Week 16 Start 'Em and Sit 'Em
Who will help you win a Fantasy title in Week 16? Who should you be avoiding at all costs? Our Jamey Eisenberg shares his outlook in his latest Start 'Em and Sit 'Em.
Editor's note: FanDuel.com is hosting a one-week $2 million Fantasy Football contest for Week 16. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $200,000. Starts Sunday, December 21st at 1 p.m. ET. Enter now to play with Jamey.
It's the championship week for many Fantasy leagues, and we hope you're prepared. This is it, and if you made it this far you probably have a loaded roster with plenty of talent to spare.
But, as always, there are some tough decisions to make. You could be dealing with an injury to someone like DeMarco Murray (hand) or Julio Jones (hip), or a flex player could be giving you cause for concern.
There's also the thought about benching Peyton Manning (start him) because of his recent struggles or giving Johnny Manziel (bench him) another chance. As always, each decision is based on your personal lineup, but we're here to help, just as we've been the past 15 weeks.
There might be a player listed here who could help you as a starter or someone you might want to avoid listed as a sit. Compare these players to our rankings for additional help because our goal is to help you win a title.
We'll still be here for you one more time if you play into Week 17. But if this is the last time you're reading this column for the season then thank you for your attention and have a happy and safe holiday season.
And, of course, good luck in your leagues.
When Tre Mason finally got the chance to carry the ball for the Rams in Week 6 against San Francisco, there was some thought he could be a difference maker for Fantasy owners down the stretch. He's had some good moments and inconsistent play along the way, but now he's about to deliver – hopefully with a big game.
Mason has three games this season with double digits in Fantasy points, all at home. He's only played in four home games since becoming the featured rusher in St. Louis in Week 7, so that's a good sign.
The Rams will continue to lean on Mason, who has at least 16 touches in six of his past seven games, including three games with at least 20 touches during that stretch. He struggled in his last home game against the Cardinals in Week 15, but this is a much easier matchup against the Giants this week.
For the season, the Giants have allowed 12 touchdowns to opposing running backs and 10 to reach double digits in Fantasy points. They've played better of late with only one touchdown allowed to a running back in their past five games, But Frank Gore and Murray each had over 100 total yards against the Giants during that span, which included matchups against Jacksonville, Tennessee and Washington. The fact that he's at home is a big part of his expected success, and I like Mason as a Top 15 Fantasy running back in this matchup. We hope he can lead you to a title if plays up to these realistic expectations.
This game has the makings of an offensive bonanza, so let's hope it lives up to the hype. Ryan has been doing his part coming into Week 16 with at least 24 Fantasy points in three games in a row. He played Week 15 against the Steelers without Jones and still passed for 310 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Ryan had 448 passing yards and three touchdowns in Week 1 against the Saints, and in his past two trips to New Orleans he has combined for 715 passing yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Ryan should be great for your potential championship round.
Home hasn't exactly been kind to Romo recently in the last three games in Dallas. He had three Fantasy points against Philadelphia in Week 13 on Thanksgiving Day, missed Week 9 against Arizona with a back injury and hurt his back in Week 8 against Washington. So hopefully he can get home cooking this week. Romo has been great of late with at least 26 Fantasy points in three of his past four games, and the Colts have allowed six quarterbacks to throw multiple touchdowns against them this year, including four on the road. We hope this game becomes a shootout with Romo and Andrew Luck trying to one up each other, and Romo should again be great this week.
Roethlisberger was excellent in Week 15 at Atlanta with 27-of-35 passing for 360 yards, but he failed to score because Le'Veon Bell found the end zone on the ground twice. But he's back home again this week, and his Fantasy production in Pittsburgh is impeccable. He's scored at least 29 Fantasy points at home in three games in a row and has at least 20 points in five home games in a row. The Chiefs have only allowed five quarterbacks to throw multiple touchdowns this season, and only three quarterbacks have reached 20 Fantasy points. But we'll trust in Roethlisberger at home, making him a quality starter in all leagues.
