Week 14 Fantasy Football Matchups

Editor's note: Dave Richard breaks down every game from a Fantasy perspective each week with the help of CBSSports.com NFL Insider Pat Kirwan, who will provide his unique take to assist owners in their lineup management.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders -- Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, O.co Coliseum
Denver Broncos
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Peyton Manning Manning had 338 yards & 3 TDs in Week 4 vs. OAK. 3 of last 4 QBs vs. OAK have thrown 3 TDs. Maybe Manning gets four?!
RB Knowshon Moreno Go for it. OAK has given up 180.7 total yards per game and three rushing TDs to RBs in their last three. Six straight starting RBs have posted 12+ Fantasy points on OAK.
WR Demaryius Thomas Had 103 yards vs. OAK in Week 4. Raiders have allowed a 100-yard WR in each of last two games and 9 TDs to WRs in last five.
WR Eric Decker Matchup is right -- Raiders have allowed 167.0 yards per game over its last three to receivers -- but Decker has two catches in 3 of last 4 games. Kind of a gamble.
TE Jacob Tamme Tight ends have produced at least eight Fantasy points in four straight vs. Raiders. Tamme has 190 yards on 17 catches with a score in his last three.
DST Broncos Three of last four DSTs have totaled 17+ Fantasy points on the Raiders. Broncos hung 15 points on them back in Week 4. Might do better than that this time.
Oakland Raiders
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Carson Palmer Broncos have allowed a quarterback to toss 2 TDs in 3 of last 4 but have yet to allow a 300-yard passer. Palmer not a bad bet.
RB Darren McFadden Should be ready to roll after sitting out another game on Sunday, but Broncos have allowed just one rush TD & 105.0 total yards per game to RBs in last five. You might want to wait another week.
RB Marcel Reece Looks like he's fading out of the Raiders offense. Touches in his last four: 20, 23, 19, 12. Might be even lower with McFadden back.
WR Denarius Moore Moore grabbed some bench after some poor play last week -- his last three have been crushing. Hard to trust him.
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey Has 4+ catches in 4 of last 5 but 7 Fantasy points or less in 4 of last 5. Broncos allowing just 128.6 yards per game and 4 TDs to WRs over their last five.
TE Brandon Myers Denver has given up six TDs to TEs over its last seven games and Myers was a hurry-up offense hero for the Raiders last week. Start him.
DST Raiders   Five of the last six DSTs vs. DEN have been held to single-digit Fantasy points. You'd have to be a sicko to go with the Raiders.

Peyton Manning goes where the coverage tells him to go and that includes running the ball. Eric Decker was hot for an extended period of time and defenses had to bracket him or get beat. He had a six week stretch where he was targeted 55 times and caught 37 of them for seven touchdowns. When he caught two touchdowns in back-to-back games against New Orleans and Cincinnati defenses clamped him. Since then he has 19 targets over four games. The Raiders defense is so bad their coverage might not even matter but that's why he's been struggling. -- Pat Kirwan

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Bank of America Stadium
Atlanta Falcons
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Matt Ryan Panthers have allowed 2+ TDs to QBs in 2 of last 3. Ryan had 369 yards & 3 TDs vs. CAR in Week 4, had his first 2+ pass TD game in Carolina last year (four scores and 320 yards).
RB Michael Turner Carolina has allowed 120+ rush yards to three straight RBs and five rush TDs in its last five. Turner had 171 total yards and a receiving TD vs. CAR in Week 4. He also has 7 total TDs in his last five vs. CAR.
RB Jacquizz Rodgers Underwhelmed last week vs. Saints. Has 10+ touches in each of last three games and will stay at that point unless Turner becomes wholly ineffective.
WR Julio Jones Panthers have given up just 130.4 yards per game to WRs over their last five with three TDs. Julio got hurt in Week 4 matchup, charred them for 2 TDs in Carolina last year.
WR Roddy White White is scoreless in his last six and has habitually struggled on the road vs. at home. Did have 169 yards & 2 TDs vs. CAR in Week 4, has one TD in seven career games at Carolina. If you have the guts, consider another stud WR.
TE Tony Gonzalez Tight ends have scored on the Panthers in two of their last three. They did a nice job against Gonzo in Week 4 & held him to under 10 Fantasy points in three straight in Carolina.
DST Falcons Panthers have held four of the last five DSTs they've faced to 6 Fantasy points or less and held ATL to five points in Week 4. Not a great idea.
Carolina Panthers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Cam Newton Only two QBs have thrown 2+ TDs vs. ATL this year and Cam is one of them. Had monster three-TD game in Week 4, should keep up his production.
RB DeAngelo Williams Matchup is all right for Williams: Falcons have allowed 120.0 total yards per game to RBs with 4 TDs in last three, but Williams has stunk in three games as "the guy" in Panthers' backfield.
WR Steve Smith Finally had a big game last week but hasn't scored in last four vs. ATL. Falcons have allowed just 6 TDs to WRs all year. Targets could be on the rise if LaFell is out.
TE Greg Olsen Olsen has TD in each of last two vs. Falcons including 89 yards and a score in Week 4. Atlanta has allowed just two TEs to top 10 Fantasy points this season and did a great job the second time around with the Saints' Graham last week.
DST Panthers   Five of the last six DSTs posted 7 Fantasy points or fewer vs. Falcons, who have posted 23+ points in four straight games.

