aaron-jones-packers-getty.jpg

Keeping up with every game on the NFL schedule can be tough, but you want to make sure there's nothing you missed before we head into next week. The Fantasy Football Today team watches every game, taking note of what you need to know for each team. Week 10 was another wild one around the NFL, and there are going to be plenty of injuries to keep track of heading into Week 11, most notably Aaron Jones' knee injury, a sprained MCL that seems likely to keep him out 1-2 weeks, with a bye week looming in Week 13. We'll also be watching Cordarrelle Patterson's status, as he suffered a potential high-ankle sprain that makes him unlikely to play Thursday against the Patriots, and could keep him out for multiple weeks, according to reports. 

Here's my recap for Sunday's action in Week 10, including my takeaway from each game along with a winner and loser from each as well. 

Cowboys 43-Falcons 3

The Cowboys shook off the rust from their shockingly inept offensive showing in Week 9. Dak Prescott played very well and spread the ball around a ton before the Cowboys eventually pulled their starters. Which means you probably don't want to take too much from this one in terms of usage. That goes for both sides, for the most part. 

  • Winner: CeeDee Lamb. In a game where the Cowboys pulled off the gas pedal, Lamb still led the team in targets and made a big impact. Based on practice participation at least, Lamb seems to be a bit healthier than Amari Cooper, which may help explain why Lamb has 35 targets over the past four games while Cooper has 30. But I think Lamb is just the WR1 here -- as many expected coming into the season. 
  • Loser: Mike Davis. I think we can go ahead and close the book on Davis. Wayne Gallman saw an expanded role Sunday, leading the team with 15 carries, while Davis had just four. It's worth noting that much of Gallman's work came after the Cowboys took a huge lead in the second quarter, so it could have just been a garbage time thing. But, given how ineffective Davis has been all season, it wouldn't be any kind of surprise if they opted to just give Gallman more of his work moving forward just to see if he can provide a spark that Davis hasn't. Patterson's ankle injury could open up room for both to play a role, and I would expect Davis to have a bigger passing game role if Patterson does have to miss time, so keep an eye on Patterson's status before dropping Davis. 

Titans 23-Saints 21

The Titans are just going to keep running the ball, even if they aren't any good at it. That'll work as long as they keep winning, but you have to wonder whether that can be a winning approach moving forward. 

  • Winner: D'Onta Foreman. This really wasn't a great game for anyone, except maybe Mark Ingram, whose Fantasy appeal will only really last as long as Alvin Kamara's knee injury keeps him out. So I'll go with the guy who looks to be emerging as the lead back in Derrick Henry's absence. To be clear, this is still very much a three-way split, but Foreman has shown a bit more burst than Adrian Peterson, and it's fair to wonder how long the Titans will keep giving the veteran touches when he isn't doing anything with them. I don't think Foreman has a ton of upside, but I'd rather see him in the league than a continued split. 
  • Loser: A.J. Brown. At least in Week 9's disappointing showing, he still had 11 targets. Sunday, Brown had just four, catching one for 16 yards. It's fair to wonder how healthy Brown truly is, given the amount of time he's missing in practice -- he didn't practice Friday with a knee injury. It seems like Brown is going to keep playing through this injury, but the results continue to be very hit or miss. I worry it's going to continue to be a disappointing season for Brown, though I do still think he's a must-start Fantasy WR moving forward.  

Colts 23-Jaguars 17

That's two weeks in a row that the Jaguars' opponent has been a disappointment for Fantasy, and even when they allowed 31 points to the Seahawks in Week 8, it was with just 229 yards of total offense. Maybe they aren't quite as good a matchup as they were in the first half? 

  • Winner: Dan Arnold. This is another game where it's hard to find a real "winner," but I continue to be pleased with what Dan Arnold is doing in the Jaguars offense. He caught five of seven targets (good for second on the team) for 67 yards, his third straight game and fourth in his past five with double-digit Fantasy points. He's a solid TE1 moving forward. 
  • Loser: Nyheim Hines. Coming off his best game of the season, Hines flopped Sunday. He had just two carries for 12 yards and two catches for 17. He just doesn't have the same role he had a year ago, with Carson Wentz leaning on the running backs in the passing game a lot less. Beyond as a handcuff for Jonathan Taylor, I'm not sure Hines needs to be rostered, and I'm not 100% convinced he's actually the handcuff for Tayor; it might be Marlon Mack.

Patriots 45-Browns 7

So much for the Browns being better without Odell Beckham … 

  • Winner: Rhamondre Stevenson. I've been intrigued by Stevenson for most of the season because he's been the only one of the Patriots running backs who has shown potential as both a pass catcher and runner. Damien Harris just isn't used much as a receiver, which limits his upside for Fantasy even when he's running well. I suspect Harris will return from his concussion in Week 11 as the Patriots No. 1 RB, but Stevenson has now proved how good he can be in that role, and I think it's better than Harris. I want him on my bench, at the very least, and he's my top waiver-wire target coming out of Sunday's games. 
  • Loser: Baker Mayfield. Sunday was a disastrous game for Mayfield, who completed just 11 of 21 passes for 73 yards with a touchdown and an interception before being forced out with a knee injury. Hopefully, the injury isn't a big concern, but I think this performance should put to rest the idea that Mayfield is somehow better off without Beckham. That relationship never worked out, but Mayfield just doesn't have very much offensive talent around him. This was a tough matchup, obviously, and things will be better in Week 10 against the Lions, but then they've got back to back games against the Ravens, and I would probably try to avoid this passing game if I can.

