Horses who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby will try to pull off an upset in the middle jewel of the Triple Crown when the starting gate opens in the 2021 Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course. Affectionally nicknamed "new shooters," horses who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby have won just five of the last 37 editions of the Preakness and two of the last 11. This year, the Bob Baffert-trained Concert Tour is the highest-regarded of the new shooters and is 5-2 in the 2021 Preakness Stakes odds.
Medina Spirit, who also is trained by Baffert and coming off a win in the Kentucky Derby that is in jeopardy after he failed a postrace drug test, is the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the 10-horse 2021 Preakness Stakes field. Post time from Pimlico Race Course is set for 6:47 p.m. ET. With questions surrounding the morning-line favorite, you'll want to check out what handicapping wunderkind Matt Bernier has to say before making any Preakness Stakes picks.
Bernier is one of the country's most recognizable horse racing analysts. An on-air contributor to NBC's horse racing telecasts and the host of "The Matt Bernier Show" podcast, Bernier first gained renown in 2013 when, at 23 years old, he became the youngest qualifier at the time to qualify for the National Horseplayers Championship. He parlayed that success into a spot on the reality TV show "Horseplayers," which followed professional horseplayers around the country.
Two of his biggest scores came in 2014. In the prestigious Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge, Bernier finished sixth, earning $61,000 for the Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance charity. He won $40,000 after winning the Aqueduct handicapping championship.
He also has cashed Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks futures bets at enormous odds, including 75-1 on I'll Have Another in 2012, 75-1 on Orb in 2013, and 35-1 on Shedaresthedevil in 2020.
Now, he has handicapped the 2021 Preakness Stakes field, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them here.
Top 2021 Preakness Stakes bets
One shocker: Bernier is completely tossing Concert Tour, even though he is one of the top Vegas favorites. Bred and owned by Gary and Mary West, Concert Tour has three wins in four career starts. He is coming off his worst career performance, a third-place finish in the Arkansas Derby as the overwhelming 3-10 favorite.
Concert Tour runs best when he's setting the pace, but he's unlikely to get to the lead on Saturday with his equally fast Derby-winning stablemate, Medina Spirit, drawn to his inside. "Given the post draw, it is unlikely Concert Tour will be hustled away from the gate and get into a duel with Baffert's other entrant," Bernier told SportsLine. "Concert Tour gives off vibes of a win or off-the-board type; at a short price, he is a toss."
How to make Preakness Stakes selections for Saturday
Instead, Bernier is high on a double-digit long shot who's set to turn heads in the Preakness. Bernier is including this horse in his 2021 Preakness Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horses to back at SportsLine.
So who wins the Preakness Stakes? What double-digit long shot is a must-back? And how has Bernier constructed his wagers? Check out the latest Preakness Stakes odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Bernier's picks for the Preakness Stakes.
2021 Preakness Stakes horses, post positions, field
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