps I could have waited even longer to take a quarterback. 
  • Truth is, all late-round picks should be high-upside players regardless of position. But sometimes it's the players who just need an opportunity. Jalen Hurts is an obvious representation of a late-round pick with crazy-good Fantasy upside. He might run for 1,000 yards this season, which will in turn catapult him into the top-12 at quarterback. Trey Lance offers the same upside, though he seems blocked from becoming a starter for the 49ers. I do think Giovani Bernard, Kenneth Gainwell, Sony Michel and Marvin Jones qualify as valuable late-round picks -- all they need is to find more playing time (and more targets in the case of Jones) and they'll be useful choices. If they stink to start the season, no big deal, it was a waste of a late-round pick. When I took them, I ignored their positions and simply took guys who have a flicker of hope to pay off for my Fantasy squad.
Favorite Pick
Projections powered by Sportsline
PIT Pittsburgh • #11
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
61st
WR RNK
29th
PROJ PTS
222.4
SOS
21
ADP
73
2020 Stats
REC
62
TAR
109
REYDS
873
TD
11
FPTS/G
13.4
I can't say for sure that Claypool will be an even bigger breakout in 2021, but I think he has the potential for it. He's the unicorn in the Steelers passing game, offering big size to go with good speed. I think Pittsburgh's offense will throw plenty, just not as much as last year. Claypool has the stuff to finish as a big-time Fantasy receiver, and I was able to grab him at the start of Round 6.
Pick I Might Regret
Projections powered by Sportsline
DAL Dallas • #19
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
37th
WR RNK
14th
PROJ PTS
265.7
SOS
16
ADP
49
2020 Stats
REC
92
TAR
130
REYDS
1114
TD
5
FPTS/G
14.8
There's a little risk with anyone who enters training camp with an injury. Cooper's track record with Dak Prescott is sensational, coming up with 15-plus PPR points in 12 of their past 21 games together. But CeeDee Lamb has as much upside as Cooper, didn't do too shabby with Prescott in limited time together last year (16-plus PPR in 3 of 5 games) and he's healthier and younger. Prescott already predicted a breakout season for Lamb, too! I wish I had taken Lamb instead.
Make or Break Pick
Projections powered by Sportsline
PHI Philadelphia • #26
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
36th
RB RNK
19th
PROJ PTS
217.4
SOS
17
ADP
39
2020 Stats
RUYDS
867
REC
28
REYDS
197
TD
6
FPTS/G
14.2
I painted myself into a brown-and-orange corner with this one. If Sanders stinks or gets hurt, both of which are pretty decent possibilities, I'll be forced to start both Chubb and Hunt at running back. That's not exactly ideal. Then again, Sanders did come through for 17-plus PPR points in two of three games with Hurts last year. Perhaps playing with a running quarterback will spur some efficiency from Sanders. If he plays well behind that rehabbed O-line, even in a lead-but-not-workhorse role, my Fantasy team should remain competitive.