The Redskins have a terrible pass defense, and Sanchez should be able to find success this week. Washington has allowed at least 20 Fantasy points to three quarterbacks in a row and four times in the past five outings. In Week 3, Nick Foles had a great game against the Redskins at home with 325 passing yards and three touchdowns. Sanchez has been struggling of late with 19 Fantasy points combined against Seattle and Dallas, but this is a get-right game based on the matchup. You might find it hard to trust Sanchez at this time of year based on his recent production, but I'll buy into the matchup and start Sanchez, even in a potential championship round.
Smith is more of a sleeper than a must-start quarterback, but I like him better than Eli Manning, Andy Dalton and Philip Rivers, among others. The risk is Smith doesn't throw enough or get multiple touchdowns, but he's attempted at least 30 passes in three of the past four games, with multiple touchdowns in three of the past four games as well. The main reason to trust Smith is the matchup since the Steelers have allowed at least 20 Fantasy points to each of the past eight opposing quarterbacks, with 21 total touchdowns and four games with at least 300 passing yards over that span. Smith has Top 10 potential this week, and he's worth gambling on even in an important championship game.
SleepersRobert Griffin III (vs. PHI): He'll score 20 points for the first time vs. PHI.
Joe Flacco (at HOU): Gary Kubiak should have something to prove vs. HOU.
Russell Wilson (at ARI): He should still play well despite the tough matchup.
This could be a week where Dalton shows up and plays well. If the Broncos build a big lead early in the game then Dalton could be throwing a lot in a comeback effort, which would be ideal. But he hasn't been throwing much of late with fewer than 30 pass attempts in four of his past five games. He has two games with at least 27 Fantasy points over that span and three games with 13 points or less. For the season, he's only had more than 20 points five times, and the Broncos have only allowed two quarterbacks to hit that mark twice in their past six games. We'd like to see Dalton play well here, but he's not worth risking at this point in the season.
Injuries have ruined the Chargers offensively this season with Danny Woodhead out for the season, Ryan Mathews in and out of the lineup and plenty of offensive line woes. Now Keenan Allen (collarbone) is out, and Rivers is struggling. He's had more than 15 Fantasy points just once in his past six games, and he's thrown seven touchdowns to eight interceptions over that span. The 49ers, despite some defensive deficiencies of their own, should be able to contain this passing attack. San Francisco has allowed just one quarterback to score more than 18 Fantasy points in their past five outings, which surprisingly was Derek Carr in Week 14. Rivers still has value in two-quarterback leagues, but we wouldn't recommend using him in most standard formats.
There's no reason to buy into Kaepernick now with the way his season has fallen apart. He hasn't had more than 15 Fantasy points since Week 6, and he's combined for just 20 points over the past three weeks. Now, two of those games were against Seattle, but he was held to 10 Fantasy points against Oakland in Week 14. Kaepernick also has just one game at home with 20 Fantasy points, which was Week 4 against the Eagles. The Chargers have held three of their past five opposing quarterbacks to 15 Fantasy points or less, including Peyton Manning in Week 15, and Kaepernick should continue to struggle.
Wow. That's all I can say after watching Manziel's first NFL start in Week 15 against Cincinnati. That was epically bad. Manziel looked lost running the offense and his arm strength was lacking. He was 10-of-18 passing for 80 yards and two interceptions, and he ran for just 13 yards. There were no explosive plays, and his receiving corps also let him down with some drops. He should play better in his second start, but there's no way you can trust him. Carolina's defense has stepped up of late with only one quarterback scoring more than 19 Fantasy points in the past seven games, including two matchups with Drew Brees and one with Ryan. Manziel is hands off for me in the majority of leagues until we see some improvement from him, which likely won't happen until next year.
