chase-edmonds-3-1400.jpg

Week 1 gave us a whole lot of surprises. There were no surprises greater than what we saw go down with Kyle Shanahan's 49ers. Both Brandon Aiyuk and Trey Sermon were expected to play big roles in Week 1. Aiyuk started the game on the bench and Sermon was a healthy scratch. More so than anything else, matchups played a key role in deciding who you should've started or benched in Week 1. Matchups play a key role in deciding Fantasy points on a weekly basis and there will be examples of players currently on your benches that should be starting over players currently in your lineups. That's the nature of the game. 

And while these matchup-based plays will become more apparent and easier to spot as we accumulate more data on the season, there are glaring Week 2 examples of players you should start and sit. There are also examples of sleepers who could provide unexpected production and big names who could flop based on these Week 2 matchups. 

The best part is that you get to have a say in who makes this story every week! Follow me on Twitter and look for my weekly #SSSB polls to help me choose who I analyze. 

All lines from Caesars Sportsbook.

Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Thu, Sep 16 at 8:20 pm ET •
WAS -3.5, O/U 40.5

The line wants us to believe: The game will be close on the strength of both defenses. Actually it might stay close on the weaknesses of both offenses. The Giants won't be a popular pick because Daniel Jones is more like Danny Dunce than Danny Dimes. Expect this game to stay close until a New York turnover leads to easy points for Washington.

Bust Candidate
Projections powered by Sportsline
NYG N.Y. Giants • #26
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ WAS WAS -3.5 O/U 40.5
OPP VS RB
14th
PROJ PTS
12
RB RNK
33rd
YTD Stats
RUYDS
26
REC
1
REYDS
1
TD
0
FPTS/G
3.7
The good news is that Barkley played 47% of the snaps in Week 1 and came out unscathed. He was able to separate from linebackers in his routes, he was fine in pass protection and he definitely had flashes of his trademark agility and power. Now comes the bad news: His offensive line is an even bigger liability than we thought it would be. Barkley averaged 0.30 yards before contact on his Week 1 carries, fourth-worst among running backs. He also might have done a little too much dancing at times when he saw oncoming defenders instead of running to space and/or contact. The hunch is that New York will give Barkley more work, but not his usual dose. Washington's tough front seven is a major problem too. That'll come next week when he's rested and at home versus the lowly Falcons. If you can do it, wait one more week to confidently start Barkley.

Flex starter in PPR
Projections powered by Sportsline
NYG N.Y. Giants • #3
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ WAS WAS -3.5 O/U 40.5
OPP VS WR
29th
PROJ PTS
12.6
WR RNK
31st
YTD Stats
REC
7
TAR
9
REYDS
113
TD
1
FPTS/G
24.3
After receiving a generous 24% target share last week and putting up over 100 yards against the Broncos' beastly secondary, it's not hard to think of Shepard as a good PPR choice. Washington's zone-preferred defense was gashed by Keenan Allen for 76 of his 100 yards when he lined up in the slot last week, and that's where Shepard should be for much of his routes this week. Shepard has posted at least 10 PPR points in each of his past three against Washington -- that's his floor for Week 2.


Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
CAR +3.5, O/U 44.5

The line wants us to believe: The Saints are in great shape. Maybe it's just me but I felt like some of Jameis Winston's throws last week were off-target, including some of the touchdowns that were caught. Plays like that will catch up to Winston, and Carolina's defense is pretty good outside of one meltdown that led to a long Corey Davis touchdown catch. I think the Panthers will do more than just hang with the Saints at home.

