Fantasy Football Week 13 Lineup Cheat Sheet: Starts, sits and sleepers

Week 13 Rankings: Standard | PPR

The Lineup Cheat Sheet combines Fantasy analysis and game-flow predictions with a confidence scale to give you a definitive answer on who to start in your leagues.

The higher the number next to a player's name, the more confident you should be to start him. If a player isn't listed, don't start him.

Numbers are based on non-PPR scoring but are typically applicable to PPR formats.

To find a specific player, use your search function -- CTRL-F on PCs and Command-F on Macs. If neither of those are options, or if you're on a mobile device, you can search by game.

If you're still unsure, just send a note on Twitter (@daverichard) using #CBSFLCS and I'll give it a look, time permitting.

Cowboys at Vikings

Dak Prescott6.2Sam Bradford3.6
Ezekiel Elliott9.2Matt Asiata5.5
Dez Bryant7.5Jerick McKinnon4.6
Cole Beasley5.1Stefon Diggs8.1
Jason Witten4.0Adam Thielen3.6
Cowboys DST7.6Cordarrelle Patterson2.8
Kyle Rudolph6.2
Vikings DST7.0

Start Him

Stefon Diggs WR / Minnesota Vikings (2016 stats)
TAR: 88 REC: 67 YDS: 747 TD: 2

The Cowboys have struggled with receivers, particularly those in the slot and those who get a lot of targets. Diggs checks all those boxes. He's had at least 13 targets in three of his past four (he didn't against the Cardinals) and often rolls in the slot. A receiver has scored on Dallas in eight straight and a slot receiver has come through for a touchdown in four of the last six. Start Diggs with confidence.

Chiefs at Falcons

Alex Smith5.4Matt Ryan7.6
Spencer Ware7.7Devonta Freeman8.4
Tyreek Hill6.4Tevin Coleman5.1
Albert Wilson2.4Julio Jones9.1
Travis Kelce9.2Taylor Gabriel5.7
Chiefs DST7.3Mohamed Sanu3.3
Falcons DST5.7

Start Him

Tyreek Hill WR / Kansas City Chiefs (2016 stats)
TAR: 56 REC: 45 YDS: 428 TD: 5 ATT: 11 RUSH YDS: 68 RUSH TD: 1

If not for getting banged up and missing some playing time two weeks ago, we'd probably be looking at Hill as a top-20 receiver. He has at least 10 targets in two of his past three and at least nine Fantasy points in four of his past six.

Brimming with upside and surging into a large role with the Chiefs offense, Hill should be given a lot of opportunities against a Falcons secondary missing top corner Desmond Trufant. With that kind of advantage, and with the Chiefs expected to chase points, Hill is good enough to work as a low-end No. 2 receiver or as a high-potential flex.

Sneaky Sleeper

Taylor Gabriel WR / Atlanta Falcons (2016 stats)
TAR: 28 REC: 21 YDS: 378 TD: 4 ATT: 3 RUSH YDS: 51 RUSH TD: 1

Though he's doing it on an average of just four touches per game, Gabriel has scored and delivered at least 12 Fantasy points in four straight. The thinking is that he'll earn a few more touches moving forward and have a chance to break a big play or two as the Chiefs work hard to contain Julio Jones. Because of the limited touches, there's risk in starting Gabriel, but at least one receiver has gone off for 10-plus points against the Chiefs in eight straight.

The matchup is good. If you don't see a lot of upside in a receiver you're starting, replace him with Gabriel.

Lions at Saints

Matthew Stafford6.6Drew Brees9.6
Theo Riddick6.7Mark Ingram8.0
Golden Tate6.0Tim Hightower5.9
Marvin Jones5.8Michael Thomas8.4
Anquan Boldin4.6Brandin Cooks8.0
Eric Ebron6.4Willie Snead6.3
Lions DST3.8Coby Fleener3.8
Josh Hill2.2
Saints DST5.5

Risky Start

Eric Ebron TE / Detroit Lions (2016 stats)
TAR: 49 REC: 35 YDS: 451 TOTAL TD: 2

You already might not trust Ebron after last week's donut (which happened because the Vikings zeroed in on him, not because he struggled or got Matthew Stafford mad). Now he'll take on a Saints defense that's been pretty good against tight ends.

And here's a reality check -- despite his nice catch totals from a few weeks back, Ebron's been under 80 yards in three of four and scored a rushing touchdown -- nothing through the air. You'll start him, but don't have high expectations.

