Editor's note: FanDuel.com is hosting a one-week long $350,000 Fantasy Football contest for Week 4. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $30,000. Starts Sunday, September 28th at 1 p.m. ET. Enter now to join Jamey this week.
Week 3 was the first time this season I didn't win money in FanDuel. I don't like that feeling, so let's get back to picking winners.
Last week, I went all in on the Packers and Lions facing each other, thinking it would be a high-scoring affair. Well, we know how that worked out with the Lions winning 19-7, and I didn't get what I was hoping for from Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, Jordy Nelson and Nate Freese. My other starters were Jimmy Graham, Stevan Ridley, Khiry Robinson and the Saints DST.
This week, we'll do a better job of picking guys, and we're still playing in the $350,000 Sunday Kickoff tournament, which is $10 to enter. The top winner takes home $30,000, and the top 6,764 teams win money.
The tournament is based on a $60,000 salary cap, and you have to fill out a lineup of QB, two RBs, three WRs, TE, K and D. The scoring is 0.5 PPR, and passing touchdowns are worth four points, with interceptions minus-1 point. All other touchdowns are worth six points. It's decimal scoring for all positions with 0.1 points for rushing and receiving yards and 0.04 points for passing yards.
I'll be playing in this tournament as well, and you can play against me by clicking here. You can see my lineup below.
Before we talk about my team, let's take a look at some players with good values for this tournament and some players to avoid based on high salaries. We want you to maximize your salary cap while avoiding players who could be disappointments.
Colin Kaepernick (vs. PHI)
Kaepernick is averaging more Fantasy points per game on FanDuel than Aaron Rodgers (15.9) and Stafford (16.7), who are priced higher than him. His 17.2 points put him at No. 7 for quarterbacks with at least three starts this year. He faces an Eagles defense that has allowed multiple touchdown passes to three quarterbacks already in Chad Henne, Nick Foles and Kirk Cousins, and we like that Kaepernick is running more with 118 yards the past two weeks.
Other good value picks: Jay Cutler (vs. GB) for $8,100, Ben Roethlisberger (vs. TB) for $7,700, Tony Romo (vs. NO) for $7,500, Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs. BUF) for $6,500, Teddy Bridgewater (vs. ATL) for $5,900
Tom Brady (at KC)
You have to scroll way down to see where Brady ranks in points per game since he's averaging just 11, and he's behind guys like Jake Locker (14.2), Ryan Tannehill (13.6) and Derek Carr (12.7), among others. He could easily break out of his funk this week against the Chiefs, but he has yet to score multiple touchdowns or pass for at least 250 yards this season. The Patriots want to run the ball, and Brady could continue to struggle statistically. I'd rather start Roethlisberger this week for $200 less.
Donald Brown (vs. JAC)
Brown is the last man standing in this Chargers backfield with Ryan Mathews (knee) and Danny Woodhead (ankle) out, and he should get a heavy workload in a favorable matchup. He got 31 carries for 62 yards and five catches for 27 yards in Week 3 at Buffalo after Woodhead went down, and we expect Brown to shine this week against the Jaguars if he gets 30-plus touches again. Jacksonville has already allowed six running backs to either score a touchdown or gain 100 total yards this year, so Brown has a great shot at a huge game this week.
Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. TEN)
Bradshaw has been one of the best surprises this season as he is proving to be the superior talent to Trent Richardson. He has at least 80 total yards in every game this season with 12 catches and three receiving touchdowns, and he's averaging 16.8 Fantasy points per game on FanDuel, which is good for No. 5 among regulars. He's facing a Titans defense that has allowed four rushing touchdowns the past two games, and Bradshaw should continue to roll in this matchup.
Other good value picks: Fred Jackson (at HOU) for $6,300, Stevan Ridley (at KC) for $6,100, Chris Ivory (vs. DET) for $5,800, Alfred Blue (vs. BUF) for $5,500, Khiry Robinson (at DAL) for $4,900, LeGarrette Blount (vs. TB) for $4,600
Chris Johnson (vs. DET)
Since we're looking at Fantasy points per game on FanDuel, Johnson is at 7.9 on average. By comparison, Ivory is at 13 points per game. The Lions have allowed two rushing touchdowns on the season to Rashad Jennings and Jonathan Stewart, but the defense hasn't allowed a running back to gain more than 46 yards on the ground. Since Ivory is $1,000 cheaper, he's a better option to use, and I'd definitely prefer starting Brown and Bradshaw based on their cost as well.
Joique Bell (at NYJ)
Bell has been a slight disappointment to start this season. He scored a touchdown in Week 1 against the Giants, which salvaged his production, and he had 97 total yards in Week 2 at Carolina before gaining just 33 rushing yards on 15 carries in Week 3 against Green Bay. We were expecting more, and this week could be another letdown. The Jets run defense is stout, and they have shut down Lacy and Forte in consecutive weeks with both combining for just 76 rushing yards. This game feels more like a Reggie Bush outing than running Bell into that defensive front. Based on his price, we'd advise going in a different direction this week.