Flex Starter
Projections powered by Sportsline
CAR Carolina • #11
Age: 28 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NO NO -3.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS WR
4th
PROJ PTS
11.5
WR RNK
34th
YTD Stats
REC
1
TAR
3
REYDS
57
TD
1
FPTS/G
12.7
Almost good enough to call a straight-up start, Anderson should see more targets this week against the Saints. Christian McCaffrey's return led to nine targets from Sam Darnold, who preferred the short, easy throws to longer ones. But Darnold also went Terrace Marshall's way a lot -- twice as often as Anderson, actually. It might have been a case of taking what the defense gave him, but Marshall's disappointing debut should mean a rebound of targets for Anderson. That may definitely be the case against a Saints offense that certainly looks capable of putting points on the board. Anderson should remain among your starting options as at worst a top-30 receiver.
Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
NO New Orleans • #83
Age: 25 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CAR NO -3.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS TE
15th
PROJ PTS
7.9
TE RNK
16th
YTD Stats
REC
3
TAR
3
REYDS
21
TD
2
FPTS/G
17.1
Maybe the best thing Johnson did over his 12 snaps last Sunday (yep, just 12) was adjust to two off-target throws from Jameis Winston for touchdowns. He has solid speed for a guy his size, but it's the length he offers as a pass-catcher that makes him appealing, especially for someone like Winston who doesn't throw with pinpoint accuracy. If you start him, you're hoping the Saints coaches liked his athleticism and give him more routes to run, particularly when the Saints get inside the 10-yard line. Guys like Rob Gronkowski, Tyler Higbee and Jared Cook should start ahead of him. He's totally worth a roster spot, so get him if he's still out there.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
CHI -2.5, O/U 45

The line wants us to believe: Chicago's the better team. I'm convinced the oddsmakers are trying to get you to take the Bengals. How could anyone watch the Bears blow defensive coverages last week and become inept on offense and lay points against pretty much anyone in the league? Answer: They'll come out scoring this week. Cincinnati's linebackers and secondary are a liability given injuries, and the Bears should be able to work around their weak O-line to pull out a win.

Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
CIN Cincinnati • #1
Age: 21 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CHI CHI -2.5 O/U 45
OPP VS WR
28th
PROJ PTS
14.3
WR RNK
21st
YTD Stats
REC
5
TAR
7
REYDS
101
TD
1
FPTS/G
21.1
The only things Chase dropped in Week 1 were the jaws of his preseason detractors. He looked like a sure-fire first-round pick to me. Mental errors cost Chicago on two deep touchdown catches last week against crafty, but not necessarily athletically dominant, wideouts. In total, the Bears allowed an average of 7.0 yards after catch per reception, fourth-worst on the week. Mental errors can get cleaned up, but it doesn't mean the Bears won't get tested. You can be sure the Bengals will try dialing up some plays for Chase, who commanded a 26% target share in his first game with no drops.
Sit 'em
Projections powered by Sportsline
CIN Cincinnati • #83
Age: 26 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CHI CHI -2.5 O/U 45
OPP VS WR
28th
PROJ PTS
12.7
WR RNK
44th
YTD Stats
REC
3
TAR
4
REYDS
32
TD
0
FPTS/G
6.2
I want to believe in Boyd, especially after the Rams ate up middle-field targets against the Bears last week, but it's pretty clear where he stands in the Bengals' hierarchy. Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins simply offer more explosiveness to Joe Burrow, which the quarterback clearly was aware of last week (Chase had seven targets, Higgins had six, Boyd had four). But in a close game the Bengals went deep into overtime in, Burrow still threw the ball just 27 times versus 35 run plays. Chicago's pass defense is exposable, but I'm just not certain Cincinnati will throw a ton, nor am I certain Boyd will see an uptick in work even in a favorable matchup. It feels like a trap to start Boyd as anything other than a PPR flex.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
CLE -12.5, O/U 48

The line wants us to believe: Houston's win last week was meaningless. The Texans took advantage of a sloppy Jaguars team and rolled their way to a nice win. Cleveland is far more disciplined, but they're not necessarily the kind of team that can blow opponents out. Last year they won just three regular-season games by 10 or more points. The oddsmakers knew Houston would be a big underdog -- they're just trying to cover their butts.

