2019 Houston Open picks, predictions, odds: Ranking the field at Golf Club of Houston
This week's PGA Tour field is not the strongest, which opens the door for a first-time champ
For the first time in a year and a half, the Houston Open will again take place on the PGA Tour. The former lead-in event to the Masters wasn't played at all during the 2018-19 PGA Tour season, but it returns to a new date at the same location as it was before for one year. That strong pre-Masters field though? Not so much.
Let's take a look at this week's contest.
What: Houston Open | When: Oct. 10-13
Where: Golf Club of Houston -- Houston, Texas
Ranking the field (odds)
- Henrik Stenson (9-1): Stenson is one of two golfers (Keegan Bradley) in the top 58 in the world in this event.
- Russell Henley (22-1): The best strokes-gained number at this course since 2010.
- Scottie Scheffler (22-1): Would be perfect for him to get win No. 1 in the state of Texas.
- Daniel Berger (22-1): Dropped all the way to No. 131 in the world, but has two top 25s to start the year.
- Cameron Champ (22-1): Unsurprising missed cut in Las Vegas after emotional Safeway win.
- Brian Harman (20-1): Three straight top 20s to open the season.
- Harris English (40-1): Two top 10s in his last three starts on the PGA Tour.
- Luke List (40-1): He has a strong history here. Maybe the most underrated ball-striker in the world.
- Beau Hossler (40-1): Finished runner up to Ian Poulter here in 2018.
- Lanto Griffin (50-1): Five straight top 20s. Love him as a sleeper.
Field strength -- D-: This is a tough scene. Harman (!) has the second-best odds behind Stenson. The combination of time of year and the fact that the Italian Open grabbed a strong field that includes nine top-40 players makes for a rough first go for the fall version of this tournament.
Three things to know
1. Stenson retires his 3-wood: That's right, the trustiest club in golf has been laid to rest. It's unlikely to affect his actual play, which has been terrific dating back to May, but it's certainly being talked about (which may say more about this field than about Stenson or his clubs, to be honest).
2. New-look tournament: Joel Beall did a good job laying out the present and the future for the Houston Open. The event is moving to a Tom Doak course (with Brooks Koepka input!) next season and expects a much stronger field. For now, though? Some apparent player promises that fell through combined with a Houston Astros group that's going to be should make for an interesting week.
3. Cole Hammer watch: I covered Hammer in 2015 at the U.S. Open at Chambers Bay when he was a 15-year-old contending against grown men. Four years later, and he's on the precipice of joining them. Hammer is currently the No. 2 amateur golfer in the world as he begins his sophomore year at Texas. He housed Matthew Wolff (you may have heard of him?) at the NCAAs earlier this year and is coming off a Walker Cup win this fall. I actually expect him to make the cut here.
- 2018: Ian Poulter
- 2017: Russell Henley
- 2016: Jim Herman
- 2015: J.B Holmes
- 2014: Matt Jones
Houston Open picks
Winner: Harris English (40-1) -- Really strong start for somebody I've always thought of as an elite ball-striker. He's really struggled from tee to green over the last few seasons, but he's 14th in that category so far in the 2019-20 season.
Top 10: Henrik Stenson (9-1) -- I don't know that I've ever seen a favorite in the single digits in terms of his number with nobody else better than 20-1.
Sleeper: Lanto Griffin (50-1) -- You could make a legit case that he's the hottest player in this field with those five straight top 20s. Only Richy Werenski (!) can match that level of consistency even over the last three tournaments played.
Koepka has been rehabilitating his injured knee since August
The two-time PGA Tour winner is out until January
Even if his resume isn't quite there yet, JT has been astounding
Thomas fired the round of the day at Nine Bridges to take the lead
Lefty is hanging on for dear life in the Official World Golf Rankings
Day fired an impressive 66 in Round 1 with a chance to play in the Presidents Cup on the line