When these teams met earlier this year Matt Ryan was sacked seven times while Michael Turner rushed for 103 yards at 7.9 per carry. The Falcons realize the Panthers played the pass game the whole time and will feature more run this time. Look for Turner to get 15 carries, 100 yards and a touchdown. The rest of the run game will go to Jacquizz Rodgers, who should get 10-12 touches in this game. In the last three games the Panthers gave up 176 yards rushing a game. The Falcons will get to 125 rush yards in this game. -- Pat Kirwan

Baltimore Ravens at Washington Redskins -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, FedExField
Baltimore Ravens
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Joe Flacco Road Flacco will try to beat his own odds vs. pass defense that has allowed 21+ Fantasy points to 8 of 12 QBs. Not sure he can be trusted.
RB Ray Rice Skins yielding 127.3 total yards per game to running backs over their last three but he's given up just one TD (a catch). No matter, you'll still go with Rice.
WR Torrey Smith WRs have scored at least one TD in 9 of 12 games vs. WAS this season. But Smith has one TD & one 100-yard game on the road. Thanks, Flacco!
WR Anquan Boldin Had big game last week but is still looking for first road TD of the year. Washington has allowed double-digit Fantasy points to multiple WRs just four times this year. Hard to trust.
TE Dennis Pitta Redskins have allowed eight TDs to TEs & 6+ Fantasy points to 10 TEs in 12 games. Pitta has two 6+ Fantasy points games in six road outings.
DST Ravens Only three DSTs have topped 10 Fantasy points vs. WAS all year. With Suggs out, Ravens might struggle to get double digits.
Washington Redskins
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Robert Griffin III Four of the last five QBs the Ravens have faced have had one TD or less, but RG3 has been special and won't see pass rush monster Terrell Suggs. Start him.
RB Alfred Morris BAL has allowed one TD to a RB in five weeks, giving up 87.6 rush yards per game. Morris has 110+ rush yards in each of last two, could struggle to get that much here.
WR Pierre Garcon Ravens have allowed four WRs to 70+ yards and three WRs to score in last four games. Garcon has 14+ Fantasy points in each of his last two, delivering on the potential we've hoped for.
DST Redskins Only four DSTs have posted double digits against the Ravens all season. Redskins DST not worth the risk.

The Redskins defense is playing a little better in recent weeks. In the last five weeks they are giving up 270 yards passing but only four passing touchdowns during their three-game winning streak. The Ravens aren't scoring points in the last three weeks, averaging 16 per game and only 215 yard passing. Protecting Joe Flacco is a problem as he's been sacked 10 times in the last three games with only two touchdown passes in 117 throws and four turnovers. The Redskins know this and will come after him. -- Pat Kirwan

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Mall of America Field
Chicago Bears
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Jay Cutler Cutler was held to 188 yards & TD vs. MIN in Week 12 but had 2+ TDs in each of previous four games against Vikings. Tough to trust him, especially behind a rag-tag O-line.
RB Matt Forte Vikes have allowed 146.8 total yards per game and 4 rush TDs to RBs in their last four. Forte got hurt in the Week 12 game vs. Vikings.
WR Brandon Marshall Had 12 grabs for 92 yards (7.6 yards per catch) against Minnesota in Week 12 and should see a lot of double coverage. Still worth starting as Cutler will force-feed him. WRs have scored six times over the Vikings' last four games.
DST Bears Bears had two sacks, two fumble recoveries and an interception while holding Vikings to 258 total yards and 10 points. Could be a tougher challenge for them in Minnesota and without Brian Urlacher or Tim Jennings.
Minnesota Vikings
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Christian Ponder   Ponder has 2+ TDs in just one of his last six. Threw for 159 yards with a score and an interception at Chicago two weeks ago.
RB Adrian Peterson Chicago will key in on AP but reality is that Bears have allowed four RBs to total 100 yards and/or a touchdown in five straight games, and Urlacher's out.
WR Jarius Wright   Not worth starting but Bears did allow two receivers to each get 90+ yards and a TD last week. Pass defense could struggle.
TE Kyle Rudolph Rudolph had 55 yards & a TD vs. CHI in Week 12 and has at least 50 yards with a TD in three straight games. He's too hard to pass up.
DST Vikings Can't trust them. Three of the last five DSTs to play the Bears have posted 7 Fantasy points or fewer including the Vikings.

