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Hello, everyone. Dan Schneier (@DanSchneierNFL) here, and we're inching closer to the start of the 2021 NFL regular season and even closer to your Fantasy Football draft days. Our first full weekend of preseason football is in the books and we're now in the stretch run of Fantasy Football 2021 draft preparation. We want to get you caught up with everything here, so we'll be dedicating each of the following weeks to one position group with an offshoot of content specific to that position. This week will be the quarterbacks and tight ends.

At the start of each week until the end of the Fantasy season, I'll be organizing a panel of sorts asking questions of our FFT team and they will be delivering answers. We'll hear from Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Chris Towers, Heath Cummings and Adam Aizer. If you have any burning questions you want answered, reach out to me on Twitter @DanSchneierNFL. If the questions are good, I'll work them into the weekly panel.

Without further ado, let's dive into this week's questions:

1. Which TE's ADP makes the least sense to you?

Adam: I mostly think the tight end ADP makes a lot of sense, but Jared Cook as TE11 stands out as nonsensical. He is a streaky and inconsistent TE in his age 34 season. Draft Adam Trautman and Logan Thomas ahead of him. 

Dave: I started the offseason ice-cold on Logan Thomas. I figured there was no way he would see as many targets as he did last year when Alex Smith kept lobbing short passes. But he's heading toward being a contributor in this offense again and is deserving of an ADP much much higher than 121.88. He and Irv Smith are getting short-changed ... so take advantage and draft them on the cheap.

Jamey: Robert Tonyan at 108.75 as the No. 10 tight end off the board. Tonyan was a great find for Fantasy managers last season, but he's not scoring 11 touchdowns again on 59 targets. I have no interest in drafting Tonyan as a starting Fantasy tight end this year.

Chris: Darren Waller at 31.81. He's been absent from practice over the past two weeks due to an ankle injury, but there was never any real reason to think he was likely to miss time once the games actually counted. And now he's back at practice. I have Waller and George Kittle ranked right next to each other, and I would be willing to take either of them inside of the first 18 picks. If I ever got Waller in the middle of the third round, I'd start placing my order to get my name engraved on the trophy. He's one of three TEs who you should expect WR1 or 2 production from, and his price is way, way too low. 

Heath: I don't really understand why Logan Thomas is going behind Tyler Higbee, Jared Cook, and Mike Gesicki. While I agree Thomas could see a reduction in targets, I also expect him to see more downfield targets with Ryan Fitzpatrick than he did last year. The Washington Football Team gave him an extension in the offseason and there's been plenty of buzz about how involved he'll be. In full PPR I still like Thomas as a top-10 tight end. 

2. Which TE (outside the first two rounds*) has an ADP that makes the most sense to you?

Adam: T.J. Hockenson is the sixth TE off the board and 20 picks ahead of the next TE (Dallas Goedert). You could make the case for Hockenson as early as TE4, but he needs to be top six and needs to have some separation from the next tier. I'd love to take him in Round 6.

Dave: I don't necessarily agree with Kyle Pitts' 51.59 ADP, but it makes sense. There will be at least two managers in every single league who chase Pitts, and after Round 4 figures to be the time to take a chance on him. I'd rather wait one more round, but I'm fussy.

Jamey: Mark Andrews at 50.84 as the No. 4 tight end off the board. I recently moved Andrews back to the No. 4 spot at tight end ahead of T.J. Hockenson -- all the injuries to Baltimore's receivers should help Andrews -- but he still remains a Round 4 pick at best. I love this spot for Andrews, who should have another outstanding season in 2021.

Chris: Noah Fant at 90.04. He has every bit as much upside as Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, or Kyle Pitts, but he also has a narrower path to get there in Denver's offense, so his price makes perfect sense. If he got the opportunity, I think Fant could be right there with the best tight ends in Fantasy because he has a proven ability to create big plays with the ball in his hands, a key trait the Big Three all share. The problem is, he's likely to be third on the Broncos in targets, and the Broncos are by no means assured to be a team that can support three must-start pass catchers. If Drew Lock takes a step forward, Fant could be that. 

Heath: Round 8 for Noah Fant is just about perfect. Fant has top-four upside if everything goes right, he did average 11.5 PPR Fantasy points per game in 12 healthy games with a quarterback last year. But there's also reason for concern due to the quarterback situation and the return of Courtland Sutton

3. Which TE have you been drafting the most?

Adam: I have been drafting Hockenson the most in PPR leagues. If I can't get Hockenson, I am looking at Adam Trautman in Round 8 or 9. Almost every top five TE from the past five seasons has been first or second on his team in targets, and Trautman has that opportunity. 

