The 2023 U.S. Open continues on Sunday with the first tee times coming at 11:23 a.m. ET from Los Angeles Country Club. Scores have been generally low this weekend with Rickie Fowler and Xander Schauffele both shooting a U.S. Open record-breaking 62 on Thursday. In total, five golfers sit at 5-under or lower entering Round 4. Fowler used that Thursday performance to power his way to the top of the U.S. Open leaderboard, where he sits at 10-under alongside Wyndham Clark as the co-leader. Schauffele struggled on Saturday in particular and now sits at 5-under. Rory McIlroy (-9), Scottie Scheffler (-7), Harris English (-6) and Dustin Johnson (-5) all remain in the mix as well.
Despite entering Sunday one shot off the lead, McIllroy is the favorite in the 2023 U.S. Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook at +210. Fowler (+275), Clark (+300) and Scheffler (+400) are close behind, with Schauffele (35-1), Johnson (35-1) and Harris (45-1) the only other golfers with less than triple-digit odds. With so many experienced players atop the leaderboard, you'll want to check out the U.S. Open predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks for Sunday.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $10,200 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn't won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the final round of the 2023 U.S. Open is approaching, SportsLine simulated Sunday's action 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.
Top 2023 U.S. Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and the favorite heading into Sunday, stumbles down the stretch and fails to win his first major since 2014. McIlroy is off to a blistering start after opening with three rounds of 69 or lower.
But it's hard to find much value on McIlroy to win given his recent track record. He has a whopping 17 top-10 major finishes since 2014, but hasn't won any of those events. He's a stroke back of a pair of players who look extremely comfortable this weekend and he has a huge name in Scheffler chasing him, making McIlroy a player to fade on Sunday at these odds. See which other golfers to fade here.
Another surprise: Schauffele bounces back from his struggles on Saturday and plays better on Sunday. He's currently T-6 at 5-under, but the model projects that he'll move up the leaderboard in Round 4, making him a great value for 2023 U.S. Open live bets.
Schauffele, a Southern California native, absolutely blitzed the course on Thursday. He had a bogey-free round that included eight birdies in the first 14 holes. It was a couple poor stretches on Saturday that hurt him as he racked up three birdies in two different five-hole spans. His overall performance has been stellar outside of those, making him a great value among the longshots entering Sunday. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 U.S. Open picks
The model is also targeting multiple huge longshots who finish higher than their odds imply. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's 2023 U.S. Open picks here.
So, who will win the U.S. Open 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 U.S. Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed nine golf majors, including this year's Masters.
2023 U.S. Open odds for Sunday
Rory McIlroy +210
Rickie Fowler +275
Wyndham Clark +300
Scottie Scheffler +400
Xander Schauffele +3500
Dustin Johnson +3500
Harris English +4500
Cameron Smith +12500
Bryson DeChambeau +22500
Viktor Hovland +35000
Tom Kim +475000
Hideki Matsuyama +75000
Ryutaro Nagano +75000
Min Woo Lee +100000
Patrick Cantlay +100000
Collin Morikawa +150000
Tony Finau +200000
Matt Fitzpatrick +200000
Brooks Koepka +250000
All other remaining golfers are +500000