The Vikings are tough at home and their 17 sacks (three per home game) and 10 turnovers backs that up. The Bears looked slow, especially on defense last week and the Vikings are protected by the running of Adrian Peterson. The Bears need to get the ball to Brandon Marshall and I expect Jared Allen and company to get after Cutler in an attempt to keep Marshall contained. -- Pat Kirwan

Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Paul Brown Stadium
Dallas Cowboys
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Tony Romo Only two of the last 10 QBs to face Bengals have thrown multiple touchdowns. Romo has 2+ TDs in 3 of last 4 and 300+ yards in 5 of last 6. Big challenge for Bengals defense.
RB DeMarco Murray After rough start, Bengals have allowed 118.2 total yards per game and one rush TD to RBs over their last five. However, three of the last four starting RBs have had 9+ Fantasy points, so there's Murray's floor.
WR Dez Bryant Cincy allowing 106.0 yards per game to WRs over its last four with just one passing score. Dez still too strong to sit down.
WR Miles Austin Only two teams all season have had two WRs with 7+ Fantasy points each vs. Cincy. Makes for a risky start for Austin even though he scored last week.
TE Jason Witten Bengals have improved vs. tight ends, holding opponents to 50.4 total yards per game with one TD over last five. Expect a lot of catches but not a ton else from Witten.
DST Cowboys Three of the last four DSTs vs. Bengals have posted 4 points or less. Not the best week for the Cowboys.
Cincinnati Bengals
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Andy Dalton Cowboys have allowed 9 pass TDs over their last three, 250+ pass yards in 4 of last 5. Dalton's arm should be active against a weakened secondary.
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis Dallas has given up five rushing TDs and 100+ total yards to RBs in five straight games. Green-Ellis has had 100+ rush yards in three straight. Should be a no-brainer.
WR A.J. Green Dallas has allowed 6 TDs and 165.8 total yards per game over its last five to WRs. Green should stay red-hot.
TE Jermaine Gresham The Cowboys have gone soft vs. tight ends, allowing 7+ Fantasy points to each of the last three they've faced. Gresham has 7+ Fantasy points in 4 of last 5.
DST Bengals Six of the last eight DSTs to play the Cowboys have scored under 10 Fantasy points, but the Bengals have posted 16+ Fantasy points in four straight. Stick with them.

The Cowboys have had a tough road schedule with games against the Giants, Seahawks, Falcons and Ravens. Now Tony Romo faces a Bengals defense with 39 sacks and only gave up 13 touchdown passes in 12 games. The Bengals defense at home can be dangerous. They have forced 13 turnovers in six games and sack quarterbacks once every 15 attempts. Romo has a tougher assignment than Andy Dalton in this game. -- Pat Kirwan

Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Cleveland Browns Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Brady Quinn   Last week the Browns' pass defense didn't hold up at OAK & Quinn had two TDs vs. tough CAR secondary. Hard to trust even in his return to Cleveland.
RB Jamaal Charles Browns allowing just 104.3 total yards per game to RBs over their last four with four rushing TDs. Charles has 20+ touches and 100+ total yards in four straight.
WR Dwayne Bowe His stats have stunk over the past eight weeks but the Browns have given up 174.7 yards per game to WRs over their last three. If you're desperate, he's an option.
TE Tony Moeaki Maybe a deep sleeper after scoring last week. Does have 6+ Fantasy points in three of his last four.
DST Chiefs Two of last three DSTs to face the Browns have posted under 10 Fantasy points. Chiefs have 8 or fewer Fantasy points in 5 of last 6.
Cleveland Browns
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Brandon Weeden Chiefs have allowed 2+ passing scores in 10 of 12 games but Weeden has 2+ passing scores in 5 of 12 starts. Probably not worth the risk.
RB Trent Richardson Chiefs allowing 140.3 total yards per game to RBs over its last three with a touchdown. Richardson should land a ton of yards.
WR Josh Gordon No. 1 WRs have scored in seven straight vs. KC. Chiefs allowing 170.3 yards per game to WRs over last three. Gordon's worth a gamble.
DST Browns Until last week, every DST vs. KC has posted at least 11 Fantasy points. Browns could get to that number.

In the last two games Brandon Weeden has completed 68 percent of his passes because the protection has been good, the young receivers aren't running wrong routes or dropping as many passes and the QB sees the coverages. Kansas City has given up 11 touchdown passes in five road games and I expect Weeden to get at least two scores and throw for 250 yards because the Chiefs will have to over-commit to stopping Trent Richardson. The Chiefs give up 129 yards a game on the ground. -- Pat Kirwan

