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Opportunity matters more than efficiency at pretty much every position in Fantasy Football, but maybe nowhere more than running back. Especially in PPR. And Saquon Barkley has been a shining example of that over the past month. 

Despite a paltry 3.8 yards per carry and an abysmal 3.8 yards per target over the past five weeks, Barkley has scored more Fantasy points since Week 11 than all but 11 running backs. Even on a per-game basis, Barkley 12.8 PPR FPPG makes him a top 20 back in that stretch. This comes in a stretch where Barkley has as many touchdowns (one) as fumbles. 

Now, it's fair to recall we were making this same argument for Myles Gaskin a few weeks ago and now Gaskin has apparently been replaced by Duke Johnson. Unfortunately for Gaskin, he does not carry the same reputation as Barkley. 

The point of all this? There are at least a dozen uncertain backfields as we head into the Fantasy semi-finals, and while a lot of those backs may be producing better and on better offenses, I won't be able to start any of them over Barkley against an Eagles defense playing on a short week. While I may not rank him as high as he is projected below, he's still a must-start running back in PPR scoring.

Let's get to the rest of the Week 16 RB Preview:

Week 16 RB Preview
RB Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 16 at this time. Here's what it means:

Who's Out
Projections powered by Sportsline
CIN Cincinnati • #28
Age: 25 • Experience: 6 yrs.
If Mixon can't go, Samaje Perine is a must-start running back with top-10 upside.
TB Tampa Bay • #7
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CAR TB -10.5 O/U 44
OPP VS RB
4th
PROJ PTS
0
RB RNK
5th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
812
REC
69
REYDS
454
TD
10
FPTS/G
18.3
Ronald Jones will be the top waiver add this week and a top-15 back in all formats.
RB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 31 -- Targets for Barkely since Week 11. Only Leonard Fournette has more.
  • 90 -- Touches for Ronald Jones in four games without Fournette last year.
  • 21 -- James Robinson tied his season high with 21 touches in his first game without Urban Meyer.
  • 59% -- Javonte Williams' snap share in Week 15, his highest in a game that Melvin Gordon also played.
  • 68% -- Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran a route on 68% of Patrick Mahomes' drop backs in Week 15. As shorthanded as they may be in the passing game, he should see more targets.
  • 93% -- Devin Singletary played a season-high 93% of the Bills' offensive snaps in Week 16. He has a tough matchup, but that type of role would make him an RB2. Just watch to see if Zack Moss is inactive.
  • 0 -- We have zero idea what is going on with Austin Ekeler, who was reportedly headed to the COVID IR but has not been added as of Wednesday morning.
RB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
KC Kansas City • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs PIT KC -7.5 O/U 44
OPP VS RB
25th
PROJ PTS
11.6
RB RNK
13th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
490
REC
18
REYDS
125
TD
5
FPTS/G
11.9
SF San Francisco • #30
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ TEN SF -3.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS RB
1st
PROJ PTS
5.6
RB RNK
36th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
249
REC
4
REYDS
19
TD
1
FPTS/G
6.1
ATL Atlanta • #84
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DET ATL -6 O/U 42.5
OPP VS RB
29th
PROJ PTS
18
RB RNK
12th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
565
REC
48
REYDS
524
TD
10
FPTS/G
16.7
JAC Jacksonville • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ NYJ -2.5 O/U 41.5
OPP VS RB
32nd
PROJ PTS
16.9
RB RNK
9th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
757
REC
31
REYDS
222
TD
8
FPTS/G
13.3
NYJ N.Y. Jets • #32
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs JAC NYJ -2.5 O/U 41.5
OPP VS RB
17th
PROJ PTS
11.9
RB RNK
23rd
YTD Stats
RUYDS
448
REC
33
REYDS
310
TD
4
FPTS/G
11.9
BUF Buffalo • #28
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NO NO -3 O/U 39
OPP VS RB
2nd
PROJ PTS
7
RB RNK
NR
YTD Stats
RUYDS
125
REC
1
REYDS
20
TD
2
FPTS/G
13.8
RB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 16 Adds
KC Kansas City • #27
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CAR TB -10.5 O/U 44
OPP VS RB
4th
RB RNK
13th
ROSTERED
36%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
337
REC
7
REYDS
47
TD
3
FPTS/G
4.2
Of all the potential injury replacements, Jones appears to be the most likely to get a full workload. There are some questions about his role in the passing game, but Ke'Shawn Vaughn was miserable last week.
CIN Cincinnati • #34
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs BAL CIN -2.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS RB
9th
RB RNK
20th
ROSTERED
25%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
242
REC
24
REYDS
180
TD
2
FPTS/G
6
I'm less certain Mixon will miss Week 16 than Fournette, but Perine has the same kind of upside as Jones if he does.
LAC L.A. Chargers • #22
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ HOU LAC -9 O/U 45.5
OPP VS RB
26th
RB RNK
NR
ROSTERED
13%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
239
REC
11
REYDS
60
TD
0
FPTS/G
3.8
Jackson is a low-end No. 2 running back without Ekeler because of uncertainty about workload and whether he'd be used in short yardage. But both he and Joshua Kelley are adds.
BUF Buffalo • #28
Age: 28 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NO NO -3 O/U 39
OPP VS RB
2nd
RB RNK
NR
ROSTERED
16%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
125
REC
1
REYDS
20
TD
2
FPTS/G
13.8
It's a miserable matchup, but Johnson looked like clearly the best back in Miami.
DET Detroit • #48
Age: 25 • Experience: 1 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ ATL ATL -6 O/U 42.5
OPP VS RB
24th
RB RNK
32nd
ROSTERED
45%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
195
REC
3
REYDS
21
TD
0
FPTS/G
12.3
Reynolds can still be a good flex with Jamaal Williams back, but his value would be crushed if D'Andre Swift also returns.
Stash
CHI Chicago • #24
Age: 24 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ SEA SEA -7 O/U 43.5
OPP VS RB
30th
RB RNK
NR
ROSTERED
28%
YTD Stats
RUYDS
392
REC
13
REYDS
89
TD
1
FPTS/G
4.8
Herbert, and backs like him, should be filling your bench spots, just in case they end up with a feature role in Week 17.
RB Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
KC Kansas City • #27
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CAR TB -10.5 O/U 44
OPP VS RB
4th
PROJ PTS
11.5
RB RNK
NR
YTD Stats
RUYDS
337
REC
7
REYDS
47
TD
3
FPTS/G
4.2
Yes, everyone is going to play Jones if Fournette is out. No, I'm not brave enough to fade him at a high roster rate.
Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
KC Kansas City • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs PIT KC -7.5 O/U 44
OPP VS RB
25th
PROJ PTS
11.6
RB RNK
13th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
490
REC
18
REYDS
125
TD
5
FPTS/G
11.9
Edwards-Helaire has been a disappointment, but this is a smash spot. At home, against a bad run defense and a worse offense, possibly without the team's top two targets. He should see 20-plus touches, win or lose.
RB Preview
Heath's Projections

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