Rams at Patriots

Jared Goff5.3Tom Brady8.3
Todd Gurley6.6LeGarrette Blount7.8
Kenny Britt6.7Dion Lewis6.4
Tavon Austin3.4Julian Edelman6.5
Lance Kendricks5.4Malcolm Mitchell6.1
Rams DST3.7Chris Hogan3.0
Martellus Bennett4.2
Patriots DST7.2

Sneaky Sleeper

Malcolm Mitchell WR / New England Patriots (2016 stats)
TAR: 27 REC: 16 YDS: 235 TD: 3

Mitchell is a pretty good route runner with good speed and hands. He not only has Tom Brady's attention in the red zone, catching two touchdowns from inside the 10 last week, but he's also been tried on deep passes. He nearly scored on two such targets last week and drew a pass interference call on another.

Mitchell seems to get the most playing time when Rob Gronkowski has been out, so that's something to keep in mind. But the Rams are expected to play without starting corner E.J. Gaines, making the matchup even better for the potential No. 3 Fantasy receiver.

Broncos at Jaguars

Trevor Siemian3.4Blake Bortles3.5
Devontae Booker6.9T.J. Yeldon4.4
Demaryius Thomas6.8Allen Robinson5.2
Emmanuel Sanders5.9Marqise Lee4.5
Broncos DST9.2Jaguars DST4.0

Sit Him

Allen Robinson WR / Jacksonville Jaguars (2016 stats)
TAR: 106 REC: 53 YDS: 591 TD: 6

You know you've been waiting to sit Robinson for a while now, so here's your chance. The Broncos have been outstanding against No. 1 outside receivers like A.J. Green, Mike Evans, Julio Jones and T.Y. Hilton.

Robinson has been shaky all season, with four games with 10-plus Fantasy points, seven with seven or fewer. This just seems like a week where his ceiling is seven Fantasy points and his floor is ... well, let's just not get into that.

Texans at Packers

Brock Osweiler2.6Aaron Rodgers9.4
Lamar Miller7.2James Starks7.1
DeAndre Hopkins6.9Jordy Nelson8.8
Will Fuller2.9Davante Adams7.4
C.J. Fiedorowicz5.2Randall Cobb6.2
Ryan Griffin2.0Ty Montgomery2.1
Texans DST3.9Jared Cook2.8
Packers DST8.1

Start Him

James Starks RB / Green Bay Packers (2016 stats)
ATT: 57 YDS: 141 TD: 0 TAR: 25 REC: 19 REC YDS: 134 REC TD: 2

Three of the Texans' five road games this season have been blowout losses, and a fourth should be in store Sunday at Green Bay. Starks has been touchdown dependent, but last week we saw the Packers turn to him in the fourth quarter to help kill the clock in a blowout win.

The thinking is he'll get the same kind of workload -- 22 touches -- and do a better job with it against a Texans defense that's allowed seven touchdowns to running backs on the road (five games) compared to four at home (six games).

Eagles at Bengals

Carson Wentz3.3Andy Dalton4.7
Wendell Smallwood5.7Jeremy Hill7.6
Darren Sproles5.0Rex Burkhead2.4
Dorial Green-Beckham4.2Tyler Boyd4.4
Zach Ertz5.8Brandon LaFell3.8
Eagles DST7.7James Wright2.2
Tyler Eifert8.8
Bengals DST7.1

Start Him

Jeremy Hill RB / Cincinnati Bengals (2016 stats)
ATT: 147 YDS: 644 TD: 6 TAR: 19 REC: 15 REC YDS: 123 REC TD: 0

Three of Hill's four games with 10-plus Fantasy points (non-PPR), four of his six touchdowns and both of his games with at least 90 rushing yards have come at home. Plus if last week is any indication, Hill might start making an impact as a pass-catcher after drawing career-highs in targets and catches with six.

Philly has allowed a touchdown to a running back in two straight but has otherwise played good run defense, but playing on the road after losing at home on Monday night puts them in a tough spot.

