Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 28: Pete Alonso among best bets for Wednesday HR player props

SportsLine's model is up 18.75 units on HR picks in the last 50 days. Use its MLB picks for sportsbook promotions like MLB parlay boosts

By Ryan Wooden

May 28, 2025 at 12:49 pm ET • 4 min read

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After going 16 games without a home run, New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso has gone yard in two of his last three games, and the two-time MLB Home Run Derby winner has hit home runs in bunches throughout his seven-year career. However, you can still find Alonso for as high as +375 in the latest MLB home runs odds from BetMGM, and the right-handed slugger will benefit from the wind blowing out to left field on Wednesday. We're recommending Alonso to hit a HR in our MLB home run parlay for today, and you can even build in some insurance on your first MLB HR bet with the latest BetMGM promo code.

Any first-time users interested in putting together MLB home run picks today can also enhance their experience with the latest DraftKings promo code or Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, just to name a few. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks and betting strategy. You can also see their best MLB hit props for Wednesday right here.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 18.75 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 50 days. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.

Best MLB home run picks for Wednesday, May 28:

Pete Alonso, Mets (+350)
Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+340)
Tyler Stephenson, Reds (+800)
Parlay these picks for +17720 odds at FanDuel (odds subject to change)

Pete Alonso, Mets (+375)

Alonso has been absolutely blistering the ball so far in 2025, with an average exit velocity of 94.5 mph and a hard-hit contact rate of 56.7%. Both rank 97th percentile or higher among MLB hitters and now that the home run drought is over, you can probably expect those impressive batted-ball metrics to bear more home run fruit. The model sets the line for Alonso to go yard at +330 and BetMGM is offering the best price here, but we're taking him at +360 on FanDuel because of some significant value later in our MLB HR parlay.

"You can get a relatively high price for Alonso to hit a HR today because White Sox SP, Shane Smith, does not allow many HRs. However, Smith doesn't often make it past the fifth inning, and the White Sox' bullpen has allowed the fifth most HRs in the majors," SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. "Alonso homered yesterday and has homered in two of his last three games played. He has nine of his 11 homers against right-handed pitchers and has been raking in day games (.329 avg and .999 OPS)." Check out the latest FanDuel promo code here.

Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+340, originally +400)

After rapidly climbing through the Texas minor league system after being drafted fourth overall in the 2023 MLB Draft, Langford hit 16 home runs in his rookie season and has taken another step forward as a power source in 2025. He's already hit 10 home runs this season despite missing a couple of weeks with an oblique strain in April.

"Langford is facing a rookie pitcher, Paxton Schultz, making his first career start. Schultz has been solid out of the bullpen from a numbers standpoint, but his statcast metrics indicate that he is performing better than expected," Fetner noted. "We set the line at +350 for Langford to homer." BetMGM once again has the best price but we're playing this at +340 on FanDuel for the purpose of our parlay.

Tyler Stephenson, Reds (+800)

Most books have this MLB HR prop listed between +450 and +575, so we're getting tremendous value here from FanDuel and that's why it's the site we're using to maximize value for this MLB home run parlay. Stephenson got off to a very slow start after spending a month on the injured list with an oblique strain of his own, but he's homered in two consecutive games now and he hit a career-high 19 home runs in 2024.

"While the sample size is small, Stephenson has hit lefties well in his 19 at bats against them this season. He has four extra-base hits and a 1.124 OPS against lefties in those limited at bats. Stephenson is a career .276 hitter against lefties, which means he has always seen the ball pretty well coming from that side," Fetner said.

Where to bet MLB props on Wednesday

Here is a look at sportsbooks that will offer MLB player props on Wednesday:

Sportsbook	Bonus offer	Promo code
Caesars promo code	Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets	CBSDYW
BetMGM	Up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses	CBSSPORTS
FanDuel	Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets if your first bet wins	No code required
DraftKings	Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets instantly	No code required
Fanatics	Bet and get up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets	No code required
bet365 promo code	Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets win or lose	CBSBET365