New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, EverBank Field
New York Jets
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Mark Sanchez   Jags have allowed two of last six QBs to exceed 20 Fantasy points. No idea if he'll finish the game if he starts slowly either.
RB Shonn Greene Expect a lot of running. Jags have allowed 130.0 rush yards per game to RBs over last five with five TDs.
RB Bilal Powell Not a horrible sleeper this week. Wouldn't be surprised to see him get close to 15 touches, maybe sneak in a score.
WR Jeremy Kerley No. 1 WRs have done well vs. Jaguars over last six with at least seven Fantasy points each. That might be a high expectation for Kerley.
TE Jeff Cumberland Sleeper tight end for those desperate for help, assuming Dustin Keller is out. Tight ends have been contained nicely by the Jaguars, though.
DST Jets DSTs have put up 11+ Fantasy points in 7 of last 8 vs. Jaguars. Especially if Jags receiving corps is depleted, Jets are worth starting.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Chad Henne Jets have been crushed for 2+ pass TDs in four of last six but Henne's receiving corps isn't at full strength.
RB Montell Owens Thick rusher with some decent power and even a little quickness. Former kick returner. Might be in line for 15 touches vs. run defense that struggled until it held Beanie Wells to 22 yards last week.
WR Justin Blackmon Jets have allowed 7 TDs to WRs in their last four. They did a nice job vs. Fitzgerald last week but Jags QB is better than Cards'. Expect Blackmon to get involved again.
TE Marcedes Lewis Jets have held opposing tight ends to 6 Fantasy points or less in five straight. Lewis does have 6+ targets in two of his last three but is too risky.
DST Jaguars Four of the last five DSTs vs. NYJ have scored an unreal 18+ Fantasy points but Jags haven't had more than 10 Fantasy points in a single game.

With Sanchez starting, who knows what will happen to the Jets' offense but at least with him on the field there's a threat to pass as well as create a turnover. Expect the Jets run game to get a lot of work. In the last five games the Jaguars have given up 156 yards a game rushing and eight rushing touchdowns. The Jets will crack the 100-yard mark and should lean heavily on Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell. -- Pat Kirwan

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Raymond James Stadium
Philadelphia Eagles
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Nick Foles Bucs have allowed 250+ yards to 10 of 12 opposing QBs but only five have multiple touchdowns. Would you be surprised by a 250-yard, one-score effort from Foles?
RB Bryce Brown Bucs have given up just four RBs to total 90+ yards all year but have allowed three TDs to RBs over last three games. They have yet to not allow TDs to RBs in consecutive games; they held out the Broncos' RBs last week. Brown's potential too huge.
WR Jeremy Maclin Receivers averaging 192.0 yards per game in last five against TB with 1+ TD in each. Matchup is nice for Maclin but his quarterback stinks.
WR Riley Cooper Has 15 targets over his last three games and has a good matchup here. Scored last week. Probably more of a desperation choice.
TE Brent Celek Tampa Bay allowing 65.6 yards per game to tight ends over its last five with three TDs in that span. Celek could end up with that kind of yardage.
DST Eagles   Five of the last seven DSTs vs. TB have posted four Fantasy points or less! No one's using the Eagles DST.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Josh Freeman Nine of last 10 QBs to play PHI have 2+ TDs against them. Eagles have allowed 300 passing yards in consecutive games and have not intercepted a pass in six straight. Freeman's great.
RB Doug Martin Eagles allowing 101.3 total yards per game to running backs over last three with three total TDs (two receiving) but Martin is a safe bet at home and should pick up a lot of work unlike last week.
WR Vincent Jackson Philly has allowed at least one 10+ Fantasy point WR in each of last seven games. The Eagles have been torched on deep passes and that's something Jackson can do.
WR Mike Williams Matchup's right and Williams got back into good graces with a big game last week. Sort of a risk given recent play but non-No. 1 WRs have scored in three straight vs. PHI.
TE Dallas Clark Tight ends have posted 6+ Fantasy points in four of last five vs. PHI. Clark has 6+ Fantasy points in four straight. Safe but not spectacular.
DST Buccaneers Eagles have allowed 9+ Fantasy points to each of last eight DSTs. Might be worth a try to go with the Bucs if you're in a pinch.

The Eagles are just trying to finish up the season and get good looks at their young players. There aren't many lessons they can take from the Broncos' win over the Bucs last week. Protecting Nick Foles is a priority, and a problem, on the road. Look for the Eagles to feed the ball to Bryce Brown. Brown has 51 touches in the last two games for 372 yards and four touchdowns. As for the passing game, they don't have Peyton Manning and will be lucky to get 200 yards through the air. -- Pat Kirwan