Washington 29-Buccaneers 19

The Bucs gifted the Football Team with short fields early in the game thanks to two interceptions, and they never really got on track from that point on. Kudos to Washington for taking advantage of the opportunities they got and for making the Buccaneers offensive uncharacteristically off-balance. 

  • Winner: Antonio Gibson. Running against the Buccaneers is such a fruitless proposition for most teams that they often just abandon the run, so of course, this was the week Antonio Gibson got a season-high 24 carries. He wasn't great with those carries (64 yards), but he did score two touchdowns and added two catches for 14 yards for his best Fantasy game of the season. It's still fair to be skeptical about how valuable Gibson can be without a passing game role, but at the very least, he put to rest any concerns that Jaret Patterson might be taking on a significant role. It didn't happen in this one despite a game where the Football Team ran it 34 times. One thing that would definitely help Gibson's value moving forward would be Washington's defense playing more like 2020 moving forward. 
  • Loser: Mike Evans. With Chris Godwin hobbled and Antonio Brown out, I expected this to be a massive game for Evans. However, he caught one pass as time ran out in the first quarter and then had one long touchdown, and that was it. The touchdown salvaged his game, but only three targets in those circumstances is a real disappointment. He's still a must-start player, but that's frustrating. 

Lions 16-Steelers 16

The quarterbacks in this game combined for 319 yards of net passing on 75 pass attempts. If you didn't watch this game, go ask a couple of neighborhood kids to play catch with blindfolds on you'll get a pretty good sense of what it looked like. It's another reminder that for as mediocre as Ben Roethlisberger might be, "it can't get any worse" are always famous last words for Fantasy. 

  • Winner: D'Andre Swift. We've gotten used to Swift relying on garbage time production, so if you told me he only had 5 yards on three receptions in this one, I would've been sure he had a bad game. However, the Lions showed a real willingness to ride Swift in this one, giving him a whopping 33 carries, which he turned into 130 yards. It's nice to see that things don't have to be a total disaster for Swift to be productive for Fantasy, though I do wonder what today might have looked like if Jamaal Williams had been healthy. The fact that two backups scored long touchdowns is a bit frustrating for Swift managers, but it's nothing to be concerned about. 
  • Loser: T.J. Hockenson. Hockenson played nearly every snap in this one, all but four. He ran a route on 79% of the team's passing plays, which might be a bit below what you usually expect, but not alarmingly so. And yet, he was targeted just one time. One time on 23 routes run. It's probably nothing to get too concerned about -- Hockenson did have 31 targets in his previous three games, after all. But if you haven't done so already, you need to come to terms with the fact that Hockenson just isn't one of those stud tight ends you can count on to beat every matchup. He's been a pretty major disappointment, even as someone who didn't necessarily buy the breakout hype.

Bills 45-Jets 17

The Bills bounced back from an ugly offensive showing in Week 9, with Josh Allen putting up one of his best passing performances of the season. However, the Bills backfield got even more uncertain, with Matt Breida playing a season-high snap share. 

  • Winner: Stefon Diggs. I thought Diggs might have No. 1 overall WR potential, but he hasn't been nearly as good as last season. But that potential is clearly still there in this offense, as he earned 13 targets Sunday, turning them into 162 yards and a touchdown on eight catches. However, it is worth noting that the biggest thing holding Diggs back this season has been a drop in his efficiency on passes shorter than 15 yards (85% catch rate in 2020 to 66% in 2021), and he had just 39 yards on five catches with eight targets Sunday, so that's still an issue. 
  • Loser: Mike White. As it turns out, the 26-year-old journeyman will not be the QB for the future for the Jets ahead of the No. 2 overall pick. In fairness, this was one of the toughest matchups in the league, but White was a disaster, averaging 5.7 yards per attempt en route to 251 total while throwing four interceptions with no catches. The Jets seemed willing to give White a chance to stick as the starter at least through the end of this season, but I would bet we'll see Zach Wilson back at QB when healthy, possibly as soon as Week 11 against the Dolphins

Panthers 34-Cardinals 10

The Cardinals were able to keep winning without Kyler Murray in Week 9, but things fell apart Sunday, as they managed just 169 yards of total offense in the loss. The Panthers dominated time of possession as they ran the ball effectively and their quarterbacks mostly avoided mistakes. That'll probably be the game plan moving forward. 

