joe-musgrove-padres.jpg
USATSI

A divisional matchup features the Atlanta Braves (93-49) and the Philadelphia Phillies (78-64) colliding on Monday afternoon. The Braves have already clinched a playoff berth and currently have a 15-game lead in the NL East. On the other side, Philadelphia is one of the three teams that own a Wild Card spot. The Phillies have hit the Under in 31 of their last 57 games, while the Braves have hit the Over in 11 of their last 15 games.

The first pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Atlanta is listed at -157 on the money line (risk $157 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Phillies odds. The over-under for total runs scored is 10. Before making any Phillies vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered Week 24 of the 2023 MLB season 77-58 (+220) on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 14-4 (+640). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Braves vs. Phillies and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Phillies vs. Braves:

  • Braves vs. Phillies moneyline: Atlanta -157, Philadelphia +134
  • Braves vs. Phillies run-line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-121)
  • Braves vs. Phillies over-under: 10 runs
  • ATL: The Atlanta Braves have hit the game total Over in 38 of their last 64 games
  • PHI: The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the money line in 13 of their last 16 games
  • Braves vs. Phillies picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Braves

Third baseman Austin Riley is a natural playmaker with great defensive instincts at the corner. Riley has great awareness and solid accuracy when tossing the ball across the diamond. The two-time All-Star also makes strong and consistent contact at the plate, batting .275 with 34 home runs and 85 RBI. He's smashed two solo home runs in two of the last three games.

Second baseman Ozzie Albies provides the Braves with a reliable switch-hitter. Albies has good pop in his swing and has great quickness defensively. He has a batting average of .266 with 29 home runs and 92 RBI. On Sept. 9 versus the Pittsburgh Pirates, Albies went 2-for-5 with two base hits and one RBI. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Phillies

Right fielder Nick Castellanos is a natural hitter at the dish. Castellanos owns good pitch recognition skills and has solid power to all parts of the field. The 31-year-old also has a strong throwing arm. His batting average is .270 with 22 home runs and 88 RBI. In Saturday's win against the Marlins, Castellanos went 2-for-3 with a double and two RBI.

Designated hitter Bryce Harper can make a serious impact as a hitter. Harper has a powerful swing with the strength to push the ball into any part of the field. The seven-time All-Star is hitting .294 with 15 dingers and 58 RBI. On Sept. 6 versus the San Diego Padres, he was 1-for-4 with a double and two runs driven in. See which team to back here.

How to make Braves vs. Phillies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 10.4 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Phillies vs. Braves, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 77-58 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.