Fantasy Football Rankings Week 7: Model that beat experts says start Matt Breida, sit Drew Brees

By the time the dust settles on Week 7 of the NFL season, half of the Fantasy football schedule will have been played in most leagues. As Fantasy owners start thinking ahead to the postseason, having a reliable set of Fantasy football rankings to help set your lineups becomes more and more important on a weekly basis. Advanced Fantasy football rankings can help you navigate tricky situations like how to handle the new workload split between Saints RBs Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram and help Jaguars and Browns running back owners react to the Carlos Hyde trade. Before you set your lineups for Sunday and beyond, you'll want to see the Week 7 Fantasy football rankings from the advanced computer model at SportsLine. It could be the difference between a win or a loss in Week 7 and could inevitably determine whether you make the Fantasy playoffs or play in the toilet bowl.

When it comes to ranking players, their model beat human experts in Fantasy football last season when there were big differences in ranking. And the model was closest to the hole overall, meaning it best pinpointed where every player would finish each week. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Last week, the model was high on Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston. The result: Winston exploded for 395 passing yards and four touchdowns against the Falcons. Anybody who had him in their lineup was well on their way to a huge week. 

Now the model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has revealed its latest Week 7 Fantasy Football rankings. One player the model loves this week: 49ers running back Matt Breida

Started in just 4 percent of leagues, Breida is worth RB1/2 consideration in Week 7 according to the computer simulations. After Alfred Morris played just one snap last week against the Packers, it's clear that Breida is first in line for touches, and he's impressed with the ball in his hands this year. 

Breida leads the NFL with an average of 6.8 yards per carry (minimum 6.25 attempts per game). And he's going up against a Rams defense that has allowed running backs to go for 4.7 yards per carry this season and catch 40 passes out of the backfield. He has found the end zone three of his last five games and had at least 20 yards receiving three times over that span. Breida should see plenty of volume this week and needs to be firmly in lineups.

And a massive shocker: Saints quarterback Drew Brees stumbles big-time this week against the Ravens and finishes well outside the top 15. He's a player to bench in Week 7. 

Baltimore boasts the best defense in the NFL in multiple categories. The Ravens rank first in yards per game (270) and points per game (12.8). And they're coming off their best performance of the season against the Titans, recording a shutout and a franchise-record 11 sacks.

The model is also calling for a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top 5 of the Week 7 Fantasy Football rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing. 

So who should you sit and start this week? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 7 Fantasy Football rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top five, all from the model that outperformed experts big-time last season.

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