I want to trust Tannehill in a home matchup with the Vikings, but there's nothing to suggest he should play well this week. His offensive line has let him down with 10 sacks in the past two games against Baltimore and New England, and his production has fallen off with 17 Fantasy points or less in his past three outings. Meanwhile, the Vikings defense has held their past three opponents to 17 Fantasy points or less, including matchups with Cam Newton (15 points) and Matthew Stafford (12 points). In fact, since Week 5 only Jay Cutler in Week 11 and Aaron Rodgers in Week 12 have scored more than 19 Fantasy points against Minnesota. We could see a situation where Tannehill closes out the season playing well at home, but I'd be hesitant to start him in this matchup.
Kaepernick in Week 6 and Wilson in Week 7 are the lone quarterbacks this season to score more than 19 Fantasy points against the Rams. Since then, St. Louis has limited six quarterbacks to 15 points or less, including the past three opponents in Oakland, Washington and Arizona combining for 12 Fantasy points (those teams each played two quarterbacks due to injury or poor play). Manning has also struggled on the road this season, scoring 14 Fantasy points or less in five of seven games away from New York, including the past three in a row at Tennessee, Jacksonville and Seattle. Odell Beckham will still get his production, but Manning will likely struggle for multiple touchdowns in this matchup. He should only be used in two-quarterback leagues this week.
Ingram's breakout season started in Week 1 against the Falcons when he had 13 carries for 60 yards and two touchdowns. That was the first of seven games with double digits in Fantasy points this season of the 11 games he's played, including last week at Chicago when he had 17 carries for 59 yards and a touchdown. That's a realistic stat line for him to replicate this week, especially in a matchup with a Falcons defense that has allowed 21 touchdowns to opposing running backs, including eight touchdowns in the past four games against Cleveland, Arizona, Green Bay and Pittsburgh. Ingram has the chance to be a Top 10 Fantasy running back this week, and he should be started in all leagues. Pierre Thomas (sleeper alert) also has potential this week with at least 80 total yards against the Falcons in three of his past four meetings.
Bell ended his two-game scoring streak in Week 15 against Minnesota, but he remained productive with 10 Fantasy points thanks to 15 carries for 62 yards and four catches for 41 yards. He now has nine catches for 91 yards in his past two games, which is great for owners in PPR leagues, and he dominated the Bears when he played them in Week 13 on Thanksgiving Day with 23 carries for 91 yards and two touchdowns and two catches for 16 yards. Chicago has been a disaster in run defense each of the past three weeks with five touchdowns allowed and three running backs catching at least five passes over that span. Bell should again be considered a Top 10 Fantasy option this week.
We're still taking a wait and see approach with Stewart when it comes to DeAngelo Williams (hand) and his health, but even if Williams plays at this point you should still plan on starting Stewart. The matchup is too good. The Browns were trounced last week against the Bengals with Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard combining for 227 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Stewart was a disappointment against Tampa Bay in Week 15 with 22 carries for 73 yards and a fumble, but we're expecting him to rebound in this matchup. He should be a Top 10 running back if Williams is out but will remain a Top 20 option even if Williams plays.
Asiata was great in Week 15 at Detroit with 14 Fantasy points, and hopefully he'll carry that momentum over to this week. He had 11 carries for 36 yards and a touchdown and seven catches for 50 yards, and he's had at least 18 touches in three games in a row, with 14 catches over that span for PPR owners. The Dolphins just allowed two touchdowns to LeGarrette Blount and Shane Vereen in Week 15, and four running backs have scored against Miami in the past four games. Asiata only has four games this season with double digits in Fantasy points, so he's more of a sleeper than a must-start option, but I like his chances this week. The Dolphins have struggled in run defense of late, and Asiata has a great chance to score, giving him plenty of upside in Week 16.
Jackson is a must-start option in PPR leagues. He has at least three catches in all but one game this season, with 19 grabs in his past four games combined. He has at least 20 carries in two of his past three outings, and he has at least nine Fantasy points in a standard league in three of his past four games as well. He only has one touchdown over that span, but don't be surprised if Jackson scores this week against the Raiders, who have allowed 19 touchdowns to running backs this year. Eight running backs have scored at least seven Fantasy points with their receiving totals against Oakland, and the Raiders have allowed 12 running backs to reach double digits in Fantasy points this season. Jackson is a great starter in PPR leagues, but he's also worth starting in standard formats as well based on the matchup.
