The San Diego Padres look to continue their road success when they take on the Atlanta Braves in a Thursday matinee. The Padres (17-14), second in the NL West standings, have won six of their last nine games and are 10-6 on the road. The Braves (15-15), second in the NL East, have struggled at times at home, where they are 10-9. First pitch from SunTrust Park is set for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Braves have won three of their last four games. The latest Braves vs. Padres odds show Atlanta favored at -130 on the money line (risk $130 to win $100), while the over-under for total runs scored is 8.5. Before making any Braves vs. Padres picks of your own, listen to the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks in multiple sports. It is off to a profitable start on all its A-rated MLB picks, entering Week 6 on a strong 73-51 run. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now the model has dialed in on Braves vs. Padres. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The Braves have won five of the last seven games against San Diego and won the last three season series. Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz (0-0, 6.00 ERA), who had an impressive 2.85 ERA last year, takes the mound for Atlanta.
Atlanta will benefit from not having to face the Padres' top hitter, Fernando Tatis Jr. (.300), who is on the injured list with a strained left hamstring. Right fielder Nick Markakis (.330) leads the Braves at the plate. He has an eight-game hitting streak, going 10-for-30 with four doubles in that span.
But just because Atlanta has had San Diego's number of late does not mean it is the best value on the Braves vs. Padres money line.
Left-hander Matt Strahm (0-2, 3.04 ERA) gets the start for San Diego. He recorded a career-high eight strikeouts in his last outing and has a 1.50 ERA over his last four starts. The Padres own a statistical edge over the Braves in a number of pitching categories, including ERA (3.47 to 4.68), WHIP (1.15 to 1.43), walks (86 to 130) and strikeouts (280 to 272).
First baseman Eric Hosmer (.252) has been red-hot. He was 9-for-20 (.450) with three home runs, a double and five RBIs during a five-game stretch heading into Wednesday's game. Outfielder Hunter Renfroe (.240) had also been hot, going 5-for-13 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs over a four-game span. Slamming the door for the Padres is closer Kirby Yates (0-0, 0.56 ERA). Yates has pitched in 16 games and has 14 saves. He has allowed just 11 hits, one earned run, five walks and 25 strikeouts in 16 innings.
So who wins Padres vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Padres vs. Braves money line you should be all over Thursday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.