The Trevor Lawrence era in Jacksonville has officially begun, as the Jaguars inked the former Clemson star quarterback to a four-year contract worth $36.8 million that includes a $24.1 million signing bonus. The No. 1 overall pick will count $6.7 million against the salary cap in 2021, and his deal includes a standard fifth-year option that is attached to every rookie contract for first-round selections. With Lawrence officially onboard, now the attention is focused on where he should be in the 2021 Fantasy football rankings.
Will Lawrence turn in a productive rookie season in Jacksonville, and is thus worthy of one of the high 2021 Fantasy football picks? Or will injury, ineffectiveness or a combination of both derail his No. 1 overall status and classify him as one of the 2021 Fantasy football busts? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine's advice reaped plenty of value with that pick.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Raiders quarterback Derek Carr. The former Fresno State star threw for 4,103 yards and 27 touchdowns against just nine interceptions last season. Carr's QBR was a career-best 71.0 in 2021, while his passer rating was also a career-high 101.4.
The Raiders made moves to get better on offense, adding receivers John Brown and Willie Snead IV to a room that already has Henry Ruggs III onboard. With Darren Waller as a prime-time tight end along with fellow Pro Bowler Josh Jacobs coming out of the backfield, 2021 is shaping up to be a season for Carr to show his full potential. SportsLine's model lists Carr ahead of players like Joe Burrow, Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford in its 2021 Fantasy football quarterback rankings.
Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Patriots running back Damien Harris as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. The third-year pro rushed for 691 yards on 137 carries and two touchdowns in 2020 despite playing in just 10 games. Harris missed time in 2020 due to back and ankle injuries.
Despite his abbreviated sophomore campaign, Harris clearly seized the RB1 spot in New England away from Sony Michel. The former Alabama standout has a strong chance to get close to a 1,000-yard season in 2021 if he can remain healthy, as his 5.0 yards-per-carry average is a respectable clip. SportsLine's 2021 Fantasy football running back rankings agree, listing Harris ahead of backs like Javonte Williams, Michael Carter and Trey Sermon.
Top 2021 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert as one of its top 2021 Fantasy football busts. The former South Dakota State product caught 46 passes for 524 yards and three touchdowns in 2020. He missed five games with a small fracture in his ankle.
Splitting time is never optimal for a tight end, and the Eagles still have veteran Zach Ertz for his ninth season in the City of Brotherly Love. Ertz could be destined for a trade before the NFL season officially begins, but if he remains in Eagles green, it will spell greatly reduced reps for Goedert. SportsLine's model ranks Goedert below tight ends like Jared Cook, Robert Tonyan and Tyler Higbee.
How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen's huge season, and find out.