Bunched leaderboard may make for exciting finish Sunday at US Open

Rickie Fowler could make a run at the US Open on Sunday. (USATSI)
Rickie Fowler could make a run at the US Open on Sunday. (USATSI)

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After another marathon day at Merion on Saturday it seems like we're right back where we started after Round 2 -- a stocked leaderboard with no clear frontrunner.

We do have a few more big names on top as Nicolas Colsaerts and John Senden turned in sub-par rounds and Rickie Fowler and Jason Day shot up the leaderboard.

But despite everyone stuffing the Phil Mickelson story into a Father's Day-shaped hole, it's not like anybody is running away with this thing.

The names though, they're monsters -- even though Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods are nowhere to be found.

In fact, it feels like somebody invited Charl Schwartzel and Jason Day to the Ryder Cup.

Here are your top 10 through three rounds in Pennsylvania and what chance I give each to win the championship -- I think the winner is definitely coming out of this group of golfers:

Phil Mickelson (-1) -- It's his to lose and we know if he loses it, it's going to be in spectacular fashion. Like, hitting 3-wood-3-wood-3-wood en route to a double bogey on No. 18. Chance of winning: 35 percent

Charl Schwartzel (E) -- Only man on this list other than Lefty with a major. Tied with Donald Day and Charley Hoffman for most birdies at tournament. Chance of winning: 25 percent

Hunter Mahan E -- Has hit 86 percent (!) of his fairways this week. He should stick with the "have seven people dress me in the dark" routine on Sunday. Chance of winning: 10 percent

Steve Stricker (E) -- Stephanie Wei is right, this would be the golf story of the year. Stricker could become oldest US Open winner ever. Chance of winning: 15 percent

Justin Rose (+1) -- Slogged his way to a 71 on Saturday. For some reason he scares me with a lead coming down the back nine. Chance of winning: 10 percent

Luke Donald (+1) -- That double bogey on No. 18 on Saturday was not pretty. I think No. 18 could swipe the trophy from somebody's hands on Sunday. Scary stuff. Chance of winning: 15 percent

Billy Horschel (+1) -- His fire doesn't exactly scream "I can be steady mentally and win the US Open!" Masters or PGA, maybe, but not US Open. Chance of winning: 5 percent

Jason Day (+2) -- He would scare the hell out of me if I were in front of him on a Sunday. Last year Webb Simpson was in eighth heading into Sunday and he was only three back. Chance of winning: 10 percent

Rickie Fowler (+3) -- Could shoot 81, could shoot 66 -- nobody knows. All we know is he will be the most (or least) fashionable winner ever if he takes it. Chance of winning: 5 percent 

For more golf news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnGolf and @KylePorterCBS on Twitter or Google+ and like us on Facebook.

CBS Sports Writer

Kyle Porter began his sports writing career with CBS Sports in 2012. He covers golf, writes poetry about Rory McIlroy's swing, stays ready on Tiger watch and loves the Masters more than anyone you know.... Full Bio

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