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After splitting a four-game series against one American League East rival, the New York Yankees begin another one when they visit the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday (7:07 p.m. ET) at Rogers Centre. New York (23-19) went 2-2 at home against first-place Tampa Bay over the weekend, with three of the four contests being decided by one run. The Yankees had won five of six overall before dropping an 8-7 decision on Sunday. Toronto (24-16), which took two of three at New York last month, is coming off a three-game sweep of National League East-leading Atlanta. The Blue Jays are -170 favorites (risk $100 to win $170) in the latest MLB odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Yankees are +143 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5.

The game is one of 11 on the MLB schedule for Monday evening. Elsewhere in the majors, the Atlanta Braves (-145) look to end their four-game slide when they visit the Texas Rangers in another battle of first-place clubs and the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) look to extend their winning streak to six games when they host the Minnesota Twins. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 20-15 on top-rated MLB picks to start the 2023 season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.  

For Monday, the model has locked in three confident MLB best bets for games that begin at 8:40 p.m. ET or later. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of well over 7-1. You can only see the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Monday 10,000 times, the model is picking the Giants -1.5 (+170) to cover against the Phillies. San Francisco is hoping left-hander Alex Wood's return to the starting rotation will help it end its three-game losing streak. The 32-year-old Wood (0-0, 2.45) missed nearly a month after straining his left hamstring in a start at Miami on Apr. 18 but returned to work an inning of relief at Arizona last Friday.

Over his first three starts of the season, Wood allowed only two earned runs and registered 11 strikeouts in 10 innings. He is 3-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 15 career games against the Phillies, including 10 starts, and recorded his only complete game versus them in 2014 while with Atlanta. The Giants have scored a total of three runs over their last two contests but have a strong chance to break out against Philadelphia's Bailey Falter (0-6, 5.75), who has yielded 21 runs over 25 ⅔ innings in his last five outings. See who else to back here

How to make MLB parlays for May 15

The model also locked in three other best bets for Monday. You can see the model's MLB Monday best bets and parlay only at SportsLine.

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of well over 7-1, and which plus-money play does the model like on Monday? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets from an advanced model that is on a 20-15 roll on top-rated money-line picks, and find out.