Sit 'em
Projections powered by Sportsline
HOU Houston • #2
Age: 31 • Experience: 11 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CLE CLE -12.5 O/U 48
OPP VS RB
5th
PROJ PTS
9.6
RB RNK
38th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
85
REC
0
REYDS
0
TD
1
FPTS/G
14.5
The only reason Ingram saw 26 carries last week -- his most since 2014 -- was because the Texans built a 20-point lead at halftime and fed him 15 second-half carries. On the day Ingram averaged 0.58 yards before contact per rush, a tell-tale sign that his offensive line didn't do much to pop holes open for him against Jacksonville. Even with six offensive linemen and a blocking H-back from the 2-yard line, Ingram was hit before scoring his touchdown. I can't think of a better example of just how disappointing the blocking was for Ingram than that. Cleveland held Clyde Edwards-Helaire to 3.1 yards per rush last week and remains stout up front. Ingram is a low-floor touchdown-or-bust Fantasy rusher who will continue to split work with Phillip Lindsay, who is clearly speedier.
Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
HOU Houston • #13
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CLE CLE -12.5 O/U 48
OPP VS WR
22nd
PROJ PTS
12.5
WR RNK
30th
YTD Stats
REC
5
TAR
7
REYDS
132
TD
0
FPTS/G
18.2
There's no doubt the Browns are a tougher matchup for Cooks than the piddly Jaguars secondary. But Tyrod Taylor made it clear that Cooks is his top target, getting him over 100 yards thanks to a pair of deep targets in the first half with a 21.7% target share. Even with the Texans barely throwing in the second half, Cooks had 2 of 10 targets, a 20% share according to my middle-school math student. Taylor should be trusted to get catchable throws to Cooks in short- and mid-range plays with a continued effort to look for him deep (even if they're lucky heaves Cooks makes a wild contested catch on in double coverage). The Texans figure to play in a negative game script at Cleveland. Cooks is a No. 2 receiver.
Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
CLE Cleveland • #27
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs HOU CLE -12.5 O/U 48
OPP VS RB
12th
PROJ PTS
13.9
RB RNK
23rd
YTD Stats
RUYDS
33
REC
3
REYDS
28
TD
1
FPTS/G
17.1
Bank on the Browns doing what the Jaguars didn't do -- run the football. Houston's run defense wasn't really tested last week since Jacksonville called 14 running back runs all game. By the way, the Jaguars running backs had five-plus yards on eight of those 14 carries. Hunt played 47% of the snaps last week including every third-down snap and three snaps inside the 10-yard line to Chubb's two (they each had six red-zone snaps). In 12 games last year and one game this year with Chubb, Hunt has 10 touchdowns (seven rushing). Both Browns bulldozers should be fantastic with Hunt as a No. 2 option.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
IND +4, O/U 47.5

The line wants us to believe: The Colts will keep it close. With a beat-up offensive line and a quarterback who seemed rusty last week, Indy couldn't quite compete with the Seahawks. They're facing a team that's built similarly to the Seahawks in the Rams, but more injuries along with just one more week of added time with Carson Wentz shouldn't be enough. This feels like a trappy line but I just cannot buy into Indianapolis.

Start 'em
Projections powered by Sportsline
LAR L.A. Rams • #89
Age: 28 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ IND LAR -4 O/U 47.5
OPP VS TE
24th
PROJ PTS
10.3
TE RNK
10th
YTD Stats
REC
5
TAR
6
REYDS
68
TD
0
FPTS/G
11.8
Fantasy managers are right to be encouraged by Higbee's Week 1 usage, complete with a 23.1% target share. I worry about whether or not it's sustainable, but at least it was nice to see glimpses of vintage 2019 Higbee, complete with getting open downfield and making the most of his screen targets. Just keep in mind: he had just one red-zone target out of nine plays and one target on third down overall. The Colts played a similar style of offense last week and will probably employ a lot of zone coverage, which in theory will help Higbee.
Flex starter in PPR
Projections powered by Sportsline
IND Indianapolis • #21
Age: 24 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LAR LAR -4 O/U 47.5
OPP VS RB
21st
PROJ PTS
9.6
RB RNK
31st
YTD Stats
RUYDS
34
REC
6
REYDS
48
TD
0
FPTS/G
14.2
In last week's play-from-behind effort, Hines had a touch or a target on 50% of his snaps played (17 of 34). He also played half of his snaps in the fourth quarter and seven more than Taylor had. Of course that's all in addition to the sweet 21% target share he enjoyed. While the role in the passing game seems locked in, it's the number of carries I'd worry about staying consistent from game to game. It was just his ninth career game with eight-plus carries, and he's fallen below 4.0 yards per carry in five of them. So obviously stick with Hines in PPR formats where he should continue to reel in Carson Wentz throws as long as the Colts aren't playing with a lead. That should be the case this Sunday.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
JAC +6, O/U 45.5

The line wants us to believe: Jacksonville isn't that big of a mess. Laying the proverbial egg at Houston last week should make the Jaguars an unpopular side. But here are the Broncos on the road for the second straight week against an embarrassed Jaguars team. Denver should win, but expect Jacksonville to get back to basics in an effort to keep the game close.

