Fantasy Football: February Best Ball ADP Review has Sammy Watkins, Cam Newton among five late-round targets

ADP review in Feburary? That sounds insane, right? More like awesome. One of my favorite things about Best Ball leagues is that they give us so much data so early. Now in fairness, there have only been 94 drafts on BestBall10s as of this writing, so it's not a ton of data yet, but it's more than we'd have without them. 

For those of you who need a quick refresher, Best Ball in this context refers to draft-only leagues. You don't have to set your lineup each week, your best scores play. There are generally prizes involved, whether of a 50-50 nature or a winner-take-all. Some sites also offer larger tournaments where you compete against thousands for large prizes. When I'm doing ADP review and suggesting targets, I'm generally talking about individual 12-team leagues unless I specify otherwise. 

Not surprisingly, the top two by ADP are a clear-cut Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley. Maybe more surprisingly, Ezekiel Elliott is a pretty clear No .3. Michael Thomas is essentially tied with Dalvin Cook at 4.6 as the first receiver off the board. Travis Kelce (15.9) is the first tight end and Lamar Jackson (24.3) is the first quarterback. BestBall10s also include rookies, and D'Andre Swift (34.5) is the top rookie off the board, followed by Jonathan Taylor (41.4). 

One of the more interesting things to watch is how drafters handle free agents. They're being aggressive with Derrick Henry (8.7) but seem unsure how to handle Hunter Henry (81.4). Henry has been drafted as early as 60th overall and as late as 109th.

Because of the nature of this format there are a lot more quarterbacks and tight ends drafted. Most everyone wants at least two of each, and a lot of people even draft three. That explains why David Njoku (145.1) and Sam Darnold (150.1) are in the top 150. It also pushes some players back who should be drafted sooner. Here are my favorite February buys from outside the top 150 in Best Ball ADP:

Best Ball Best Buys
Projections powered by Sportsline
CAR Carolina • #1
Age: 30 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
129th
QB RNK
12th
PROJ PTS
311.4
ADP
152
2019 Stats
PAYDS
572
RUYDS
-2
TD
0
INT
1
FPTS/G
8
It sure sounds like Newton is going to be the starting quarterback for the Panthers. If he's healthy, he could be a top-five quarterback. This is exactly the type of guy I want as my second QB in Best Ball.
KC Kansas City • #14
Age: 26 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
97th
WR RNK
44th
PROJ PTS
183.7
ADP
163.4
2019 Stats
REC
52
TAR
90
REYDS
673
TD
3
FPTS/G
12.8
Watkins' future doesn't sound as settled. The Chiefs expect him to take a pay cut, and if he doesn't he'll be playing somewhere else in 2020. Still, I think a majority of outcomes lead to Watkins outperforming this ADP.
PHI Philadelphia • #17
Age: 30 • Experience: 9 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
96th
WR RNK
43rd
PROJ PTS
186.5
ADP
171
Jeffery is in a very similar situation except he could actually be the Eagles No. 1 receiver if they work out a compromise on his contract. He was a top-30 receiver each of his first two seasons in Philadelphia.
BAL Baltimore • #35
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
RB RNK
61st
PROJ PTS
53.4
ADP
192.4
2019 Stats
RUYDS
711
REC
7
REYDS
45
TD
2
FPTS/G
5.3
Edwards' median projection doesn't make you want to draft him, but he's a good end-of-draft Best Ball pick. You don't have to decide when to start him, and there's a very good chance he's giving you multiple weeks of starting production.
JAC Jacksonville • #23
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
RB RNK
64th
PROJ PTS
51.1
ADP
222.5
2019 Stats
RUYDS
108
REC
14
REYDS
144
TD
2
FPTS/G
2.8
There are rumors that Jacksonville may not have plans for Leonard Fournette past 2020, and until they add someone else, Armstead is very interesting. He's been explosive in limited action and Fournette has an extensive injury history.
Senior Fantasy Writer

Heath Cummings is a Senior Fantasy Writer that covers Daily Fantasy Sports of all types. Before coming to CBS Sports he was a staff writer for Footballguys and the host of The Fantasy Football Show on... Full Bio

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