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There are 26 different criteria in which one could have qualified for the 2024 Open Championship, including being a past British Open winner aged 60 or younger or being among the top 50 in World Rankings. However, several notable players met none of the 26 criteria including Justin Rose, Adam Scott and Joaquin Niemann, but each of them punched their tickets into the Open Championship 2024 field via qualifying events. Thomas Detry used this same pathway last year and finished 13th in the 2023 British Open, so these late qualifiers shouldn't be dismissed for The Open 2024 when play begins Thursday at 1:35 a.m. ET.

At 45-1, Niemann has the shortest odds of the three, but is far behind the 4-1 favorite in Scottie Scheffler. Other contenders, per the latest Open Championship 2024 odds, include Rory McIlroy (8-1) and Bryson DeChambeau (9-1). Meanwhile, longshots for Royal Troon include Brooks Koepka (25-1), Jordan Spieth (40-1) and Justin Thomas (40-1). Before locking in your 2024 Open Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters, its third Masters in a row, and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the Open Championship 2024 field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Open Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Open Championship: Ludvig Aberg, one of the top favorites at 9-1, stumbles and falls well outside the top five despite being tied for the third-lowest odds. He's a golfer to fade in 2024 Open Championship bets. 

The 24-year-old Swedish golfer carried the lead into Sunday at the Scottish Open last week before a fourth-round 73 took him out of contention. His second-place finish at the Masters this year proved that he's close to breaking through at this level of tournament, but he also missed the cut at the PGA Championship and finished T12 at the U.S. Open. With a 2024 British Open field full of proven major winners, the model doesn't like the value of Aberg as one of the favorites. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Tommy Fleetwood, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. No golfer in the world has been as successful at The Open over the last five years than Fleetwood, relative to par. He's shot 32-under-par over this stretch, with four top-12 finishes in his last five British Opens. Fleetwood's success at majors extends beyond the Open Championship as since 2017, he has seven top 5s at majors, which is only topped by Koepka (11), McIlroy (nine) and Jon Rahm (eight).

Royal Troon features undulating fairways that penalize inaccurate ball-strikers, but Fleetwood is among the most precise golfers in the world. He ranks fifth in driving accuracy percentage, and that skill led him to success at Royal Liverpool last year -- which is the closest comp to Royal Troon -- as the Englishman finished 10th. Add in that Fleetwood ranks among the top 20 of this year's field in strokes gained: around-the-green, and he has the complete tool set for success at The Open 2024. See who else to back here

How to make 2024 Open Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Additionally, McClure's best bets include a massive triple-digit underdog. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Open Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.

2024 Open Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Bryson DeChambeau 9-1
Ludvig Aberg 9-1
Collin Morikawa 10-1
Xander Schauffele 13-1
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1
Jon Rahm 22-1
Viktor Hovland 22-1
Brooks Koepka 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 30-1
Tom Kim 33-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Hideki Maysuyama 40-1
Robert MacIntyre 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Joaquin Niemann 45-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Sungjae Im 50-1
Max Homa 50-1
Min Woo Lee 55-1
Dustin Johnson 55-1
Cameron Young 55-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Will Zalatoris 65-1
Corey Conners 65-1
Aaron Rai 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Byeong Hun An 70-1
Akshay Bhatia 75-1
Adam Scott 75-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 80-1
Patrick Reed 85-1
Justin Rose 90-1
Louis Oosthuizen 90-1
Talor Gooch 100-1
Davis Thompson 100-1
Abraham Ancer 100-1
Russell Henley 125-1
Mattieu Pavon 125-1
Si Woo Kim 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Keegan Bradley 125-1
Sebastian Soderberg 125-1
Alex Noren 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Rasmus Højgaard 150-1
David Puig 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Adam Hadwin 150-1
Keith Mitchell 150-1
Tiger Woods 150-1
John Catlin 150-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Tom McKibbin 150-1
Billy Horschel 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Denny McCarthy 175-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Kurt Kitayama 175-1
Keita Nakajima 175-1
Lucas Glover 175-1
Adrian Meronk 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Seamus Power 200-1
Tom Huge 200-1
Victory Perez 200-1
Jordan Smith 200-1
Stephen Jaeger 200-1
Eric Cole 200-1
Aaron Wise 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Henrik Stenson 200-1
Thorbjorn Olsen 200-1
Daniel Berger 200-1
Yannik Paul 200-1
Sam Horsfield 200-1
Austin Eckroat 200-1