  • Winner: Cam Newton. Matt Rhule wouldn't fully commit to Newton as the starting QB in Week 11, but it seems all but assured, assuming he can get up to speed on the full playbook. He mostly played near the goal line in this one and scored two touchdowns, one with his arm and one with his legs. He's got pretty great weapons and remains an effective runner. There's top-12 QB upside in Newton. 
  • Loser: Rondale Moore. I had high hopes for Moore coming into the season because his skill set fits what Kliff Kingsbury likes to do on offense so well, but I didn't expect A.J. Green and Christian Kirk to have such big roles. Moore has nine targets in the two games DeAndre Hopkins has missed, with seven catches for 35 yards. He's a great playmaker with the ball in his hands, but Moore isn't getting enough valuable targets to be a viable Fantasy starter yet. He'll be a nice post-hype sleeper for 2022, but you can go ahead and drop him wherever you still have him in redraft leagues. 

Vikings 27-Chargers 20

Neither of these teams' offenses seems to be quite clicking of late, but the Vikings had a superstar step up in a big way, and that was the difference here. 

  • Winner: Justin Jefferson. After averaging nearly 10 targets per game in his first six, Jefferson had just nine in his previous two games, a troubling sign on a low-volume passing offense. That wasn't an issue Sunday, as he was targeted 11 times (30% of Kirk Cousins' throws), turning them into nine catches for 143 yards. He's actually still slightly behind last year's per-game pace, but it was good to see the Vikings go back to feeding him. He's their best offensive player. 
  • Loser: Mike Williams. Unfortunately, I think we can safely remove Williams from the must-start conversation. He had just six more targets Sunday, his fourth game in a row with six or fewer (and his fifth in the last six). Williams did have three red zone targets in this one and wasn't used exclusively as a deep threat, which had been the issue before, but it's impossible not to be disappointed in this showing. At this point, Williams is just a WR3. There's upside, but he's averaging just 5.9 PPR points per game over the past four. 

Eagles 30-Broncos 13

The Eagles continued to thrive with their run-first approach. They're running the ball efficiently and that has opened up big-play opportunities for the passing game. The Broncos passing game, on the other hand, remains a work in progress. 

  • Winner: Devonta Smith. Jalen Hurts' efficiency has been helped by a dip in his volume, and that has benefited Smith as well. He's the clear No. 1 option in this offense, and that led to a two-touchdown game this week. It won't be that good every week, but Smith's role in this offense ensures he's going to continue to see valuable targets. He's a solid WR3 with room to continue to grow if the Eagles increase their pass volume. 
  • Loser: Courtland Sutton. Sutton has played three games with Jerry Jeudy active this season and he has 12 targets total despite playing 80% of the snaps or more in each game. That's a problem, and one for which I'm not sure there's a simple solution, given his downfield role in the offense. I think things will improve moving forward, but I think he's likely to be just a boom-or-bust FLEX option moving forward. 

Packers 17-Seahawks 0

With Aaron Rodgers making his return from the COVID-19 list and Russell Wilson returning from finger surgery, neither offense looked in sync in this one. It was one of the most disappointing games in Week 10. 

  • Winner: A.J. Dillon. With Aaron Jones leaving with that knee injury, Dillon got his first real chance to be a lead back, and he looked every bit as valuable as we could have hoped. He only rushed for 66 yards, but the 21 carries are obviously a great sign, as are the two touchdowns. You'd like to see more than two targets, but I would bet we will with Jones out in Week 11. He should be in line for 15-plus carries, a decent passing game workload, and a monopoly on goal-line work. Dillon is a top-10 RB at least as long as Aaron Jones is out. 
  • Loser: Russell Wilson. All we heard in the run up to the game was about how Wilson's swift return from finger surgery was "miraculous," and how he spent 19 hours a day rehabbing the injury to get back as quickly as he did. And all I can say after how he played Sunday is I wish he had taken a little bit more time. Wilson was dreadful, completing just 20 of 40 passes for 161 yards with a couple of interceptions as the Seahawks got shut out for the first time in his career as a starter. Hopefully, this was just a knock-off-the-rust game for him, because if this injury affects him all season, that's going to be a real problem for Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, obviously. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt for this one. 

Chiefs 41-Raiders 14

The Chiefs made the adjustments they needed to make, and it resulted in one of their best offensive showings of the season. Patrick Mahomes' passes traveled just 3.2 yards down the field on average, the lowest of a full game in his career, but there was still room for both Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to have big games. That's what we want to see. 

  • Winner: Darrel Williams. Williams was also a big beneficiary of the change in philosophy, as he caught nine of nine passes thrown his way for 101 yards and a touchdown. The touchdown was especially impressive, as he leapt up and over the defender in the end zone to bring in the 38-yard score. It'll be interesting to see what happens if Clyde Edwards-Helaire is healthy enough to play in Week 11 because I think he's clearly the better runner of the two but has never earned the kind of role in the passing game Williams has. This could be a true committee. 
  • Loser: Josh Jacobs. With the Chiefs offense clicking like that, this was never going to be a good script for Jacobs, but it's hard not to be discouraged by his performance yet again. He rushed for just 16 yards on seven carries, though he did at five catches on as many targets, albeit for just 20 yards. I do like Jacobs' increased role in the passing game of late (12 targets in the last three games), but the Raiders just haven't shown the same commitment to the run this season as they have his first two. I think he's just a fringe RB2 at this point.