Editor's note: FanDuel.com is hosting a one-week $3 million Fantasy Football contest for Week 9. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $500,000. Starts Sunday, November 2nd at 1 p.m. ET. Enter now to play with Dave.
There's no sugar coating this: Marshawn Lynch has been gross. We know this because over the last three weeks he's delivered exactly six Fantasy points per game (standard scoring). By comparison, rookie Jerick McKinnon has outscored him in each game, Ronnie Hillman has pretty much doubled or tripled Lynch's numbers per game and even Darren McFadden, the poster boy of Fantasy suckitude, has actually put up better numbers than Lynch in two of the last three weeks and was just one point worse in Week 8.
A banged-up and deteriorated offensive line is part of the problem, as is a defense that hasn't quite allowed for Lynch to crush the clock with a lot of second-half work in the last three weeks. But a lack of touchdown opportunities, and a general lack of touches, is also a real concern. In the last three weeks Lynch has had zero carries inside the 5, one carry inside the 10 and three targets in the red zone. To be fair, he did have a 15-yard touchdown run called back two weeks ago and had a carry inside the 10 called back last week. But even so, it's still not what's expected from Lynch. The 42 carries he has in his last three games are the fewest since a late-season three-game spell in 2012 where he totaled 40 carries -- and delivered 328 yards and five touchdowns in the process.
Seahawks coach Pete Carroll says there's no issue with Lynch in Seattle despite trade murmurs and rumors about his future with the team. It looks like he'll be their lead back for the rest of the way, but for much of this season we've seen an emphasis on the offense leaning on Russell Wilson a little more and Lynch a little less. 'Beast Mode' has two 20-carry games on the year. His third should come this week against Oakland at home, a get-right game if there ever was one, but the rest-of-season outlook for Lynch is messy. Following Oakland the Seahawks get another good matchup home against the Giants, but they still have home-and-home games against the 49ers and Cardinals between Weeks 12 through 16 with other matchups against the Chiefs and Eagles on the road mixed in before a Week 17 game against the Rams. It's not pretty.
If Lynch has the big game we all expect against the Raiders then his value will rebound and owners can get a ton in trade for him if they so choose. But if Lynch is limited again in Week 9 and doesn't string together, say, 100 yards and a touchdown, then his value will tank. Trading Lynch probably wasn't a thought in your head until recently, and with the schedule being what it is the next couple of weeks, the time is right to at least consider making some sell-high offers. Don't give up Lynch for just anything, but don't put your head in the sand and blindly believe Lynch will knock out big games every week the rest of the way. It's a good time to either sell on Lynch now or pray for a big game in Week 9 and then move him out.
If you're trading him now, here's a look at what to expect in exchange for him based on actual trades made in CBSSports.com leagues.
Marshawn Lynch for Rob Gronkowski: That's pretty darn close to even, though I might not expect every single Gronk owner to be willing to part with their stud tight end for Lynch (I wouldn't do it unless I had another quality tight end on my roster).
Marshawn Lynch, Brandon Marshall and Colin Kaepernick for Frank Gore and Aaron Rodgers: The team getting Lynch here wins big. Marshall might be in the tank but he's not going to stay there all season and Colin Kaepernick has some juicy matchups coming up. I might not love having Lynch on my roster but I'd take him over Gore for the rest of the year.
Marshawn Lynch for LeSean McCoy: Interesting deal involving two disappointing first-round draft picks. McCoy actually has the easier schedule and is still getting work compared to Lynch. Lynch had better stats earlier this season but in the last three weeks Lynch has scored fewer Fantasy points, and that's counting McCoy's Week 8 bye!
Marshawn Lynch and A.J. Green for Golden Tate, Julius Thomas and Doug Martin: A lot of moving parts here. Lynch might be a player I want to move for good players now but Green is one I want to get. Thomas is another player owners should trade for and Tate is one players should try to get as much value as possible for since he's hitting the bye week and Calvin's return will take targets away. Martin could even have some decent value depending on what happens at the trade deadline. Overall the Lynch/Green side is slightly more valuable but a team loaded at running back and needy at tight end could make this trade work.
Our Trade Value Chart is designed to help you in making fair trades in your standard-scoring or PPR league. The values assigned to the players below are a long-term measurement of their Fantasy value. By adding two players' values you could determine what one player you might be able to get in return. This list should also work as a "Rest of Season" Rankings.