Start 'em
Projections powered by Sportsline
JAC Jacksonville • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DEN DEN -6 O/U 45.5
OPP VS RB
2nd
PROJ PTS
10.3
RB RNK
26th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
25
REC
3
REYDS
29
TD
0
FPTS/G
8.4
The Jaguars forgot about their run game last week, throwing on 11 of 12 plays in the first quarter and 21 of 30 in the first half. Chances are they were focused on attacking the Texans secondary and letting Trevor Lawrence let it rip. Down 20 at halftime, they really couldn't afford to suddenly become balanced. My hunch is that they'll employ a more balanced approach this week against the Broncos, helped especially by Denver's legit secondary. Bank on more carries and some good receiving numbers for Robinson, who averaged 5.0 yards per tote last week thanks to an added burst to his game from last year.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
MIA +3.5, O/U 48.5

The line wants us to believe: The Bills' Week 1 loss wasn't legit. Had Buffalo taken on an easier defense, they should have won big. Pittsburgh's defense is tough -- tougher than Miami's. The Dolphins struggled to put up points last week and really got lucky with a late fumble to hang on to the win. Stats said the Bills defense was great last week, but the scoreboard will say it this week.

Sit Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
MIA Miami • #17
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs BUF BUF -3.5 O/U 48.5
OPP VS WR
14th
PROJ PTS
12.4
WR RNK
37th
YTD Stats
REC
4
TAR
6
REYDS
61
TD
1
FPTS/G
16.1
Of the 27 pass plays Waddle was in last week, he ran a route over 10 yards downfield only six times. Receivers like that need consistent volume. He might get the same type of target numbers against a Buffalo defense that prefers to force quarterbacks to throw to the short-middle field. If he can make a play on a couple of those throws, great, but with Will Fuller not expected to play he should have a shot to renew his 22% target share from last week. It's an unknown if the Dolphins can take advantage. The Bills pass defense looked mostly great last week, holding the Steelers to under 200 passing yards. Work under the assumption that Waddle is good for maybe 12 or 13 PPR points, which is why he's a flex option at best in PPR. There are others out there with more upside.
Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
MIA Miami • #11
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.
YTD Stats
REC
4
TAR
7
REYDS
81
TD
0
FPTS/G
12.1
With Fuller not expected to play, Parker has a shot to see seven-plus targets for the second week in a row. He'll do so against a Bills defense he's posted at least 11 non-PPR/16 PPR Fantasy points in each of his past four over two seasons against. Being honest, those four games involved a lot of targets where he was the de facto No. 1 wideout for Miami -- now he's sharing a bit between Waddle and the other pass-catchers for Miami. But Fantasy managers could be encouraged by the 8 non-PPR/12 PPR points he had last week and consider that as a floor. Parker is a good DFS play as well as a borderline No. 3 option in redraft.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
NYJ +5.5, O/U 42.5

The line wants us to believe: New England isn't quite good enough to blow out the Jets. New York has so many injuries on both sides of the ball and Bill Belichick is going to make things really tough on Zach Wilson. There were flashes from Wilson in the second half last week, but he'll struggle to even hit his team's implied point total whereas the Patriots could find their way to close to 27 points.

Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
NE New England • #37
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ NE -5.5 O/U 42.5
OPP VS RB
26th
PROJ PTS
10.2
RB RNK
19th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
100
REC
2
REYDS
17
TD
0
FPTS/G
11.7
Harris' late-game fumble was really unfortunate, but what else are the Patriots going to do here? Ditch their best all-around running back for a rookie (who also fumbled last week) or a second-year guy with minimal experience? Outside of turning James White into an every-down guy, those are the Patriots options. It's very possible Harris winds up sharing more than he did in Week 1 (79% carry share among the running backs), but he's their best bet to provide a sustained run game. Luckily for him and the rest of the team, the matchup against a depleted and beleaguered Jets defense is perfect to get-right against. Even if he had 15 carries, I would expect a nice game from Harris.
Sit 'em
Projections powered by Sportsline
NE New England • #28
Age: 29 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ NE -5.5 O/U 42.5
OPP VS RB
26th
PROJ PTS
11
RB RNK
35th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
12
REC
6
REYDS
49
TD
0
FPTS/G
12.1
There are only two ways White will have the same kind of game as he had last week (11 PPR points): If the Patriots find themselves in a competitive game, or if Bill Belichick installs White as his every-down running back. White has four career games with 10-plus carries, so I doubt the latter happens, and the Jets are ugly on both sides of the football, so I doubt the former happens.

Bust Candidate
Projections powered by Sportsline
NYJ N.Y. Jets • #84
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NE NE -5.5 O/U 42.5
OPP VS WR
3rd
PROJ PTS
13.8
WR RNK
36th
YTD Stats
REC
5
TAR
7
REYDS
97
TD
2
FPTS/G
26.7
It's pretty obvious that Davis is not only the Jets' best receiver, but their best offensive player. You can bet your left shoe Bill Belichick's defense will be keyed in on him so that they don't yield a fluke score like the Panthers did on his first touchdown last week. It's a play like his second touchdown on an out route deep in the red zone that you have to sweat out if you sit him. But the truth is that the Jets' O-line is a mess and rookie quarterback Zach Wilson is about to see all kinds of exotic coverages meant to trip him up. You shouldn't even feel that great about him as a flex this week.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
PHI +3.5, O/U 50

The line wants us to believe: The Eagles Week 1 win was a fluke. This should be much closer to a pick 'em. We'll learn more about both teams, but I wouldn't be shocked in the least if the Eagles won by six. Their defense was very good last week and will do plenty to pressure Jimmy Garoppolo and make life tough for the Niners' young run game. Jalen Hurts has earned enough cred to be given some confidence here, especially versus a pass defense that lost a starting cornerback.

Bust Candidate
Projections powered by Sportsline
SF San Francisco • #25
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ PHI SF -3.5 O/U 50
OPP VS RB
14th
PROJ PTS
10.9
RB RNK
24th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
104
REC
0
REYDS
0
TD
1
FPTS/G
16.4
Mitchell showed off a solid dose of speed and tackle-breaking ability on this play last week, cementing him as a piece of the 49ers run game for now. Count on someone else splitting with him, be it Trey Sermon or JaMycal Hasty (who is a decent one-week stash candidate). If it's Sermon, Mitchell's upside could be capped since Sermon's a bulkier back who might get more usage in short-yardage opportunities. This will also be a big test for the 49ers O-line. The Eagles, save for a couple of plays early on where the Falcons blocked up the Eagles defense nicely for Cordarrelle Patterson, were outstanding against the run. I may give the Niners the nod in that battle, which helps build confidence in Mitchell as a potential 15-touch back with efficiency. I'd play it carefully with Mitchell knowing the pitfalls of being in a 49ers timeshare in a difficult road matchup. Lower-upside talents in tricky matchups like Nyheim Hines, Ty'Son Williams, Devin Singletary, Josh Jacobs and Mike Davis are all backs I'd sit for Mitchell.
Flex Starter
Projections powered by Sportsline
SF San Francisco • #19
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ PHI SF -3.5 O/U 50
OPP VS WR
2nd
PROJ PTS
14.9
WR RNK
27th
YTD Stats
REC
9
TAR
12
REYDS
189
TD
1
FPTS/G
31.9
The stars aligned for Samuel last week -- the 49ers needed him to help pick up whatever slack their disappointing receiving corps left behind, and Raheem Mostert's injury led to more short, simple throws from Jimmy Garoppolo. End result was a career-best day for Samuel that included an improbable catch-and-run for a touchdown.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 1:00 pm ET •
PIT -5.5, O/U 47

The line wants us to believe: The Raiders are as good as they looked on Monday night. I struggle to buy into the Raiders playing on the road after a huge overtime win on Monday. They were given the game courtesy of two Lamar Jackson fumbles -- and that's on top of all the other mistakes Jackson and the Ravens made. The Steelers should be in position to gash them with Najee Harris on offense and pick off Derek Carr a couple of times on defense.

