Chris Carson has the upside of a No. 1 running back, but with his injury history and Rashaad Penny nipping at his heels, you can't draft him like one. It's better to wait until the late third or early fourth round, which mitigates some of your risk and leaves you plenty of room for upside. The most likely situation is that Carson and Penny split the load and there's enough work for both to be relevant. Expect a solid No. 2 running back with around 1,300 total yards.
Coach Pete Carroll said Tuesday that Carson "had a little work done" on his knee, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Carroll didn't elaborate on the aforementioned "work," but he expects Carson to return to the field in a few weeks. While he focuses on rehab and recovery, his backfield mates will get some high-profile reps during OTAs. Among the most interesting is 2018 first-round pick Rashaad Penny, who managed 494 yards from scrimmage and two TDs on 94 touches working behind Carson and current Bears back Mike Davis. The depth chart is rounded out by J.D. McKissic, C.J. Prosise (abdomen) and 2019 sixth-rounder Travis Homer.
Coach Pete Carroll said Carson will be pushed for playing time by Rashaad Penny, but he expects the pair to form a one-two punch, John Boyle of the Seahawks official site reports. "I don't know who's one and who's two, it doesn't matter to me. I thought both guys did a really good job this year," Carroll said. "There's plenty of room for both guys." Carson was easily No. 1 in the Seahawks' backfield last season, as he registered 4.7 YPC while accruing 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground and complementing that production with 20 catches for 163 yards. Penny showed explosiveness and plenty of potential in his rookie season, but he battled injuries which may have hindered his production. Carroll acknowledged that the two have different running styles and he'll deploy them both either way, but it's simply a matter of how the snaps will be divided. There's plenty of room for both, as the Seahawks averaged the second-most rush attempts per game (33.4) in 2018. While Penny will be given a chance to steal snaps in training camp, fantasy owners should understand Carson led the league with 45 broken tackles and ranked second in the league with 3.4 yards after contact, according to Pro Football Focus. Fade his projection appropriately, but Carson is still the front runner for the No. 1 job.
Carson generated 20 yards on 13 carries and minus-1 yard on two catches in Saturday's loss to the Cowboys. Carson finished the regular season with three straight games of at least 116 rushing yards, managing four touchdowns in that span. However, the Cowboys put up a force field on the line of scrimmage in this outing and held Carson to just 1.5 yards per carry. For comparison, he dropped below 4.0 YPC just twice this year, with his worst mark (3.2) coming in Week 3, also against Dallas. The playoff blemish will leave a bad taste in the mouth for an otherwise promising season where Carson averaged 4.7 YPC and racked up 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground while catching 20 passes for 163 yards. Carson's understudy, rookie Rashaad Penny, showed glimpses of explosive ability this season, but Carson's consistency kept him as the clear-cut No. 1 back in Seattle's run-heavy offense. After expending a first-round pick on Penny in the 2018 NFL Draft, the Seahawks will likely give Penny an opportunity to earn a greater share of the workload in 2019, so this could be a battle that starts in the offseason program and continues into training camp.
Carson rushed 27 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's win over the Chiefs. Carson continues to be the focal point of the backfield with Rashaad Penny (knee) out and Mike Davis receiving just seven carries. He piled up over 100 rushing yards for the second straight game and the fifth time this season despite not having a rush over 17 yards in this contest. Both of his scores in this outing came on rushes within the five-yard line, and he now has seven rushing touchdowns in eight contests since the bye week. Carson's keen ability to evade defenders and break tackles will keep him atop the pecking order for Week 17's game versus the Cardinals and into the playoffs.
Carson rushed 22 times for 119 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's overtime loss to the 49ers. He also caught all six targets for 29 yards. Carson found the end zone for the fourth time in five games by punching in a one-yard score early in the fourth quarter to tie the game at 20. Without Rashaad Penny (knee) in the equation, Carson dominated the backfield while Mike Davis and J.D McKissic combined for just seven carries. The second-year pro capitalized on his opportunity and produced career bests with six catches and 148 scrimmage yards. Carson will look to keep the momentum rolling when the Seahawks host the Chiefs in Week 16.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|3||09/22||New Orleans Saints||3||12.44|
|5||10/04||Los Angeles Rams||14||17.26|
|9||11/03||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||28||21.25|
|10||11/12||@San Francisco 49ers||20||19.00|
|14||12/09||@Los Angeles Rams||14||17.26|
|17||12/29||San Francisco 49ers||20||19.00|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||148||680||4||14||111||0||101|