2020 Farmers Insurance Open picks, predictions, odds: Ranking the field at Torrey Pines
The heart of the season starts beating this weekend in La Jolla
The 2019-20 PGA Tour season has not necessarily kicked into high gear just yet, but that will change this week as Tiger Woods returns to the course at Torrey Pines in the 2020 Farmers Insurance Open. The fields in the tournaments thus far have been hit-or-miss in terms of quality, but that won't be the case in La Jolla. Woods joins a loaded Farmers Insurance Open field that includes the likes of Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Rickie Fowler, Hideki Matsuyama and a host of others as CBS Sports opens up its professional golf coverage in 2020.
Let's take a look at this week's contest.
What: Farmers Insurance Open | When: Jan. 23-26
Where: Torrey Pines -- La Jolla, California
Ranking the field (odds)
- Rory McIlroy (6-1): Best player in the world. Best player in the field.
- Jon Rahm (9-1): Coming off the hottest second half of last year of anybody in the world. All-time leader in strokes gained here.
- Xander Schauffele (16-1): Four straight top 10s worldwide including two runner-ups. Low-key heater.
- Gary Woodland (25-1): Four straight top-seven finishes! Two straight top 12s at this event.
- Tony Finau (25-1): Love how he's playing, and five straight top 25s here.
- Hideki Matsuyama (20-1): Two consecutive top 15s here. Top 20 in eight of his last nine events.
- Tiger Woods (12-1): If you took his record at Torrey into account, his career would be among the best on Tour.
- Justin Rose (16-1): Defending champ is coming off a runner-up at the Singapore Open.
- Scottie Scheffler (40-1): Three top-five finishes in his last four events. First crack at Torrey.
- Jason Day (40-1): Finished T5 last year to back up his 2018 win.
Field strength -- A: I didn't even get to Patrick Reed, Rickie Fowler, Jordan Spieth, Sungjae Im or Collin Morikawa. This field is absolutely stacked, and Tiger's presence makes it feel even more beefed up than it already is.
Three things to know
1. Spieth begins a big year: Jordan Spieth was supposed to open 2020 at the Sony Open, but he pulled out because of an illness. This is a big year for Spieth, who is coming up on three years without a victory. Golf is cyclical, of course, but a big start -- specifically in strokes gained from tee to green -- for him this week would engender a lot of optimism among those of us (a dwindling crew!) who still believe Spieth is one of the greats.
2. Fowler struggles: Rickie Fowler's best finish in the last six editions of this tournament is a T61, which is tough given that Farmers is a title sponsor of his and he's from California. He did finish in the top 10 back in 2013 and opened 2020 with two straight top 10s, but I'm not sure how much confidence I have in him at this track right now.
3. New No. 1: Rory McIlroy can usurp Brooks Koepka from his throne atop the world of golf with a victory at Torrey Pines this weekend. Since McIlroy was last No. 1 in the world (September 2015), six different players have held the title (Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Justin Rose, Dustin Johnson and Jason Day).
It feels weird that we haven't seen Woods in a PGA Tour event since he won at the Zozo Championship in Japan last fall, but it's true. He'll start where he always starts, and why not given that he has eight victories on this course, including a U.S. Open. My expectations for him at Torrey are pretty high given how good he was in the fall and what an alpha he was at the Presidents Cup in December. Ultimately, I don't think he's going to win, but a poor performance at this event would be a big surprise.
- 2019: Justin Rose
- 2018: Jason Day
- 2017: Jon Rahm
- 2016: Brandt Snedeker
- 2015: Jason Day
Farmers Insurance Open picks
Winner: Gary Woodland (25-1) -- Easily playing the best golf he's played since he won the U.S. Open last summer ... in California.
Top 10: Scottie Scheffler (3-1) -- Maybe the best player in the world nobody's paying attention to now that everybody has hopped on board the Sungjae Im train.
Sleeper: Jason Day (40-1) -- This qualifies, right? He's won two of the last five, and while he hasn't been playing the best golf of late, he's still capable of elite putting weeks on a course that favors them more than most.
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