Sit Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
LV Las Vegas • #28
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
YTD Stats
RUYDS
34
REC
1
REYDS
6
TD
2
FPTS/G
17
An offensive line already down one starter for the season. A pesky toe injury. Kenyan Drake soaking up passing downs. There's quite a bit going against Jacobs heading into his Week 2 matchup, which is at Pittsburgh just six days after he and the Raiders played into overtime. It's too early to say whether or not the Steelers run defense is strong after giving up 6.5 yards per rush to Devin Singletary including 3.64 yards before contact per rush, but the situation simply doesn't bode well for Jacobs overall. If Jacobs didn't score last week, he would have had fewer Fantasy points than Carlos Hyde and James Conner. If you start Jacobs, you're praying he finds the end zone. I actually like Drake better in PPR.
Flex Starter
Projections powered by Sportsline
PIT Pittsburgh • #11
Age: 23 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LV PIT -5.5 O/U 47
OPP VS WR
12th
PROJ PTS
15.2
WR RNK
34th
There are a number of examples on film where Claypool beat his coverage last week, but Ben Roethlisberger was under some serious duress and couldn't connect. Roethlisberger ranked in the bottom-10 last weekend in Air Yards per attempt (6.13) and seconds until pressured per attempt (2.33). The Raiders defense isn't strong, but they're not stupid. They're going to try and pressure Roethlisberger right away with blitzes and force him into a lot of short, quick throws. That's a strike against Claypool, and honestly all of the Steelers receivers, until they figure out how to get Roethlisberger more time to throw. If you start Claypool, you're hoping he can make one or two big plays to carry his numbers.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 4:05 pm ET •
ARI -3.5, O/U 50.5

The line wants us to believe: The Cardinals aren't good enough to blow out two teams in a row. Keep an eye on how Minnesota's offensive line looks coming into this game -- if they're missing guys, the Cards pass rush can tee off again and make this another blowout win. I still have reservations about how good Arizona's secondary actually is, but their pass rush helps them out quite a bit. If Minnesota's O-line is at full strength, I wouldn't put it past them keeping it to within a field goal.

Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
ARI Arizona • #2
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs MIN ARI -3.5 O/U 50.5
OPP VS RB
23rd
PROJ PTS
12.7
RB RNK
20th
Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
ARI Arizona • #6
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs MIN ARI -3.5 O/U 50.5
OPP VS RB
24th
PROJ PTS
9.2
RB RNK
37th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
53
REC
0
REYDS
0
TD
0
FPTS/G
5.3
Conner out-touched Edmonds last week, but it was a byproduct of the Cardinals salting the game away as half of Conner's 16 carries came in the fourth quarter (Edmonds had three fourth-quarter carries). Conner definitely has his role locked up as the power back and clock-killing back, but Edmonds has the passing downs role as well as a piece of the running downs role when the game is in the balance. That should be the case against Minnesota, whose run defense allowed a bunch of yards to Joe Mixon last week, but it was over 29 carries through nearly five quarters. I suspect Edmonds will have a good shot to repeat last week's numbers (106 total yards) as the Vikings' zone-preferred defense could yield plenty of receptions to the running back. And don't rule out Conner as a touchdown scorer in what's expected to be one of the highest-scoring games of the weekend.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 4:05 pm ET •
TB -12.5, O/U 52

The line wants us to believe: The Falcons are already toast. How could this offense be given an implied point total of under 20 points?! They should be able to hit at least that number, even against Tampa Bay. Remember, the Buccaneers secondary wasn't so hot against the Cowboys. I fully expect the Falcons to throw a bunch and potentially keep it within one score by the fourth quarter.