SleepersLatavius Murray (vs. BUF): BUF has struggled vs. running backs the past two games.
Toby Gerhart (vs. JAC): He should do well in this tasty matchup.
Dan Herron (at DAL): A RB has scored vs. DAL in seven straight games.
Lamar Miller (vs. MIN): MIN has struggled vs. running backs on the road.
Branden Oliver (at SF): He can be a flex this week if Ryan Mathews stays out.
Martin finished with a good stat line in Week 15 at Carolina with 14 carries for 96 yards. But in the grand scheme of his day, it wasn't that great. He had a 63-yard run on his second carry of the game. Take that away, and he averaged just 2.5 yards per carry on his other 13 rushes. Now, the hope is last week's game is a sign of Martin coming around, and a lot of running backs benefit from one big play surrounded by a lot of garbage. But Martin has been more bad than good this season, and I don't want to trust him this week as anything more than a flex option against the Packers. He only has two touchdowns on the season, and only two running backs have scored against Green Bay in the past seven games. Martin just isn't trustworthy enough to start in the majority of leagues this week.
Williams should get the chance for another heavy workload with Rashad Jennings (ankle) hurt, and we've seen mixed results from him in this position the past two weeks. In Week 14 at Tennessee, Williams had 24 carries for 131 yards and a touchdown and three catches for 16 yards. Then last week against Washington, Williams had 18 carries for 44 yards and one catch for 9 yards. The Titans have a terrible run defense, and Williams took advantage of it, but the Redskins were tougher and similar to the Rams. St. Louis has only allowed six touchdowns to opposing running backs and just six to reach double digits in Fantasy points. It's going to take a touchdown for Williams to help your Fantasy team, and we'd be surprised if that happens. He should only be considered a flex option in standard formats this week.
You should plan on sitting Ivory and Chris Johnson this week since the Jets will likely struggle to run the ball on a much-improved run defense from the first time these two teams met in Week 7. In that game, Ivory had 21 carries for 107 yards and a touchdown, and Johnson had 13 carries for 61 yards and two catches for 19 yards. Since then, the Patriots have allowed just one rushing touchdown in six games and only Matt Forte, Ronnie Hillman and Eddie Lacy have reached double digits in Fantasy points. One of Ivory or Johnson will likely do something to be Fantasy relevant this week as at least a flex option, but it's risky trying to guess which one, especially in a tough matchup. Ideally you will bench both Jets running backs, but if you had to pick one then go with Ivory since he has more upside and should get more work. Keep in mind that in last week's dream matchup with the Titans, Ivory scored but finished with only eight Fantasy points, and Johnson was held to five points.
Williams has been great since getting on the field for the Cardinals following Andre Ellington (hip) going down. In two games, Williams has combined for 34 carries for 175 yards and two catches for 11 yards. Our guess is the fun stops here with a matchup against the Seahawks. Seattle held Ellington to 63 total yards in Week 12, and the Seahawks haven't allowed a running back to reach double digits in Fantasy points in four games in a row. Seattle can focus on stopping the run for the Cardinals and making Ryan Lindley beat them with his arm. You can gamble on Williams as a flex option if you're stuck this week at running back, but I'd avoid him if possible based on the tough matchup with the Seahawks.
Bernard did a nice job last week working in garbage time against the Browns with 15 carries for 79 yards and three catches for 24 yards, but eight carries for 47 yards came with the game well in hand in the fourth quarter. Hill is the featured running back for the Bengals, and he should be considered a No. 2 Fantasy rusher against the Broncos this week. I'd avoid Bernard if you can because prior to his nine Fantasy points against the Browns he had 12 combined points in his previous three games. He's still a flex option, especially in PPR leagues if the Bengals are chasing points, and he has three catches in each of his past two outings. But in standard leagues you should be able to do better than trusting Bernard in this matchup.
