Why D-Jax wouldn't really hurt Pierre Garcon's Fantasy value
Pierre Garcon won't lead the league in targets again if DeSean Jackson joins the Redskins. But that doesn't mean Garcon's Fantasy outlook will take a huge hit.
|Pierre Garcon topped the NFL with 184 targets last year. (AP Images)|
Redskins receiver Pierre Garcon led the NFL with 184 targets last season but finished 14th among Fantasy wideouts. It stands to reason DeSean Jackson -- if he signs with Washington -- will ciphon targets away from Garcon, hurting his Fantasy stock.
But when you look at the whole picture, Garcon shouldn't suffer much, if at all.
1. Only 124 of Garcon's 184 targets were catchable. That's a shocking number of bad passes and throwaways. Robert Griffin III wasn't fully healthy; his completion percentage dropped to 60.1 from the 65.6 he posted as a rookie.
With RG3 shedding his knee brace and looking 100 percent, Garcon should get a higher percentage of catchable balls. RG3 already has begun working out with his receivers, building chemistry, a far cry from last offseason.
2. Garcon routinely saw double coverage last year. With Jackson, Andre Roberts and a healthy Jordan Reed on the field, Garcon won't be the sole focus of opposing coordinators.
3. The Bengals threw 587 times last year, 12th-most in the league, in Jay Gruden's quick-hitting, pass-oriented scheme. And it's not like they were playing from behind all the time. Gruden will call plays in Washington.
If RG3 approaches 600 pass attempts and Garcon and Jackson split 300 of those, Garcon could be just as productive as he was last year when he had 1,346 receiving yards. Figure 150 quality targets, 90-plus catches.
4. Garcon had a terrible touchdown rate last year, catching five scoring grabs on 113 receptions. He got a healthy number of red-zone targets, 19, but caught just eight of those for 56 yards and four scores. (Larry Fitzgerald led WRs with 24 red-zone targets).
With a more efficient offense and a little more luck, Garcon could make eight to 10 touchdown catches.
CBS Sports Fantasy experts currently rank Garcon anywhere from 10th to 14th among wideouts. Dave Richard says he won't drop Garcon much if Jackson signs with Washington.
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