San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Heinz Field
San Diego Chargers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Philip Rivers   Steelers pass defense has held each of last eight QBs to 1 TD or less and each of last seven QBs to under 200 yards passing. Rivers is waiver-wire material.
RB Ryan Mathews Steelers have allowed a rush TD to a RB in 4 of last 5 but have otherwise allowed 121.6 total yards per game to RBs over last five. Steelers run D always tougher at home.
WR Danario Alexander No receivers have had 100+ yards vs. PIT since Week 1, only four have scored on Steelers in last six. Alexander has 5+ catches & 74+ yards in each of his last four.
WR Malcom Floyd It doesn't get tougher than this: PIT has allowed 92.0 yards per game to all receivers over its last five. Can't imagine big numbers for Floyd.
TE Antonio Gates Steelers have allowed one TD to a TE over their last eight. Only one tight end has double-digit Fantasy points vs. PIT this season. Gates has stunk.
DST Chargers   Each of the last five DSTs vs. PIT have posted 10+ Fantasy points, a total the Chargers have posted in 4 of last 6. Maybe a desperation option.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Charlie Batch Chargers have allowed QBs to get 20+ Fantasy points in 3 of last 4 but Batch hasn't posted that many points in years!
RB Jonathan Dwyer Starting against SD defense that's allowed 129.0 rush yards per game over last three. Dwyer has 10+ Fantasy points in 3 of 4 games with 15+ carries; Chargers have allowed 11+ Fantasy points to 6 of 7 RBs with 15+ carries this year.
WR Antonio Brown Had five catches in his return last week but for just 58 yards. Has only two games this year with over 12.5 yards per catch, still has only one TD.
WR Mike Wallace San Diego has allowed 180.3 yards to receivers over its last three games with three touchdowns but most of the damage came against Denver. Not sure Wallace can be trusted with or without Ben Roethlisberger.
TE Heath Miller Chargers have fallen apart vs. tight end allowed three scores to them over last four games. Miller remains quality option for Steelers and Fantasy owners.
DST Steelers A must. Seven of the last eight DSTs vs. SD have posted 11+ Fantasy points. Expect several turnovers and sacks.

The Steelers will be without their best corner, Ike Taylor, and that is a problem. Philip Rivers has been better on the road than at home this year. He has more touchdown passes, fewer interceptions and fewer sacks away from San Diego. The problem in this game is that Pittsburgh will eliminate the Chargers running game and then it is tee-off-on-Rivers time. The Chargers abandoned the run the last time they came to Pittsburgh. The featured player was Antonio Gates who had nine receptions 124 yards and two touchdowns, but he's not the same guy. Expect the Steelers rush to get after Rivers. -- Pat Kirwan

St. Louis Rams at Buffalo Bills -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Ralph Wilson Stadium
St. Louis Rams
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Sam Bradford   Bills' pass defense has allowed just two QBs to land 20+ Fantasy points in last seven. You could do better.
RB Steven Jackson Jackson has 20+ touches in 3 of last 4 and over 100 total yards in each. Every RB to face Bills & get at least 14 carries has scored and had 90+ rush yards. Expect Rams to lean on S-Jax.
WR Chris Givens His last seven games: 30 catches for 498 yards and three TDs. Had 11 catches last week! Has 27 targets over last three! Bradford needs him to step up vs. improving pass defense.
DST Rams Worth a gamble if necessary vs. a Bills offense that's scored under 20 points in three of its last five.
Buffalo Bills
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick   Rams' pass defense has been hot, allowing just two passing scores over its last four. Don't expect a breakout game for Fitzpatrick.
RB C.J. Spiller Rams' run D has come undone, allowing 119.7 total yards per game to RBs over their last three. Spiller has 100 total yards and or a touchdown in seven straight.
RB Fred Jackson Jackson might work as clock-killing back or goal-line back for Buffalo. Rams have allowed five rush TDs to RBs over their last three.
WR Steve Johnson Rams allowing 129.0 yards per game to WRs over their last five with four total TDs. Johnson will have to score to be big for Fantasy owners.
TE Scott Chandler Rob Gronkowski is the only TE to post 10+ Fantasy points on the Rams this year. Only four TEs have posted 7+ Fantasy points all year. Not sure Chandler's a good pickup.
DST Bills Three of the last four DSTs to play the Rams have scored single-digit Fantasy points. That includes the Niners twice! Bills not exactly trustworthy.

The Bills are content to split the workload between Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller and it doesn't appear to change at this time. Jackson has missed three games but averages 15 touches a game while Spiller averages 14 touches. In Jackson's last 35 games as a Buffalo Bill he only has nine games with 20+ carries and only one this year coming last week. I would be very careful about expecting Fred to get 20 touches in this game, which means his stats won't be as good as they were last week. -- Pat Kirwan

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, Lucas Oil Stadium
Tennessee Titans
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Jake Locker Locker's been a mess, throwing for 250+ yards in each of last two but with one TD & multiple INTs. Colts have allowed 300 yards and 2+ passing TDs in 2 of last 3 but tough to expect that from Locker.
RB Chris Johnson Indy has given up three rushing TDs over their last three games (10+ Fantasy points to each starting RB). Johnson had 117 total yards vs. IND in Week 8.
WR Kenny Britt Colts have allowed 194.8 yards per game to receivers over their last five with three TDs. A little risky but Britt has scored in two straight, just needs to push up his yardage.
WR Nate Washington Tough to trust. Washington had 96 yards last week thanks to a 49-yard catch, his longest since Week 3. Had under 70 yards in previous eight games.
WR Kendall Wright The good: Has 18 targets and 11 catches over last two games. The bad: Has posted 48 and 78 yards in those games. Hasn't had over 7 Fantasy points in four straight.
TE Jared Cook Colts have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in three straight after keeping them scoreless since Week 2. With no defined No. 2 receiver in Detroit, can Pettigrew take advantage?
DST Titans Only four DSTs all season have posted 10+ Fantasy points against Indy. Titans DST can't be trusted here.
Indianapolis Colts
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Andrew Luck Titans have allowed 19+ Fantasy points to 10 of 12 QBs. Luck struggled at Tennessee in Week 8 but has posted big numbers at home.
RB Vick Ballard Looks like he's got a hammerlock on the top job. Running backs averaging 142.3 total yards per game over last four vs. Tennessee with three rush touchdowns.
WR Reggie Wayne Titans have given up 160.0 total yards per game and six TDs to wideouts over the last four. Wayne has all three TDs this year in home, none yet vs. divisional opponents.
WR T.Y. Hilton Averages 5.0 yards per catch more at home than on the road. Has 100 yards and/or a touchdown in 4 of last 5.
WR Donnie Avery Woke up in shootout last week with two TDs, led Colts in targets. Plays a lot but doesn't score much and has disappointed for much of the year. Matchup is nice though.
TE Dwayne Allen Had a nice catch last week but saw fellow TE Coby Fleener score. Titans have improved vs. tight ends, holding all of the last seven they've faced to under 70 yards.
DST Colts Five of the last seven DSTs vs. TEN have posted 9 single-digit Fantasy points. The other two had 20+ points. Thinking the Colts won't get near 20 points.