Dolphins at Ravens

Ryan Tannehill3.7Joe Flacco4.8
Jay Ajayi7.4Kenneth Dixon6.5
Jarvis Landry5.0Terrance West5.3
Kenny Stills4.7Steve Smith7.1
Dion Sims2.6Mike Wallace5.3
Dolphins DST6.8Breshad Perriman3.2
Dennis Pitta3.4
Ravens DST8.3

Start Him

Steve Smith WR / Baltimore Ravens (2016 stats)
TAR: 66 REC: 48 YDS: 536 TD: 3

Get over last week's disappointing game and give Smith another shot. The last three touchdowns Miami has allowed have come from receivers lined up in the slot, two on pass plays of 15-plus yards. He'll see a lot of Bobby McCain in coverage and should have an edge on him. It helps that a receiver has scored on Miami in all but two games this year, and it's not always the outside guy doing the work.

49ers at Bears

Colin Kaepernick8.1Matt Barkley3.8
Carlos Hyde9.3Jordan Howard8.9
Torrey Smith4.1Jeremy Langford3.8
Jeremy Kerley2.0Marquess Wilson5.5
Vance McDonald6.7Cameron Meredith3.1
Garrett Celek3.0Bears DST3.6
49ers DST4.5

Start Them

Colin Kaepernick QB / San Francisco 49ers (2016 stats)
CMP%: 55.3 YDS: 1,440 TD: 10 INT: 3 ATT: 46 RUSH YDS: 373 RUSH TD: 1
Vance McDonald TE / San Francisco 49ers (2016 stats)
TAR: 41 REC: 22 YDS: 382 TD: 4

Chicago's defense is a mess. Over the past three weeks it has allowed two passing touchdowns per game including one to a tight end in each. McDonald has been the most consistent pass catcher for Kaepernick, coming through with more targets, catches, yards and touchdowns over his past four than anyone else on the Niners. The Bears have been burned for a score by a tight end in three straight.

Kaepernick has been piling up stats despite losing games, recording multiple passing touchdowns in three of his past four and running wild since taking over the starting job. Chicago has allowed 21 or more Fantasy points to a passer in four of its last five and Kap's been good for a minimum of 23 Fantasy points in each of his last four. The Niners have a shot to win this one on the strength of Kaepernick's play.

Bills at Raiders

Tyrod Taylor6.0Derek Carr7.8
LeSean McCoy9.4Latavius Murray7.9
Sammy Watkins6.95Jalen Richard3.0
Bills DST4.2Amari Cooper7.2
Michael Crabtree7.0
Seth Roberts3.9
Raiders DST5.4

Start Him

Michael Crabtree WR / Oakland Raiders (2016 stats)
TAR: 101 REC: 60 YDS: 711 TD: 6

Crabtree has only three games this season with less than nine Fantasy points -- against the Chiefs, Broncos and Texans. Those are some tough pass defenses. The Bills aren't. They've had receivers score six times on them over the past four weeks.

To be fair, Buffalo hasn't given up a ton of yards in those four weeks, but Crabtree's expected volume should continue, knowing that there isn't a dangerous cornerback who might shut him down. He's great as a No. 2 receiver and a better choice than Amari Cooper in PPR leagues.

Giants at Steelers

Eli Manning6.8Ben Roethlisberger8.6
Rashad Jennings5.4Le'Veon Bell9.6
Paul Perkins2.5Antonio Brown9.7
Odell Beckham8.9Eli Rogers4.3
Sterling Shepard4.8Ladarius Green4.8
Will Tye3.6Steelers DST6.7
Giants DST5.2

Sit Them

Rashad Jennings RB / New York Giants (2016 stats)
ATT: 115 YDS: 395 TD: 2 TAR: 28 REC: 22 REC YDS: 143 REC TD: 0
Sterling Shepard WR / New York Giants (2016 stats)
TAR: 72 REC: 44 YDS: 476 TD: 5

Despite getting 15 carries for the third straight game, Jennings disappointed with 3.7 yards per run and no touchdowns against the Browns. Now he'll go from an easy matchup to a tough one. The Steelers have given up only 3.4 yards per run over their last four with only Ezekiel Elliott scoring on them in that span. Jennings is a touchdown-dependent running back who has scored twice all season. Sit him.

Eli Manning said he actually apologized to Shepard for not throwing to him last week, going on to say that they need to get him involved. Doing so against the Steelers could be difficult, because only one slot receiver has scored on Pittsburgh all year and only four receivers, slot or otherwise, have had over 100 yards.

Shepard only has one touchdown on the road anyway. He is basically a touchdown-or-bust receiver anyway, so the odds are he won't help your squad.

