Age escapes no one in a Dynasty format. We talk about it from the time a player hits the prospect radar all the way until he retires. Savvy Fantasy Football managers target young prospects and eschew anyone over the age of 30. They've already moved on from Julio Jones and Le'Veon Bell for guys like A.J. Brown and D.J. Moore. They're buying low on JuJu Smith-Schuster and selling high on Robert Woods. It's hard to take advantage of age when trading in a Dynasty league, in fact it's easier to take advantage the other direction.
But there's one place where managers are still prone to holding on too long and that's with elite players who aren't quite too old. And I'd be very concerned trading for those types of players. Before we get to the updated trade chart, here's a player (or more) at each position I'd be wary to buy, and I wouldn't blame you for dealing them away.
DeAndre Hopkins just turned 28 years old at the beginning of June, and . Jones has shown us that doesn't have to be the beginning of the end. But Hopkins has never been nearly as explosive as Jones. Now he's changing teams and he'll have a less accurate quarterback throwing to him. There are plenty of reasons to expect Hopkins will fall to a low-end No. 1 receiver in 2020, and it would be hard to expect much more moving forward as he edges towards 30. Chances are Hopkins' trade value will never be higher than it is right now.
Russell Wilson is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. He's one the best in Fantasy as well, no matter what Brian Schottenheimer tries to do to ruin that. He doesn't even turn 32 until November, Tom Brady and Drew Brees have shown us that doesn't matter. right? Don't tell Aaron Rodgers that. I worry that Wilson won't age as well because so much of his production comes in the running game. He's averaged 55 Fantasy points per season on the ground the past three years, I wouldn't be surprised if that was halved the next three. Wilson is still a good starter if you're a contender, but I'd trade him if I didn't think I could win in 2020.
You would think people would already be shying away from Travis Kelce because he'll turn 31 in October, but it's hard to let go of the guy who has finished No. 1 four straight seasons and has Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback. Just know that history of elite tight end production at Kelce's age is very limited. Tony Gonzalez gave us three seasons over 220 Fantasy points after he turned 31. Antonio Gates and Delanie Walker are the only other tight ends to do it even once. I've already dropped Kelce to No. 3 but I'd be surprised if he's in the top six a year from now.
Running back is more difficult because everyone is so aware of age. So it might be better to think about contracts. There are so many talented backs in the league right now that a few guys who have been very good are going to get left out in the cold, or end up as secondary options on their own teams. That will start as soon as next year with a monster free-agent class that includes Dalvin Cook, Joe Mixon, Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette, Derrick Henry, Kenyan Drake, Marlon Mack and Kareem Hunt. Obviously not all of these guys will get to free agency, but Jones, Carson and Fournette are the three who worry me most.
Here is my updated Dynasty Trade Chart:
So which Fantasy football busts should you completely avoid? And which running back going off the board early should you fade? Visit SportsLine now to get cheat sheets from the model that called Baker Mayfield's disappointing season, and find out.