A lot of Fantasy fans will see Torrey Smith's 11 touchdowns from last season and say "Ooh, that's awesome."

Then they'll see him as the de facto No. 1 receiver in San Francisco and say "Ooh, he's the top target for Colin Kaepernick."

And then they'll draft Smith too soon, only to say "Ugh, I guess I should have taken someone else."

Make any weird noise you want, but Smith has proven to be a very touchdown-dependent receiver especially capable of making big plays but coming up small otherwise. Take last year for instance -- he had 10-plus Fantasy points in eight of 15 games (that's good) but managed five points or less in seven games (that's bad). And all of those 10-point games saw Smith score. You have to go back to Oct. 6, 2013, to find the last time Smith delivered 10 or more Fantasy points (standard scoring) without a touchdown. And he's only done it twice in four years!

And despite the 11 touchdowns, Smith finished as the 18th-best receiver in Fantasy last season. That's because he had a career-low 767 yards and 49 catches. He also sported a career-low 15.7 yards per catch and personal worsts in explosive plays (13 plays of 20-plus yards, two plays of 40-plus yards).

I don't see Smith breaking out and becoming a heavy-catch receiver in San Francisco. Heck, even with heavy targets Smith's track record suggests he'll catch roughly half of them (he snared 53.3 pct. of targets last season, 47.1 pct. the year before). He's just not that guy.

It doesn't help that new Niners offensive coordinator Geep Chryst's limited track record suggests he doesn't leave a lot to his receivers

And what about those pass defenses in the NFC West? How do you think Smith will do lined up across from Richard Sherman, Patrick Peterson and whoever the Rams end up starting at cornerback? How do you think Smith will do against them? Or even the Ravens, who the Niners host in 2015?

If there's a silver lining, it's that Kaepernick has bred a 1,000-yard receiver in each of his three seasons as a starter (two with Anquan Boldin, one with Michael Crabtree). And, let's face it, the Niners defense can't be considered a lock to remain strong after losing so many key players this offseason. That could lead to more opportunities.

Smith will be one of those receivers we all settle for on Draft Day as a borderline No. 2/No. 3 receiver. It's fine if you end up drafting him so long as you don't commit to him being your weekly starter. That could prove to be a major headache for you to deal with every week. Don't end up there.