Sit Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
ATL Atlanta • #28
Age: 28 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ TB TB -12.5 O/U 52
OPP VS RB
9th
PROJ PTS
12.5
RB RNK
29th
YTD Stats
RUYDS
49
REC
3
REYDS
23
TD
0
FPTS/G
10.2
Let's be real -- if the Buccaneers run defense bottled up Ezekiel Elliott and compelled the Cowboys to call nearly 60 pass plays, what makes you think the Falcons are going to be successful with Davis? He really didn't look so hot last week against the Eagles, averaging an ugly 0.67 yards before contact per attempt. Meanwhile, Cordarrelle Patterson averaged 3.43 yards before contact per attempt, but wasn't particularly speedy. Atlanta has to figure out how to improve its run game, but chances are they won't run it much at all. Your hope with Davis is that he picks up more work in the pass game and happens to fall into the end zone. He's not worth trusting unless you're thin on running back choices.
Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
ATL Atlanta • #8
Age: 21 • Experience: Rookie
YTD Stats
REC
4
TAR
8
REYDS
31
TD
0
FPTS/G
7.1
If the Falcons take the Cowboys blueprint and commit to passing a bunch, then Pitts should get schemed up a bunch and see more targets. There are some exploitable matchups for the Falcons to try with Pitts, but he really left a lot to be desired following his first NFL game. He didn't get open as much as a top-5 pick should, nor did he play with as much explosiveness as you might have seen from his Florida days. It might be because he was concentrating too much on his assignments and not playing freely. If that's the case then in time he'll come around and be great. Until then, you're probably starting him because of the draft capital you spent and the upside he provides as a more-than-a-touchdown-or-bust tight end. But expectations should be held in check.
Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
TB Tampa Bay • #7
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
YTD Stats
RUYDS
32
REC
5
REYDS
27
TD
0
FPTS/G
10.9
I don't care if Bruce Arians called Ronald Jones his starter. Who started the game for the Buccaneers last week? Who played 19 first-half snaps to Jones' 6? Who made the biggest impact in the passing game? Leonard Fournette is Tampa Bay's best back. And in a matchup against a Falcons defense that struggled to contain Philly's running backs last week, my money's on Fournette leading Tampa Bay in carries and total touches. Arians can talk about Jones all he wants, but when the Bucs have the ball near the goal line it would be a shocker if Jones and his butterfingers were on the field over the more reliable Fournette. Don't be surprised to see him as a top-24 running back in Week 2.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 4:25 pm ET •
LAC -3, O/U 55

The line wants us to believe: The Cowboys don't have enough offensive juice to keep up with the Chargers. Man, this line is designed to get you to bet the Cowboys. After all they put up 29 points last week. But the Chargers were great on both sides of the ball and should have put up more than 20 points if not for five drops on Justin Herbert throws. I think the Bolts will win and cover, a prediction made easier by DeMarcus Lawrence's foot injury keeping him out.

Flex Starter in PPR
Projections powered by Sportsline
LAC L.A. Chargers • #81
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
12
REYDS
82
TD
1
FPTS/G
22.2
Williams set a career-high in receptions last week while notching his 10th career game (out of 57) with at least 80 yards. Aside from a pair of gross drops, he looked pretty good doing it. Will he continue to get the chance? The Cowboys may opt to put outside cornerback Trevon Diggs on Williams a week after staying in close proximity to Mike Evans for four quarters. That might not even phase Justin Herbert, who is clearly the focal point of the Chargers offense, but it does suggest some possible trouble for Williams to be quite as good as he was last week. Tack on his very inconsistent history and Fantasy managers shouldn't be in a big hurry to start Williams as anything more than a PPR flex.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 4:25 pm ET •
SEA -5.5, O/U 54

The line wants us to believe: The Titans offense is unfixable. Ryan Tannehill looked jarred early on and missed some open receivers. He was fine by the end of the game but the Cardinals just blew the Titans defense out of the water. I figure something similar will happen here where the Seahawks put up plenty of points, but the Titans hang around just enough to keep things close.