Dave: I've been taking at least one of Irv Smith, Adam Trautman or Jonnu Smith in my drafts, but I think I'm going to make some changes. Jonnu Smith is hurt -- severity unknown -- and Trautman hasn't been flashing. I may replace them with Thomas.

Jamey: Irv Smith is one of my favorite targets this season, and I expect him to thrive with Kyle Rudolph gone. He played well in 2020 when Rudolph missed time due to injury, and Smith should be third on the Vikings in targets behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. I love that you can find Smith in Round 10 based on his ADP, and he should be a top-10 Fantasy tight end this year.

Chris: Any one of the Big Three. Kelce, Kittle, and Waller are all top-15 players in my overall rankings because of the massive edge they can give you on your competition, and I'd rather pay full freight for them than the increasingly expensive cost of we-hope-they-get-there's like Hockenson, Pitts, and Andrews. 

Heath: Mark Andrews, for sure. I view Andrews as an extension of the Kittle/Waller tier, so I'm happy to draft him in Round 4. Why? Because Andrews is right there with them in terms of targets per route run and yards per route run. Andrews is also one of the few tight ends who has commanded a 25% target share the past two seasons. So when I hear the Ravens want to throw more, I don't envision Marquise Brown or Rashod Bateman or Sammy Watkins taking target share away from Andrews, I envision Andrews seeing 25% of a bigger pie, which could mean a career year. 

4. Which TE have you been drafting the least?

Adam: I've been passing on Dallas Goedert. I don't have a lot of faith in the Eagles passing offense, but I do have a lot of faith in DeVonta Smith. Zach Ertz is still there, so I don't see a path to consistency for Goedert. 

Dave: I don't think I've splurged on Kyle Pitts once. He just keeps going sooner than I'm willing to take him. I've also rarely drafted Mark Andrews, but that's because Heath Cummings keeps choosing him.

Jamey: I wish I could draft Kyle Pitts more this season, but he typically gets selected one round before I'm willing to buy in, with an ADP of 51.59. He has the chance to be special this season with Julio Jones gone in Atlanta, but the track record for rookie tight ends isn't great. Pitts could be the best rookie tight end ever, but I'd rather draft him in Round 6 -- if he ever made it that far.

Chris: Robert Tonyan is someone who I just haven't looked at in any drafts this season. Sure, he was TE5 last season in points per game, but he was just 1.8 points ahead of TE12 despite 11 touchdowns on just 59 targets -- he was the third player ever to have 10 or more touchdowns on 60 or fewer targets. Yeah, playing alongside Aaron Rodgers is great for any pass-catcher's volume, but if Tonyan is a touchdown-or-bust guy who happened to have one of the all-time touchdown outlier seasons. 

Heath: I drafted Kyle Pitts once, just so no one could ever say I never did. In truth, it's terrifying to be out on Pitts, but his ADP means you need the best rookie tight end season since the NFL merger just to break even. I'm not willing to make that bet, even if I understand it. Pitts is a special athlete.

5. Which TE (not named T.J. Hockenson!) will benefit the most from vacated targets?

Adam: Tyler Higbee has played very few games without Gerald Everett, but in 2019 Everett played a combined four snaps across five games. In those five games, Higbee had 43 catches for 522 yards and two TDs. That makes him an interesting sleeper in 2021. 

Dave: How many times can I name Pitts in one story?! He's the obvious answer with Julio Jones out the door in Atlanta. Rookie tight ends have barely made a Fantasy impact because they're rarely in a position to do so. Pitts has that opportunity -- it's the execution of that opportunity that gives me some concern. 

Jamey: I'm going to speculate and say Dallas Goedert will benefit the most from vacated targets when the Eagles move on from Zach Ertz. I mean, come on already. Let's go, Philadelphia. Send Ertz elsewhere to allow Goedert the chance to be a star. If that happens -- and it's a big if at this point -- then Goedert has top-five potential for Fantasy managers.

Chris: I'm not quite as convinced as everyone else that Hockenson is going to see a significant benefit from vacated targets, because he's also going to be dealing with more defensive attention and a downgrade at QB, but I suppose that's for another time. Irv Smith is probably the obvious answer, though it's less about vacated targets than it is about playing time, because he figures to be more like a full-time player with Kyle Rudolph out of the picture. I would expect we'll still see plenty of two-TE sets in Minnesota, but he should have an increased role in the offense and a chance to put his obvious talents on display.

Heath: The Chargers, Jaguars, and Titans have the most vacated tight end targets. I really don't want to bet on Jared Cook and Tim Tebow has been cut (kidding), so I'm going with Anthony Firkser. Firkser actually averaged more yards per target than Smith last year and wasn't far behind him in yards per game. If he doesn't have to share the tight end targets, he has an excellent shot at a top-12 finish.

So which sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen's huge season, and find out.