I'm not ready to use any Browns player in Week 16 after how they looked with Manziel in Week 15 against the Bengals. Everyone struggled, and the running game was a disaster. Crowell and Terrance West combined for 12 carries for 40 yards and two catches for 10 yards, and the two continue to split touches evenly. Crowell is still the better of the two, but he has just 21 carries the past two games compared to 20 for West. And this week both have a tough matchup on top of their quarterback woes. Carolina hasn't allowed a running back to score in four games in a row or reach double digits in Fantasy points in five consecutive games. Crowell also could still be dealing with his nagging hip problem, and I'd shy away from every Browns player if you can this week.
We're going with White and Harry Douglas as starting options this week, with Douglas contingent on Julio Jones (hip) being out again. White stepped up in Week 15 against the Steelers in Jones' absence with seven catches for 58 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He now has at least nine Fantasy points in a standard league in five games in a row, with four touchdowns over that span, and he had five catches for 72 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 against the Saints. Douglas also played well against the Steelers with 10 catches for 131 yards on 14 targets, and the Saints have allowed 18 touchdowns to opposing receivers this season and 14 to reach double digits in Fantasy points. We hope Jones plays this week, but if he's out then White and Douglas should be solid starting options in all formats.
Like the Falcons, we're going with Colston and Kenny Stills as starting options this week, in what should be a fun shootout. Colston has quietly played well since Brandin Cooks (thumb) went down in Week 11. In his past four games, he has three touchdowns and two games with double digits in Fantasy points, including last week at Chicago. He had five catches for 110 yards against the Falcons in Week 1, and he's scored against Atlanta in his past two home meetings. Stills has been relatively quiet the past two games against Carolina and Chicago with eight Fantasy points combined in a standard league, but the Falcons have allowed 13 touchdowns to opposing receivers and 15 to reach double digits in Fantasy points, including Cooks in Week 1. I like both Saints as No. 2 Fantasy receivers this week.
Evans has been touchdown dependent to help his Fantasy value of late with less than 50 receiving yards in four games in a row. But he's scored three touchdowns in his past two outings and has the chance for a big game this week. The Packers are second to Philadelphia in touchdowns allowed to receivers with 20, and 13 receivers have reached double digits in Fantasy points against Green Bay. The Packers did well against Buffalo in Week 15 with just four catches for 56 yards for the Bills receiving corps, but we expect Evans and Vincent Jackson to be tougher to contain, especially if Tampa Bay is chasing points as expected. Evans is battling with Beckham for the NFL rookie of the year award, and he'll need a strong finish to keep pace with Beckham, who is the front-runner. We're counting on him to come through with a solid outing.
There's a lot to like about Jackson this week, and hopefully he's over the shin injury that kept him out of Week 14 against the Rams. He's facing his former team, which is always a good thing, and he torched the Eagles for five catches, 117 yards and a touchdown in Week 3 at Philadelphia. The Eagles haven't improved in pass defense at all this season with 21 touchdowns allowed to opposing receivers and 14 scoring double digits in Fantasy points. Griffin played well in Week 15 against the Giants, but he couldn't connect with Jackson, who has trouble with New York corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. But there shouldn't be a hindrance for Jackson this week, and he's worth the risk as a starting-caliber receiver in the majority of leagues.
Tate found the end zone in Week 15 against the Vikings for the first time since Week 8, and now he's trying to put together his first big game with a healthy Calvin Johnson. He played well against the Bears in Week 13 with eight catches for 89 yards on 10 targets, but his best games this season came when Johnson was either hobbled or out with an ankle injury. This is a great matchup for both to play well since the Bears have allowed 17 touchdowns to opposing receivers and 14 to reach double digits in Fantasy points. Six receivers have reached double digits in Fantasy points against the Bears in the past four games, and Johnson and Tate should be able to dominate this matchup on the road. Tate is a quality No. 2 Fantasy receiver in standard leagues and a must-start option in all PPR leagues.
SleepersJarvis Landry (vs. MIN): No. 2 receivers have thrived vs. MIN of late.
Donte Moncrief (at DAL): He could be great if T.Y. Hilton (hamstring) is out.