Redskins at Cardinals

Kirk Cousins7.4Carson Palmer5.8
Rob Kelley5.6David Johnson9.5
Chris Thompson3.1Larry Fitzgerald5.4
Jamison Crowder7.6Michael Floyd2.6
DeSean Jackson6.6Jermaine Gresham5.0
Pierre Garcon3.7Cardinals DST6.6
Vernon Davis5.6
Redskins DST4.4

Sit Him

Rob Kelley RB / Washington Redskins (2016 stats)
ATT: 98 YDS: 461 TD: 4 TAR: 8 REC: 4 REC YDS: 4 REC TD: 1

Sure, the Cardinals allowed three scores to running backs last week and six in their past four overall. But in that same span they've held opposing rushers to 2.8 yards per attempt!

Kelley's as touchdown dependent as they come, but if he doesn't score you're looking at maybe 40 or 50 yards. Is it likely he'll score? Maybe he could if he's inside the 5, but Arizona has allowed just one rushing touchdown to a running back in six home games, and Kelley doesn't catch the ball much. Theo Riddick, Kenneth Dixon and Dion Lewis are safer choices.

Buccaneers at Chargers

Jameis Winston7.0Philip Rivers8.8
Doug Martin8.2Melvin Gordon9.1
Mike Evans9.4Tyrell Williams7.8
Russell Shepard2.5Dontrelle Inman4.0
Cameron Brate6.0Travis Benjamin3.5
Buccaneers DST5.3Antonio Gates7.1
Hunter Henry4.6
Chargers DST5.6

Start Him

Antonio Gates TE / San Diego Chargers (2016 stats)
TAR: 57 REC: 30 YDS: 290 TD: 5

The Bucs did a nice job containing Jimmy Graham last week, but it doesn't hide the fact that they struggle against tight ends. Before Week 12 they had allowed at least nine Fantasy points to a tight end in four straight. Expect Gates to bounce back in a big way after getting a donut last week, particularly since Philip Rivers tends to lean on the big guy when his wide receivers aren't at full strength.

Rivers is the toughest quarterback the Bucs have faced in three games and Gates will be a key target.

Panthers at Seahawks

Cam Newton5.6Russell Wilson7.2
Jonathan Stewart5.8Thomas Rawls7.0
Kelvin Benjamin4.9Doug Baldwin8.5
Ted Ginn2.7Jimmy Graham9.1
Greg Olsen6.6Seahawks DST9.1
Panthers DST4.3

Sit Him

Cam Newton QB / Carolina Panthers (2016 stats)
CMP%: 55.8 YDS: 2,432 TD: 13 INT: 8 ATT: 65 RUSH YDS: 274 RUSH TD: 5

Newton came through for over 20 Fantasy points last week, connecting on deep passes to Ted Ginn and Kelvin Benjamin to buoy his stats. It'll be tougher for him this week as the Panthers offensive line continues to get tested on the road, this time against a strong defense.

Michael Bennett is expected back for Seattle, just in time to help test an O-line that is on backups at the tackles and at center. Newton has played the Seahawks six times in four seasons and has maxed out at 21 Fantasy points, falling below 15 Fantasy points four times.

Why take the risk when you can go with Kaepernick, Stafford, Fitzpatrick or Prescott instead?

Colts at Jets

Andrew Luck8.0Ryan Fitzpatrick6.4
Frank Gore6.8Matt Forte9.0
T.Y. Hilton8.7Bilal Powell4.2
Donte Moncrief7.3Brandon Marshall8.6
Jack Doyle3.2Quincy Enunwa5.6
Dwayne Allen2.4Jets DST3.5
Colts DST4.1

Enunwa - Sneaky Sleeper

Quincy Enunwa WR / New York Jets (2016 stats)
TAR: 74 REC: 43 YDS: 643 TD: 4

We're quick to jump back on the Enunwa bandwagon after last week's big game, but let's not forget that he's a touchdown-dependent Fantasy receiver. When he scores, he's good for your Fantasy team. When he doesn't, he's a mortal lock to deliver single digits.

While he might see a lot of coverage from slot corner Darius Butler, the reality is that the Colts have allowed multiple touchdowns to receivers in three of their past four. Enunwa's worth trying as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver.

Senior Fantasy Writer

Dave Richard has spent nearly his entire career covering the National Football League. Beginning with at the boom of the Internet, Richard was that site's first Fantasy Football writer before transitioning... Full Bio

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