|Peyton Manning, QB, DEN||38||38||Golden Tate, WR, DET||17||21||Delanie Walker, TE, TEN||10||12|
|Matt Forte, RB, CHI||37||43||Brandon Marshall, WR, CHI||17||20||Lorenzo Taliaferro, RB, BAL||10||11|
|DeMarco Murray, RB, DAL||37||41||Justin Forsett, RB, BAL||17||19||Jeremy Hill, RB, CIN||10||11|
|Jamaal Charles, RB, KC||37||41||DeSean Jackson, WR, WAS||17||19||Odell Beckham, WR, NYG||10||11|
|Demaryius Thomas, WR, DEN||37||41||Mark Ingram, RB, NO||17||17||Tre Mason, RB, STL||10||10|
|Antonio Brown, WR, PIT||37||41||Shane Vereen, RB, NE||16||19||Joseph Randle, RB, DAL||10||10|
|Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB||36||36||Dwayne Allen, TE, IND||16||18||Vernon Davis, TE, SF||9||12|
|Andrew Luck, QB, IND||36||36||Colin Kaepernick, QB, SF||16||16||Josh Gordon, WR, CLE||9||12|
|Arian Foster, RB, HOU||35||38||Eli Manning, QB, NYG||16||16||Travis Kelce, TE, KC||9||11|
|Jordy Nelson, WR, GB||34||38||Alfred Morris, RB, WAS||16||16||Reggie Wayne, WR, IND||9||11|
|Dez Bryant, WR, DAL||34||38||Chris Ivory, RB, NYJ||16||16||Percy Harvin, WR, NYJ||9||11|
|Randall Cobb, WR, GB||30||34||Frank Gore, RB, SF||16||16||Knile Davis, RB, KC||9||10|
|Le'Veon Bell, RB, PIT||30||33||Terrance Williams, WR, DAL||15||17||Ryan Mathews, RB, SD||9||10|
|Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE||29||34||Jerick McKinnon, RB, MIN||15||16||Bobby Rainey, RB, TB||9||10|
|A.J. Green, WR, CIN||29||33||Joique Bell, RB, DET||15||16||Carlos Hyde, RB, SF||9||10|
|Calvin Johnson, WR, DET||29||33||Roddy White, WR, ATL||14||17||Torrey Smith, WR, BAL||9||10|
|Jimmy Graham, TE, NO||28||33||Michael Crabtree, WR, SF||14||17||Jordan Cameron, TE, CLE||8||10|
|Julius Thomas, TE, DEN||28||33||Michael Floyd, WR, ARI||14||16||Wes Welker, WR, DEN||8||10|
|Tom Brady, QB, NE||28||28||Carson Palmer, QB, ARI||14||14||Malcom Floyd, WR, SD||8||10|
|Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI||26||30||Rashad Jennings, RB, NYG||14||14||Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA||8||10|
|Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN||26||30||Steve Smith, WR, BAL||13||16||Allen Robinson, WR, JAC||8||10|
|LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI||25||27||Pierre Garcon, WR, WAS||13||15||Darren McFadden, RB, OAK||8||9|
|Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA||25||27||Vincent Jackson, WR, TB||13||15||Fred Jackson, RB, BUF||8||9|
|T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND||24||28||Keenan Allen, WR, SD||13||15||Anquan Boldin, WR, SF||7||10|
|Andre Ellington, RB, ARI||22||25||Ben Tate, RB, CLE||13||14||Reggie Bush, RB, DET||7||9|
|Lamar Miller, RB, MIA||22||24||Denard Robinson, RB, JAC||13||13||Larry Donnell, TE, NYG||7||9|
|Eddie Lacy, RB, GB||22||23||Jordan Reed, TE, WAS||12||15||Martavis Bryant, WR, PIT||7||9|
|Julio Jones, WR, ATL||21||25||Eric Decker, WR, NYJ||12||15||Andre Holmes, WR, OAK||7||9|
|Drew Brees, QB, NO||21||21||DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU||12||14||Zach Ertz, TE, PHI||7||8|
|Philip Rivers, QB, SD||21||21||Mohamed Sanu, WR, CIN||12||14||Montee Ball, RB, DEN||7||7|
|Antonio Gates, TE, SD||20||24||Rueben Randle, WR, NYG||12||14||Doug Martin, RB, TB||7||7|
|Sammy Watkins, WR, BUF||20||24||Marques Colston, WR, NO||12||14||Trent Richardson, RB, IND||7||7|
|Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, IND||20||23||Branden Oliver, RB, SD||12||13||Andrew Hawkins, WR, CLE||6||10|
|Alshon Jeffery, WR, CHI||20||23||Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT||14||14||Benny Cunningham, RB, STL||6||8|
|Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN||20||22||Martellus Bennett, TE, CHI||11||14||Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, MIN||6||7|
|Russell Wilson, QB, SEA||20||20||Julian Edelman, WR, NE||11||14||Jonas Gray, RB, NE||6||6|
|Greg Olsen, TE, CAR||19||24||Andre Johnson, WR, HOU||11||14||Bishop Sankey, RB, TEN||6||6|
|Giovani Bernard, RB, CIN||19||22||Brandin Cooks, WR, NO||11||14||Juwan Thompson, RB, DEN||6||6|
|Kelvin Benjamin, WR, CAR||19||22||Brandon LaFell, WR, NE||11||13||Pierre Thomas, RB, NO||5||7|
|Tony Romo, QB, DAL||19||19||Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI||11||13||Travaris Cadet, RB, NO||5||6|
|Mike Wallace, WR, MIA||18||21||Matt Ryan, QB, ATL||11||11||Darren Sproles, RB, PHI||5||6|
|Jay Cutler, QB, CHI||18||18||Cam Newton, QB, CAR||11||11||Bryce Brown, RB, BUF||5||6|
|Matthew Stafford, QB, DET||18||18||Nick Foles, QB, PHI||11||11||Andre Williams, RB, NYG||5||5|