Jordan Matthews (at WAS): He should rebound vs. this terrible secondary.
Charles Johnson (at MIA): He's the go-to guy for the MIN passing game.
Torrey Smith (at HOU): He's healthy and should be able to exploit this matchup.
Things have gone from bad to worse for Fitzgerald now that Lindley is expected to start for the injured Drew Stanton (knee). We've already watched Fitzgerald struggle since Stanton took over for the injured Carson Palmer (knee), and this is a brutal matchup for all the Cardinals receivers. Fitzgerald hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 8, and he's combined for six Fantasy points in his past two games – along with battling a knee injury. He missed the first game with Seattle in Week 12, but he's combined for six catches for 37 yards in his past three meetings with the Seahawks overall. I'd stay away from Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd this week.
Gordon was supposed to be a difference maker for Fantasy owners coming back from his 10-game suspension in Week 12. He probably proved more costly than effective based on his lackluster production. Gordon was great in his first game at Atlanta in Week 12 with 12 Fantasy points, but he's combined for 12 points in his past three outings against Buffalo, Indianapolis and Cincinnati. He still hasn't scored a touchdown, and the play of Manziel was troubling for any Browns players. It's not a horrific matchup against the Panthers, who have allowed 17 touchdowns to receivers this season and 11 to reach double digits in Fantasy points. But if Manziel struggles again as expected then Gordon's value will continue to suffer.
Decker was held to four catches for 65 yards on seven targets in Week 7 against the Patriots, and that's a realistic stat line for him again this week. Whether he's matched up with Darrelle Revis or Brandon Browner, Decker should struggle as he's done for most of this season. He's started to play better with Geno Smith the past two weeks with 13 catches for 189 yards against Minnesota and Tennessee, but he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 9. Percy Harvin is also tough to trust this week, and the likely scenario is Revis on Harvin and Browner on Decker, according to nj.com. I don't want anything to do with the Jets passing game this week against the Patriots, so sit Decker and Harvin in this matchup.
The Sanu disappearing act continues as the season comes to a close, which is a shame since he played so well early in the year. But he was held to one catch for 4 yards in Week 15 at Cleveland, and he's combined for just three Fantasy points in his past three games. He does play better at home, but overall he has just one game in his past six outings with more than two Fantasy points, which was Week 12 at Houston. His targets have faded with nine combined in his past three weeks against Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh and Cleveland, and the Broncos should be able to keep him under wraps. I don't think you can trust Sanu as even a No. 3 Fantasy receiver this week in the deepest of leagues.
We'll find out how the Chargers plan to use cornerback Brandon Flowers this week, but if he matches up with Boldin he might get minimal production. Boldin can beat Flowers in coverage, but the entire 49ers passing game is a mess heading into this game, so don't chance it. He has one game in his past five outings with more than five Fantasy points, which was Week 12 against Washington, and Kaepernick is clearly struggling. Now, he did face the Seahawks twice in that span, but Boldin was also held to four catches for 54 yards on nine targets in Week 14 at Oakland. I'd love to see Boldin play well this week, but he and Michael Crabtree are risky starting options heading into the Fantasy championship round.
It's too bad the Texans are scraping for a quarterback this week with Ryan Fitzpatrick (broken leg) and even Tom Savage (knee) out because this is a great matchup for Hopkins since the Ravens allow the second-most Fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. But with Houston using either Case Keenum or Thad Lewis at quarterback it makes Hopkins an extremely risky Fantasy option. He's also combined for 11 Fantasy points in his past two games, and he's scored in just one game in his past five outings. I have Hopkins in one championship matchup, and I'll be forced to start him if I can't use Douglas as a Jones replacement. Maybe Hopkins will surprise us no matter who the quarterback is for the Texans, but I'd like to avoid that risk, as should you.
