Fantasy Football Rankings 2017 & Busts: Model that beat experts warns about Derek Carr, Ty Montgomery
SportsLine simulated the NFL season 10,000 times and warns that Derek Carr and Ty Montgomery will be busts
Instead of repeating his 14-TD campaign from 2015, Robinson face-planted. He failed to top 900 yards receiving and only scored six times.
The team at SportsLine was all off Robinson last year. Their model, which was originally used to power Fantasy Football projections at the three largest sites, had Robinson finishing well outside the top 10. He ended the season as the WR28.
When you draft this year, you need to check out SportsLine's cheat sheets. When it came to ranking players last season, their model out-performed human experts by 25 percent when there was a big difference in ranking -- four spots for a QB, seven for a RB, and nine for a WR. That could be the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league.
Plus, their cheat sheets are available for every major Fantasy Football site, so no matter where you play, you can use them. And they're updated every four hours, so any time news breaks, you'll have the latest rankings at your fingertips. When Julian Edelman and Spencer Ware went down in the preseason, SportsLine immediately updated its cheat sheets.
One huge bust SportsLine is calling this season: Raiders QB Derek Carr. He has an ADP in the sixth round, but SportsLine's cheat sheets have him ranked the same as Tyrod Taylor (12th round), Carson Palmer (11th round), and Matthew Stafford (ninth round). Don't be fooled by Carr's preseason hype.
Another player you'll want to steer clear of is Packers RB Ty Montgomery. The converted wideout scored just three times last season, but is being plucked off draft boards in the first half of the fourth round. Rather than reach for this fantasy football bust, SportsLine has sixth-rounders Bilal Powell and Mike Gillislee ranked the same. Montgomery may have upside, but don't spend your fourth-round pick on him.
At running back, steer clear of the Rams' Todd Gurley. A massive bust last season, some experts are predicting a bounce-back year, but SportsLine's model disagrees. SportsLine has the second-rounder ranked the same as Tevin Coleman (fifth-round ADP) and Carlos Hyde (fourth-round ADP). Avoid Gurley, who averaged 3.3 yards per carry in the preseason, and let your friends draft this Fantasy Football bust.
SportsLine's cheat sheets are also calling for a big-name tight end to bust in a major way. Rather than targeting him, their projections call for Kyle Rudolph, Zach Ertz, and Eric Ebron to have similar production.
So what busts should you avoid in your Fantasy Football draft? And what big-name tight end could ruin your season? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy Football cheat sheets from the model that called Allen Robinson's face-plant last season and find out.
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