Start Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
TEN Tennessee • #17
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.
YTD Stats
PAYDS
212
RUYDS
17
TD
2
INT
1
FPTS/G
16.1
Tannehill deserves the benefit of the doubt after posting just his sixth career game as Titans quarterback without 20-plus Fantasy points. His offensive line was miserable, he himself was off-kilter in the first half and especially missed some open receivers including Julio Jones, who beat his defender on the flea-flicker play that was completed to Chester Rogers. Tannehill did make a lot of short throws as the Cardinals settled into a lot of zone coverage once they had a lead. The Seahawks figure to play a similar style right from the get-go that should benefit Jones and A.J. Brown on their in-breaking routes. He's in my top-12, but at 12th among quarterbacks.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Sun, Sep 19 at 8:20 pm ET •
BAL +3.5, O/U 55

The line wants us to believe: The Chiefs have the defense to limit Lamar Jackson. There's actually a pretty good track record of Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo keeping rushing quarterbacks from doing a lot of damage. I'm certain he'll come up with a couple of plans to fluster Jackson like the Raiders did. Baltimore's secondary couldn't contain Darren Waller last week, so just imagine how Travis Kelce (and Tyreek Hill) will do this week.

Risky Starter
Projections powered by Sportsline
KC Kansas City • #25
Age: 22 • Experience: 2 yrs.
YTD Stats
RUYDS
43
REC
3
REYDS
29
TD
0
FPTS/G
10.2
The Chiefs got in the red zone on five different series last week against the Browns. Only on one of the series did they give Edwards-Helaire the ball at all, and it wasn't near the end zone. There was another damning circumstance when they got to midfield inside of 4:00 left in the game, up by only four, and gave Edwards-Helaire the ball once. It definitely feels like the Chiefs still don't completely trust Edwards-Helaire, and I can't blame them given who's playing quarterback. But when they did give Edwards-Helaire carries, he wasn't consistently decisive and really only benefited from good blocking on a nine-yard run out of 14 carries. Baltimore deserves plenty of credit for holding Las Vegas running backs to 45 rush yards on 16 carries on Monday. Could the Chiefs see how Drake averaged over 11.0 yards per catch and deploy Edwards-Helaire similarly? They did last year at Baltimore and it helped him rack up 130 total yards. Since that game he's played 13 times and had six-plus targets twice, so it's difficult to really trust Edwards-Helaire through the air.
Sit Him
Projections powered by Sportsline
BAL Baltimore • #34
Age: 25 • Experience: 1 year
YTD Stats
RUYDS
65
REC
3
REYDS
29
TD
1
FPTS/G
18.4
You know the old saying: When you have four running backs, you have none. Fine, no one says that, but for the Ravens, who have three running backs over the age of 28, it's true. The guy who's not 28, Williams (25), has the most explosiveness and gets the job done as a pure running back. He averaged 4.0 yards after contact per attempt last week and looked real good on his touchdown run. However, I'm sure he lost the confidence of his coaching staff last week in pass protection when he whiffed on a block that led to a game-changing fumble by Lamar Jackson. It'll absolutely crush his playing time and lead to a committee approach by the Ravens. The Chiefs run defense wasn't stunning against the Browns last week but should make things tough on everyone in Baltimore aside from Lamar Jackson. You shouldn't trust Williams.
Start 'em
10.0-7.00
6.99 - 5.01
5.00 - 0
Sit 'em
Mon, Sep 20 at 8:15 pm ET •
GB -11, O/U 48

The line wants us to believe: It's Aaron Rodgers bounce-back week. I thought Rodgers was out of sync last week and his O-line was overmatched. This is the right kind of opponent to fix those problems as Detroit's pass rush isn't very good and the pass defense already is on at least one second-string starter. It's silly to expect the Lions to score under 20 points when they put up 33 last week, though. A back-door cover is absolutely in play. 

Sneaky Sleeper
Projections powered by Sportsline
DET Detroit • #30
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
YTD Stats
RUYDS
54
REC
8
REYDS
56
TD
1
FPTS/G
25
The Lions had nearly a two-to-one snap split for D'Andre Swift and Williams, but it didn't limit Williams' numbers as he had a touch on 17 of his 30 snaps. He also finished third on the team in targets (nine) while tying for the lead in receptions (eight), a terrific omen considering that Detroit played from behind and figure to do so in most of their games. He also didn't look so back rushing. Expect Swift to still lead the way in playing time but for Williams to be involved overall. He's an easy low-end PPR starter and isn't the worst possible option in non-PPR either. Remember, he's their better option in short-yardage situations and just as effective on passing downs.