Steve Smith (vs. CAR)
Smith has promised revenge against the Panthers, who cut him this offseason after he played there for 13 years. We expect him to deliver, and he's been playing well to start the season with 18 catches for 290 yards and a touchdown on 32 targets. The Panthers just allowed two touchdowns to Antonio Brown last week, and Smith should be given every opportunity to shine against his former team. I love him this week based on his value.
Allen Robinson (at SD)
Robinson has seen a boost in playing time the past two weeks, and he's responded with 10 catches for 154 yards on 16 targets. He had 10 targets in Week 3 against the Colts, and we expect that to be the norm moving forward with Blake Bortles under center. The Jaguars have a bad defense and limited running game, and we should see the Chargers go ahead early in this game, forcing Bortles to throw. Since Robinson is one of his main guys, you can expect another game with solid production, even on the road.
Other good value picks: Terrance Williams (vs. NO) for $6,100, Golden Tate (at NYJ) for $5,500, Marques Colston (at DAL) for $5,500, Markus Wheaton (vs. TB) for $5,100 and Malcom Floyd (vs. JAC) for $4,700
Cordarrelle Patterson (vs. ATL)
I hope the quarterback change from Matt Cassel (foot) to Bridgewater will help Patterson moving forward, and losing Kyle Rudolph (groin) should help as well. But until we see Patterson playing at a high level he remains a risky starting option, especially at that price. Patterson has just 17 targets on the season with 11 catches and 143 yards with no touchdowns. He can definitely make a play or two to help his production on a given week, but the lack of a running game in Minnesota as well as poor quarterback play has likely impacted his performance in a negative way. Hopefully the changes in Minnesota help Patterson in the near future, but we don't recommend playing him now.
T.Y. Hilton (vs. TEN)
Hilton is expected to play despite an ankle injury suffered in Week 3 against Jacksonville, but we're not sure if this is the week he can post an outstanding stat line. He leads the Colts in targets with 28, but he hasn't scored a touchdown in 11 games in a row in the regular season. He also hasn't scored a touchdown in his past six home games. There's still reason for optimism with Hilton based on his big-play ability, but we're not trusting him this week based on his price and since he's likely not 100 percent.
Antonio Gates (vs. JAC)
Ladarius Green (hamstring) could be out for this game, which would only enhance the value for Gates in a tasty matchup. The Jaguars have already allowed four touchdowns to opposing tight ends in three games, and Gates has started off strong with 14 catches for 185 yards and three touchdowns. He was limited to one catch for 8 yards in Week 3 at Buffalo on one target while Green had four catches for 64 yards on six targets. If Green is out as expected then you can count on Gates to shine. He's an excellent player to target based on his price.
Greg Olsen (at BAL)
Olsen has been great so far this season with 19 catches for 224 yards and two touchdowns on 26 targets, but he should struggle this week. The Ravens have been solid against opposing tight ends so far this season in holding Miller to four catches for 35 yards and Jordan Cameron to one catch for 23 yards. Newton is also struggling after his performance against the Steelers in Week 2 with his ribs and injured ankle, and I'm nervous about the Panthers in this game on the road.
Shaun Suisham (vs. TB)
Robbie Gould (vs. GB)
Shayne Graham (at DAL)
Graham Gano (at BAL)
Cody Parkey (at SF)
Blair Walsh (vs. ATL)
Steelers (vs. TB)
Lions (at NYJ)
Falcons (at MIN)
Chiefs (vs. NE)
Eagles (at SF)
Bills (at HOU)
QB: Ben Roethlisberger (vs. TB): $7,700
RB:: Donald Brown (vs. JAC): $6,300
RB: Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. TEN): $6,100
WR: Julio Jones (at MIN): $9,100
WR: Michael Crabtree (vs. PHI) $7,000
WR: Steve Smith (vs. CAR): $6,100
TE: Jimmy Graham (vs. DAL): $8,200
K: Shayne Graham (at DAL): $4,500
D: Lions (at NYJ): $4,700
Roethlisberger is poised for a big game this week against the Buccaneers, who have allowed multiple touchdowns to Derek Anderson and Matt Ryan in two of three games this year. We also expect Jones (either 100 receiving yards or a touchdown in all three games) and Crabtree (17 catches, 162 yards and two touchdowns the past two games) to remain hot. And I love Graham this week against the Cowboys, who have allowed a tight end to score each week, including Vernon Davis (four catches for 44 yards and two touchdowns) and Delanie Walker (10 catches for 142 yards and a touchdown) having huge games against this defense.