The Colts give up two touchdown passes a game and rarely get an interception (one every 69 pass plays). The last time these teams played Matt Hasselbeck was the quarterback but now it will be Jake Locker. Locker is 2-8 in games he has played in and last week's six sacks was a career worst. In the last two games Locker has thrown five interceptions in 85 throws. The Colts are 5-1 at home and no one has thrown for 300 yards on that defense. The Colts will give up one or touchdowns and I expect Kenny Britt and Kendall Wright to be targeted 20 times combined, catching 10 passes between them, but firing Chris Palmer looked like a big mistake for the Titans last week and I suspect it will be a problem again. -- Pat Kirwan

Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers -- Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Candlestick Park
Miami Dolphins
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Ryan Tannehill   Only one QB (Sam Bradford) threw two TDs vs. SF at home so far. Niners have held opposing QBs to 217.5 pass yards per game over last four. Tannehill's topped that number five times in 12 starts but lost left tackle Jake Long for the year.
RB Reggie Bush Had the most carries in seven games last week (15), still finished with under 7 Fantasy points. Niners' run D is solid though they have been susceptible to RBs catching the ball. Bush has two games with 3+ catches in his last 10.
RB Daniel Thomas Still splitting reps with Bush and is still the goal- line guy, but good luck getting numbers out of him at SF. Niners have allowed two rush TDs at home in '12.
WR Brian Hartline Hartline averaging 62.8 yards per game over his last six with no TDs. Niners have allowed one WR to get to 60+ yards in each of last four, so maybe Hartline can deliver that much. Wouldn't hope for much more.
WR Davone Bess Niners have allowed four TDs to WRs over their last six games. Tough to trust Bess.
DST Dolphins Four of last five DSTs Niners have faced have scored 7 Fantasy points or less. Not the greatest week ahead for the Dolphins DST.
San Francisco 49ers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Colin Kaepernick Three of last four QBs vs. MIA have scored under 20 Fantasy points (five pass TDs allowed). Kaepernick will have to keep running to bring home a big stat line.
RB Frank Gore Fins have allowed 10+ Fantasy points to RBs in two of last three and 9+ Fantasy points in six of last seven.
WR Michael Crabtree Tough call. Welker was the first WR to hammer the Dolphins for 10+ Fantasy points in four weeks. Crabtree has 9+ Fantasy points in 3 of 4 games with Kaepernick.
TE Vernon Davis Has 12 catches for 128 yards and one TD in four games with Kaepernick, including 30 yards or less in three. Fins have allowed 7+ Fantasy points to TEs in 4 of last 5 but Davis' role can't be trusted.
DST 49ers Obvious must-start. DSTs vs. MIA have posted 10+ Fantasy points in eight of last 10 weeks.

Vernon Davis told me he is still getting double covered, especially in the red zone. He's cool with it because the team is winning and he realizes sooner or later the coverage is going to go to Michael Crabtree and others. When Davis only has 10 receptions in three losses, the coaches take notice and will have a few formations and personnel groups to free him up. Keep in mind Davis had six games last year when he had three or fewer receptions. The Dolphins are a solid run defense and this could be a game Vernon grabs six to seven receptions for 70 yards and a TD. -- Pat Kirwan

