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In Week 7, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott, and Kirk Cousins are all on a bye. What's worse is that some of last week's top options have difficult matchups. It's really tough to trust Joe Burrow against the Ravens or Carson Wentz at San Francisco. 

Thankfully, at the beginning of the week, we had Matt Ryan at below 70% ownership. As of Friday morning, that ship has sailed. If you have Ryan, start him with confidence. If not, look for the quarterback he's facing, Tua Tagovailoa.

Tagovailoa is now rostered in 68% of leagues, so he's just above the threshold we use for waiver wire adds. He's also a top-10 quarterback this week coming off a 319-yard performance against Jacksonville. Before you dismiss that effort because of the opponent, remember that the Falcons have been even worse against quarterbacks. Three of the five quarterbacks they've faced have topped 30 Fantasy points.

If Ryan and Tagovailoa are both unavailable, my third choice would have been Teddy Bridgewater, and his Thursday night performance was fine, all things considered. But that does not help you now. I do have some deeper options below.

Let's get to the rest of the Week 7 preview:

Week 7 QB Preview
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Numbers to know
  • 3.3% -- Patrick Mahomes has a career-high 3.3% interception rate.
  • 40.2% -- Jalen Hurts has a 40.2% share of the Eagles' rush attempts, by far the highest mark in the league for a quarterback.
  • 79.7 -- Sam Darnold's passer rating in 2021. His career passer rating is 78.7. The rushing touchdown mirage is fading fast.
  • 44.5 -- 44-year-old Tom Brady is averaging more than 44 pass attempts per game.
  • 9.2 -- Matthew Stafford is averaging a career-best 9.2 yards per attempt. It's unlikely the Lions slow him down.
  • 341 -- Derek Carr has thrown for at least 341 yards in four of his six starts.
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Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
CIN Cincinnati • #9
Age: 24 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ BAL BAL -6.5 O/U 47
OPP VS QB
12th
PROJ PTS
18.5
QB RNK
12th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1540
RUYDS
44
TD
14
INT
7
FPTS/G
23
ATL Atlanta • #2
Age: 36 • Experience: 14 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ MIA ATL -2.5 O/U 47.5
OPP VS QB
26th
PROJ PTS
21.5
QB RNK
6th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1332
RUYDS
26
TD
10
INT
3
FPTS/G
22
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs ATL ATL -2.5 O/U 47.5
OPP VS QB
17th
PROJ PTS
20.5
QB RNK
12th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
544
RUYDS
23
TD
4
INT
2
FPTS/G
14.6
TEN Tennessee • #17
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs BUF BUF -6 O/U 53.5
OPP VS QB
1st
PROJ PTS
22.2
QB RNK
13th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1251
RUYDS
130
TD
7
INT
3
FPTS/G
18.9
LAR L.A. Rams • #9
Age: 33 • Experience: 12 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DET LAR -15 O/U 50
OPP VS QB
22nd
PROJ PTS
27.5
QB RNK
5th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1838
RUYDS
26
TD
16
INT
4
FPTS/G
27.5
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Waiver Wire Targets
Waiver Wire/Streamers
NO New Orleans • #2
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ SEA NO -4.5 O/U 42.5
OPP VS QB
18th
QB RNK
12th
ROSTERED
59%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
892
RUYDS
86
TD
13
INT
3
FPTS/G
22.8
Volume is something you can't count on from Winston; he hasn't thrown more than 30 passes all season. But his matchup against Seattle is the type that could lead to extremely high efficiency.
NYG N.Y. Giants • #8
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs CAR CAR -3 O/U 43
OPP VS QB
22nd
QB RNK
18th
ROSTERED
44%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1524
RUYDS
201
TD
6
INT
4
FPTS/G
18.5
I only include Jones because so many people could be desperate for a starting quarterback. I don't like him near as much as Winston or Tagovailoa, but we can't be picky in Week 7.
SF San Francisco • #10
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs IND SF -4 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
28th
QB RNK
15th
ROSTERED
23%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
925
RUYDS
26
TD
6
INT
2
FPTS/G
16.9
Opponents have had far more success through the air versus the Colts defense than on the ground. And I would anticipate Kyle Shanahan having his team well schemed up coming out of a bye. It also helps Garoppolo that he won't lose snaps to Trey Lance, who isn't playing this week.
One To Stash
CAR Carolina • #1
Age: 32 • Experience: 11 year
In very deep leagues, or two-quarterback leagues, Newton needs to be added. Pete Carroll has confirmed that the team has spoken with Newton and the veteran quarterback would be very interesting with both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to throw to.
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DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
TB Tampa Bay • #12
Age: 44 • Experience: 21 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs CHI TB -13 O/U 47
OPP VS QB
11th
PROJ PTS
26
QB RNK
3rd
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2064
RUYDS
37
TD
18
INT
3
FPTS/G
31
For all the talk about running quarterbacks, if a guy is going to throw it more than 40 times a game to Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown, he's an elite Fantasy quarterback.
Top Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Even after Tagovailoa threw for more than 300 yards in Week 6, the talk seemed to be about how much better Trevor Lawrence played, when their stats were very similar. A lot of people seem to have written off the second-year quarterback, which will hopefully keep his roster rate low in a great matchup.
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Heath's projections

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 7 rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that has out-performed experts big-time.