After missing two games with an ankle injury and then taking Week 14 to knock off the rust, Allen was back in the end zone again in Week 15 against Houston. He scored for the eighth time this season in 11 games, and you have to continue to start him based on his scoring potential. Keep in mind he has just three catches for 21 yards in his past two games on seven targets, and Coby Fleener remains a factor in the passing game as well. But the Colts will be throwing a lot in this game, and if T.Y. Hilton (hamstring) is out or less than 100 percent then maybe Luck will lean on Allen and Fleener more. Still, it comes down to Allen scoring, and the Cowboys have allowed 10 touchdowns to tight ends this season, which bodes well for his outlook this week.
Witten is coming off a solid game in Week 15 at Philadelphia with a season-high nine targets, and he caught a season-best seven passes for 69 yards. He's now gone three games in a row without a touchdown, but this is a favorable matchup to trust him. Since Week 8, the Colts have allowed five touchdowns to opposing tight ends and five to score at least seven Fantasy points. We hope Witten can add to that total, and he should take advantage of this favorable matchup. I've been hesitant to trust him all season, but this is a good week to buy into him based on the matchup at home.
Kelce is finally starting to deliver with some good stat lines, but they could be great if he stopped fumbling. He's lost two fumbles in each of the past two games against Arizona and Oakland, but he's still managed nine Fantasy points in each outing. He had seven catches for 110 yards and a fumble against the Cardinals in Week 14 and five catches for 59 yards and a touchdown with a fumble against the Raiders last week. We hope he stays hot this week against the Steelers, who have allowed a tight end to score in four of the past five games and 10 touchdowns to the position on the season. This should end up as one of Kelce's better games of the year based on the matchup, and we hope he can avoid fumbling this week to continue to boost his score.
SleepersOwen Daniels (at HOU): He should be motivated going back to HOU.
Brent Celek (at WAS): It's a great matchup if you're streaming tight ends.
Heath Miller (vs. KC): He has at least six Fantasy points in four straight games.
Manziel made Cameron worse in Week 15 against the Bengals with one catch for 4 yards on one target. Cameron has been a dud this year due to injuries and poor play, but this was his worst performance of the season. There shouldn't be a reason for optimism this week since Carolina has allowed just two tight ends to reach double digits in Fantasy points and only four touchdowns allowed. We hope Manziel and Cameron can get on the same page and develop a rapport heading into next season, but don't plan on using him in a potential championship round this week.
Griffin has never been a tight end guy going back to his college days, and Reed has suffered as a result. In three games this season when both were healthy (at MIN in Week 9, vs. TB in Week 11 and at NYG in Week 15), the duo combined for six catches for 52 yards and no touchdowns on just eight targets. Reed missed the first game with the Eagles, but Philadelphia has been tough on tight ends this season. The Eagles have allowed just one touchdown to a tight end and only two have scored more than six Fantasy points in a standard league. So with the combination of Reed struggling with Griffin and the tough matchup you should plan on keeping him reserved this week.
Cook had a dream matchup in Week 15 against the Cardinals, but he failed to take advantage of it, which is the story of his career. He finished with three catches for 22 yards despite eight targets, and he now has just two games this season with double digits in Fantasy points. The Giants have allowed just one tight end to score in their past six games, and Cook is a risky option even in favorable situations. You can blame poor quarterback play for Cook's struggles, but whatever the excuse you should continue to bench Cook in all formats.
Donnell was a huge letdown for me in Week 15 with a great matchup against the Redskins, but he was a non-factor with two catches for 11 yards on two targets. He came into the game with at least six targets in six of his past seven games, but Eli Manning stayed away from him against the Redskins for some reason. He will likely do the same this week because of the tough matchup with the Rams. Going back to 2012, a span of 46 games, St. Louis has allowed just 10 touchdowns to opposing tight ends and only four to reach double digits in Fantasy points in a standard league. Cooper Helfet is the lone tight end to reach that mark this season. Donnell is a talented tight end and has played well this season, but there's no reason to start him this week based on the matchup. The Rams lock down tight ends and should keep Donnell to minimal production.
