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Taysom Hill will make his first start of the season on Thursday night for the New Orleans Saints, and if 2020 is any indication, that means a massive shift in the way the Saints offense operates. 

First, let's start with the running. Hill averaged 10 rush attempts per game in his four starts last year. So far this year, Jameis Winston and Trevor Siemian have combined for fewer than four attempts per game. Even if you factor in Hill's two attempts per game, that's a pretty massive swing. Of course, it may not mean fewer attempts for the running backs, because the Saints ran the ball at a 52% clip in Hill's starts. So far this year the Saints have run the ball on 46% of their offensive plays.

Obviously, more rush attempts mean fewer pass attempts, but that wasn't the only change to the Saints passing game with Hill under center. In three of his four games, Alvin Kamara had fewer than 10 receiving yards. That evened out because Hill peppered Kamara in the fourth game, but it's something to watch for. Kamara isn't playing in Week 13, but it could definitely impact the upside of Mark Ingram.

Essentially, I would view this as a downgrade for everyone on the Saints offense. But the flip side of that is that Hill is instantly the most interesting Fantasy quarterback the Saints have started this season. In leagues that reward four points per pass touchdown he's a must-start option and he's a borderline No. 1 even in a standard CBS league. He's also the top streamer in that section below. 

Let's get to the rest of the Week 13 preview:

Week 13 QB Preview
QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 23.1 -- Taysom Hill averaged 23.1 Fantasy points per game in his four starts last season.
  • 38 -- Kyler Murray only had 38 rushing yards in his last four games when he was playing banged up. Hopefully, he's 100% and running again.
  • 28.1 -- Joe Burrow is averaging fewer than 30 pass attempts per game in wins this year.
  • 27.4 -- The Washington Football Team surrenders 27.4 Fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. No other team allows more than 23.
  • 15 -- Only two quarterbacks have scored more than 15 Fantasy points against the Bills this season. None since Week 5.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
NE New England • #10
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ BUF BUF -3 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
1st
PROJ PTS
12.4
QB RNK
23rd
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2850
RUYDS
71
TD
16
INT
8
FPTS/G
16.8
PHI Philadelphia • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ PHI -6.5 O/U 45.5
OPP VS QB
19th
PROJ PTS
24.5
QB RNK
4th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2435
RUYDS
695
TD
21
INT
8
FPTS/G
23.4
LV Las Vegas • #4
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs WAS LV -2.5 O/U 49
OPP VS QB
32nd
PROJ PTS
21.2
QB RNK
18th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
3414
RUYDS
73
TD
17
INT
9
FPTS/G
20.3
MIN Minnesota • #8
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ DET MIN -7 O/U 47
OPP VS QB
13th
PROJ PTS
23.6
QB RNK
6th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
3013
RUYDS
69
TD
24
INT
3
FPTS/G
24
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Waiver Wire/Streamers
NO New Orleans • #7
Age: 31 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DAL DAL -6 O/U 46
OPP VS QB
11th
QB RNK
15th
ROSTERED
57%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
56
RUYDS
104
TD
3
INT
1
FPTS/G
5.4
Hill could legitimately be a top-five quarterback rest of season if everything goes okay.
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NYG MIA -4 O/U 40.5
OPP VS QB
12th
QB RNK
16th
ROSTERED
61%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1701
RUYDS
68
TD
13
INT
6
FPTS/G
17.8
Tagovailoa's level of play for most of the past six weeks has been really high. He has a quarterback rating over 100 in four of his past five starts.
One To Stash
DEN Denver • #5
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ KC KC -10 O/U 47
OPP VS QB
26th
QB RNK
17th
ROSTERED
40%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2518
RUYDS
79
TD
17
INT
5
FPTS/G
18.2
I don't really want to trust him at Arrowhead, but Bridgewater gets the Lions at home in Week 14.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
BAL Baltimore • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ PIT BAL -4.5 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
14th
PROJ PTS
22.9
QB RNK
5th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2612
RUYDS
707
TD
17
INT
12
FPTS/G
25.1
Normally you wouldn't dream of choosing a quarterback who has struggled like Jackson has the past two weeks at Pittsburgh. But this defense is just not the same as they've been and Jackson is too good to keep struggling like this. If he comes at a lower roster rate as well, bonus!

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