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CenturyLink Field
Arizona Cardinals
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB John Skelton   Only three QBs have thrown multiple TDs vs. Seahawks, only four have topped 250 yards. Skelton won't help you.
RB Beanie Wells Seahawks' run defense allowing 128.3 rush yards per game over last four with 4 TDs. Sounds good except Wells stunk last week. Only two RBs have scored in Seattle this year.
WR Larry Fitzgerald Can't get much worse for Fitz with Skelton under center. The two had good chemistry in '11 but have done nothing together in '12. Seattle cornerbacks will still be all over him.
TE Rob Housler No TE has posted 10+ Fantasy points on the Seahawks yet this year. Housler just a tight end to keep an eye on, not start.
DST Cardinals   Only five DSTs vs. SEA have posted double-digit Fantasy points including one in last five.
Seattle Seahawks
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Russell Wilson Wilson has five straight games with 2+ TDs, seems to play better at home. Cards have allowed 10 pass TDs over their last five games. Just a question of how much he'll throw.
RB Marshawn Lynch Cardinals allowing 129.0 rush yards per game to RBs over last four with one TD. That includes two 100-yard rushers. Lynch should be fine.
WR Sidney Rice Assuming he's healthy, go with him. Scored on Cards back in Week 1. Arizona has allowed 4 TDs to WRs over last four games.
WR Golden Tate Has 4+ catches in four of last five games and 1+ TD in 3 of last 4. Has scored in 3 of last 4 at home. Worth a flex play against Cardinals.
DST Seahawks Eleven of 12 DSTs vs. ARI have posted 10 or more Fantasy points. Seahawks are a brilliant play at home this week.

Russell Wilson is a serious contender for Rookie of the Year but will lose out to one of the two other high-profile guys. Wilson at home is very dangerous with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions. No wonder Seattle is undefeated at home. The last time he played Arizona it was his first NFL game and it was on the road. In his last 3 road games he has six touchdown passes and is a much better passer. He needs to stay away from Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and will find himself throwing for 250 yards and two touchdowns. -- Pat Kirwan

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants -- Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, MetLife Stadium
New Orleans Saints
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Drew Brees Had 363 yards and 4 pass TDs vs. NYG last year. Assume he'll come up with a big game much like he had in 3 of last 4 overall.
RB Darren Sproles Was surprisingly ineffective last year vs. Giants. New York struggling mostly with volume rushers this year. Wouldn't count on a huge game for Sproles.
RB Mark Ingram Has scored in 2 of last 3 but workload always a mess. Giants have allowed just four rush TDs all year. Tough to trust.
WR Marques Colston Colston has posted 10 Fantasy points or less for six straight weeks, so some concern here. But NYG has allowed 7 pass TDs to WRs over their last four.
WR Lance Moore Scored twice on Giants in meeting last year and has played great in last two road games. Has 6+ targets in 3 of last 4 including 11 targets last week. Giants allowing 137.5 yards per game to WRs over last four.
TE Jimmy Graham Has played a lot of decoy lately but is too explosive to sit even with weak stats last 3 weeks. Had 2 TDs vs. NYG last year. Giants have allowed 2 TDs to TEs in last five.
DST Saints Eight of last 10 DSTs to play the Giants have posted single-digit Fantasy points. Pass on the Saints.
New York Giants
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Eli Manning Weird: 3 of the last 5 QBs vs. NO have thrown 1 TD. Also weird: Eli has 1 TD or less in 6 of last 7. Feels like he's close to breakout, which he had at NO last year (406 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT). Also had decent game vs. defensive coach Steve Spagnuolo in '11 (223 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT).
RB Ahmad Bradshaw Saints have allowed 178.3 total yards per game to RBs over last three with two total TDs. Expect a heavy dose of Bradshaw.
WR Victor Cruz Burned New Orleans for 2 TDs & 157 yards last year. Saints haven't allowed a 100-yard WR in three straight, only two TDs to WRs over last five.
WR Hakeem Nicks Nicks has 10+ targets in three straight but just one game with 10+ Fantasy points. Was close to hauling in good yardage last week. Have to trust him again here. Saints allowing 145.8 yards to WRs over last five.
TE Martellus Bennett Tight ends have amassed 8+ Fantasy points in each of last four vs. NO. Bennett has 8+ Fantasy points in one of his last nine -- it was last week.
DST Giants Brees was picked off five times last week, seven times over last two weeks. That's helped DSTs vs. Saints (Giants have 18 INTs) but most units have posted single-digit Fantasy points.

The Saints' protection scheme is under a lot of stress and it's playing a role in Jimmy Graham's production. In the last two games Drew Brees has been sacked six times, has thrown seven interceptions and ran twice. That's 15 pass plays in two games that never made it to the target. In the first 10 games Graham was targeted seven times a game on average. The last two games his targets only dropped to six but who knows what the 15 disrupted plays did to his total targets. The Giants will use 'Big Nickel' defense against the Saints with three safeties in the game and that could continue to affect the Brees-to- Graham connection. -- Pat Kirwan