Suisham has done a nice job heading into this week with at least nine Fantasy points in a standard league in five games in a row. He has 11 field goals over that span, and he's made multiple field goals in nine games this year. The Chiefs have allowed multiple field goals in five of their past six games, and this matchup has the chance to be high-scoring with how the Steelers play offense at home and defense every where. Look for Suisham to continue to have plenty of scoring chances, and I like him as a starting option this week.
SleepersConnor Barth (at CIN): He's made 11 field goals since signing with DEN.
Matt Prater (vs. CHI): He had 10 Fantasy points vs. CHI in Week 13.
Shayne Graham (vs. ATL): Nine kickers have multiple field goals vs. ATL.
Catanzaro has been great the past two games with seven field goals combined against Kansas City and St. Louis. He's helped the team win despite a slew of injuries, but he should struggle this week against the Seahawks. He was held to one field goal against Seattle in Week 12, and he hasn't made an extra point in two games because of the poor offensive play for the Cardinals against the Chiefs and Rams. I'd be nervous starting Catanzaro this week even with his production over the previous two games.
The Panthers DST has started to play well for Fantasy owners of late with at least 12 points in a standard league against New Orleans and Tampa Bay. They have two interceptions, five sacks, three fumble recoveries and have limited those teams to 17 points or less in both outings. The Browns were shutout last week against the Bengals with Manziel's disastrous performance, and we'll buy into him struggling again in his first start on the road. The Bengals had two interceptions on Manziel last week with three sacks, and the Panthers could again make things tough on the rookie starter.
SleepersBills (at OAK): BUF has seven interceptions in its past three games.
Jaguars (vs. TEN): TEN has allowed 17 sacks in the past four games.
49ers (vs. SD): Rivers has 11 interceptions in his past eight games.
Bengals (vs. DEN): The Bengals DST is coming off their best game of the season with 23 Fantasy points at Cleveland. They have played well of late with at least 11 Fantasy points in three of their past four games, but they've also struggled with no points against the Steelers in Week 14 and single digits in points in the seven outings prior to Week 12. The Broncos have also been tough for opposing DST units with the Patriots in Week 9 and the Rams in Week 12 the only teams to score double digits in Fantasy points. Peyton Manning, despite his recent struggles, hasn't been sacked multiple times in four games in a row and only has an interception in one game in his past four outings. We expect the Broncos to continue to play well this week, limiting the chances for the Bengals DST to make plays this week.
Full Disclosure from Week 15
LeGarrette Blount wasn't great as the Start of the Week, but he wasn't awful either. His seven Fantasy points made him a Top 24 running back, so thankfully he scored a touchdown.
There weren't a lot of bad sit calls who played well in Week 15 with Mike Wallace, Marques Colston and Giovani Bernard the worst of the bunch. I did miss on several starters with Jonathan Stewart, Chris Johnson, Sammy Watkins and Isaiah Crowell all posting less than stellar stats.
Our positive start calls for Week 15, including sleepers, were Eli Manning and Matt Ryan as Top 5 quarterbacks, Jeremy Hill (No. 1), Mark Ingram, Joique Bell, Fred Jackson and Pierre Thomas as Top 15 running backs, Julian Edelman, Roddy White and Harry Douglas as Top 12 receivers and Travis Kelce and Delanie Walker as Top 10 tight ends.
Good luck in Week 16, and hopefully all of you are successful in your championship round.
|Player||Fantasy Pts. (proj.)||Fantasy Pts. (actual)||Pos. rank|
|LeGarrette Blount, RB, Patriots||14||7||22|
|Eli Manning, QB, Giants||20||28||2|
|Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots||10||14||5|
|Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs||7||9||6|
|Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers||18||11||21|
|Lamar Miller, RB, Dolphins||8||5||43|
|Anquan Boldin, WR, 49ers||5||2||68|
|Jonathan Stewart, RB, Panthers||16||5||41|
|Chris Johnson, RB, Jets||13||5||42|
|Sammy Watkins, WR, Bills||13||2||79|
|Mike Wallace, WR, Dolphins||6||16||4|
|Marques Colston, WR, Saints||6||12||10|
|Giovani Bernard, RB, Bengals||7||9||14|
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