Scottie Scheffler came into Saturday seven shots off Matt Fitzpatrick's lead after the Englishman tore up the first two rounds at Harbour Town while playing with the World No. 1.
On Sunday, Fitzpatrick will be a bit less excited to see Scheffler back alongside him for the final round's final pairing. Scheffler fired one of the low rounds of Saturday with a 7-under 64 to climb into second on the leaderboard.
Scheffler took full advantage of having a tee time more than an hour before Fitzpatrick's, charging hard up the leaderboard with five birdies in his first six holes to trim the deficit to just two shots before Fitzpatrick even stepped on the first tee.
"You can't ask for much of a better start than that," Scheffler said after his round. "Came out, nice birdie on the first, good birdie on the second. Kind of stole one on 4, and two good birdies there on 5 and 6."
While Scheffler finally blinked with his lone bogey of the day on No. 7, a birdie on the 9th saw him make the turn with a share of the lead after going out in 31 and Fitzpatrick falling back with two early bogeys.
As the wind picked up on Hilton Head Island, Scheffler cooled off a touch on the back nine with six straight pars before closing strong with two birdies in his final three holes to claim the clubhouse lead at 14 under.
Fitzpatrick woke up on his back nine and was able to re-assert control with a birdie-birdie-eagle stretch on Nos. 13-15 to open up a three-shot lead on Scheffler and the rest of the field. While Fitzpatrick now has a larger lead than he did on Friday night, when he had Viktor Hovland one shot behind him, his position feels equally precarious because of the man now closest in his rearview mirror.
We saw a week ago what Scheffler can do on the weekend when he gets in a groove, as he nearly came back to catch Rory McIlroy at the Masters after spotting him a 12-shot lead on Friday. This week, his deficit was only seven entering the weekend and despite great scoring conditions for everyone on Saturday, he's pulled within three of the lead entering the final round.
What makes Scheffler so dangerous is it never seems like he has to try and do anything particularly out of the ordinary for him to produce a spectacular round. While other players have to take on more risk to get that kind of reward, Scheffler is capable of firing a round in the mid-60s without having to change his strategy all that much.
That'll shift the pressure onto Fitzpatrick to strike the right balance between playing smart and staying aggressive enough to prevent Scheffler from steadily reeling him in.
The leader
1. Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)
It's odd when a three-shot lead feels this tenuous, but that's the case for Fitzpatrick because of the man chasing him. He should be buoyed by the quality of his play all week -- especially knowing he built much of his advantage this week in the first two days while playing alongside Scheffler.
While we saw some evidence of nerves early in the third round, his back nine performance was telling of his confidence and form right now. He could've ejected right alongside Hovland after falling out of the lead entirely, but he regrouped and was able to throw some key counter-punches down the back nine to reclaim control heading into Sunday's final round.
Other contenders
2. Scottie Scheffler (-14)
T3. Si Woo Kim, Sepp Straka, Brian Harman (-13)
T6. Ludvig Aberg, Patrick Cantlay, Andrew Novak, Gary Woodland, Aldrich Potgieter (-12)
T11. Harris English, Viktor Hovland and three others (-11)
Had Fitzpatrick not hit the gas in the middle of his back nine, we would've had a much larger portion of the field in real contention heading into Sunday. However, given we saw Fitzpatrick play about as poorly as he can on the front nine and still barely gave up ground, it's hard to see him sliding back much on Sunday, even factoring in the nerves of trying to hold a lead in the final round.
That, coupled with Scheffler sitting in second alone at 14 under, makes it hard to see anyone charging from that far down the leaderboard to pull off a shocking victory. Even with 63s out there, it's hard to envision anything less than 19 under winning this tournament.
Scheffler is the biggest threat, but there are some players who can get hot and go low in the chase pack behind him. Si Woo Kim is bucking his head again on the first page of a big leaderboard, and if he can warm up the putter, he's capable of stringing together a lot of birdies. Åberg is also capable of going on a tear, as evidenced by his first round performance, and he'll need to take the offensive on Sunday to try and capture his first win of 2026 that's eluded him in frustrating fashion.
2026 RBC Heritage updated odds, picks
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Matt Fitzpatrick (20/29)
- Scottie Scheffler (11/5)
- Si Woo Kim (18-1)
- Sepp Straka (22-1)
- Brian Harman (22-1)
- Ludvig Åberg (30-1)
Fitzpatrick's resolve on Saturday was impressive, but he'll face an even greater pressure on Sunday with Scheffler staring him down. I think we'll know quickly whether Fitzpatrick will be prepared to handle that, and it's hard not to want to take Scheffler even at short odds facing a three-shot deficit. Kim is the only other player I'm really intrigued by, just because he's only one back of Scheffler and could go out in front of the leaders and post a number.




