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers -- Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, Lambeau Field
Detroit Lions
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Matthew Stafford Didn't have big numbers vs. GB in Week 11 (266 yards, one TD, two INTs). Six of last seven QBs vs. GB have posted 1 TD or less including Stafford. WR corps depleted. Seems a little risky.
RB Mikel Leshoure Crushed the Pack for 84 rush yards & TD in prior meeting. Packers have allowed 123.3 rush yards & 5 rush TDs in last four.
RB Joique Bell Could be more of a factor in wake of banged-up receivers. Had 102 total yards last week on 10 touches. More coming?
WR Calvin Johnson Packers have allowed 619 yards and five TDs to receivers over their last four games. Calvin had 143 yards & a TD vs. GB in Week 11.
WR Mike Thomas   Desperation option. Receivers playing opposite Calvin have chance to do well because of single coverage but Thomas hasn't been a factor in years.
TE Brandon Pettigrew Might be the big benefactor of Broyles injury. Finally had 10 Fantasy points last week, was non- factor vs. GB in Week 11. Has 7+ targets each of last four games.
TE Tony Scheffler Could fit in as Lions' slot receiver, a role he's already played plenty this season. Has 50+ yards in each of last two games.
DST Lions Eight of the last nine DSTs to play the Packers have scored 10 Fantasy points or less. Lions might struggle to contain Packers at Lambeau.
Green Bay Packers
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Aaron Rodgers Lions have allowed 2+ pass TDs in 5 of last 6 games but have kept opposing QBs under 20 Fantasy points in 5 of last 7. Rodgers was one of those sub-20 point QBs. Still too good of a matchup to pass up.
RB Alex Green Detroit has allowed 122.7 total yards per game to RBs over its last three with four rush TDs. Green should get a lot of work but he's done little with it previously.
WR Randall Cobb Scored on the Lions in Week 11 and hasn't scored or even had 70 yards in two games since. Has 7+ targets in 6 of last 7 games, which helps.
WR Greg Jennings Knocked off the rust last week, hopefully is ready to play this week with Nelson out. Scored in 2 of last 3 vs. Lions.
TE Jermichael Finley Lions have allowed five TDs to TEs over last six. Finley has 3+ catches and 50+ yards in each of his last three games. Seems worth trusting and the matchup is awesome.
TE James Jones Lions have allowed a gaudy 194.6 yards and 7 TDs to WRs over their last five. Jones played more than any GB WR last week and could be a decent sleeper.
DST Packers Five of last six DSTs vs. Lions have posted single-digit Fantasy points. The one that didn't? Green Bay, who scored two TDs and sacked Stafford five times.

Why have Aaron Rodgers' numbers been off? For starters, he has been running for his life behind an offensive line that struggles. Aaron doesn't help his cause because he likes to hang in the pocket and throw the vertical game. He leads the NFL in sacks (39) plus he has been hit or tackled another 110 times. The Packers desperately need the running game to improve -- they've been trying -- or Rodgers is going to take a beating. Rodgers has been sacked 15 times in the last six games against the Lions. -- Pat Kirwan

Houston Texans at New England Patriots -- Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, Gillette Stadium
Houston Texans
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Matt Schaub Pats have held 4 of last 6 QBs to one TD. Schaub has 1 or 0 TDs in 4 of 6 road games. Should throw a lot but might not score a lot.
RB Arian Foster Pats have allowed a touchdown to RB in three of last four games but haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 3. You'll still start Foster.
WR Andre Johnson Expect the Patriots to key in on Johnson. In three matchups vs. Belichick's defenses Johnson has never topped 65 yards, only scored in 2003.
TE Owen Daniels Pats have given up two TDs to TEs in last four and have allowed six TEs to post 7+ Fantasy points in last 10.
DST Texans No DST has posted more than 10 Fantasy points vs. NE this year. Try the Bucs, Browns, Jets or Bills DSTs as alternates.
New England Patriots
Pos. Name Rating Comment
QB Tom Brady With the defense depleted the Texans have allowed three-straight passers to top 300 yards with 7 pass TDs allowed over the last three weeks. Brady will take advantage.
RB Stevan Ridley Tough matchup for Ridley but he's scored in five straight games and has 8+ Fantasy points in all but one home game this year.
WR Wes Welker Tore his ACL last time he played Houston. This time, expect him to tear up Texans, who have allowed a ridiculous 285.3 yards per game to receivers with five TDs in their last three.
WR Brandon Lloyd With the Texans' pass defense ailing and playing time coming his way with others hurt, Lloyd isn't a horrible gamble this week.
TE Aaron Hernandez Liked seeing Hernandez play on every single snap last week with 13 targets. The production should be solid again.
DST Patriots Only one of the Texans' last six opponents have put up 10+ Fantasy points. Don't trust this DST.

This is an intriguing matchup. Bill Belichick knows it is about stopping the run and he also knows the Texans want to run even more to keep Tom Brady off the field. Houston averages 34 runs a game but could push that number to 40 runs given the depth of their running back corps. The Texans are a 58 percent run team on first down and gain 4.2 yards per run. If the Patriots let that happen the Texans will be moving the chains all game. Ironically, the Patriots rival the Texans when it comes to running the ball. New England leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns (19) and are second to Houston in rushing attempts. That's where Belichick will prioritize his defense until proven otherwise. -- Pat Kirwan

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Senior Fantasy Writer

Dave Richard has spent nearly his entire career covering the National Football League. Beginning with NFL.com at the boom of the Internet, Richard was that site's first Fantasy Football writer before transitioning... Full Bio

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