Teams looking to turn around their recent fortunes meet when the Atlanta Braves take on the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Wednesday. The Braves (46-47) have lost three of five, and are 2-2 on their current six-game home stand. The Padres (55-42), meanwhile, are 6-6 over their past 12 games and are third in the highly-competitive National League West. Both games of the doubleheader are scheduled for seven innings.
First pitch is set for 12:20 p.m. ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves lead the all-time series 360-281, including a 192-128 edge in home games. The Padres are a -125 favorite on the money line in the latest Padres vs. Braves odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Braves vs. Padres picks, check out the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, is 125-99 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 16 weeks in the 2021 season, returning over $600. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in its Padres vs. Braves picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Braves vs. Padres:
- Padres vs. Braves money line: San Diego -125, Atlanta +115
- Padres vs. Braves run line: San Diego -1.5
- Padres vs. Braves over-under: 7.5 runs
- SD: The Padres are 6-1 in their last seven opening games of a doubleheader
- ATL: The Braves have won eight of the last 10 games against San Diego
Why you should back the Braves
Atlanta is expected to start left-hander Kyle Muller (1-2, 3.45 ERA). Muller was solid in his last start despite picking up the loss. Against Miami on July 3, Muller allowed just three earned runs in a 3-2 loss to the Marlins. He walked four, while striking out seven. The start before that at Cincinnati, the rookie was sharp, not allowing a run in five innings. He walked two and struck out nine.
The Braves are a bit shorthanded with outfielder Ender Inciarte on the 10-day injured list and outfielder Ronald Acuna out for the year with a knee injury. Looking to pick up the slack on offense is veteran first baseman Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .284 with 22 homers, 55 RBIs and 65 runs scored. His home run on Tuesday was the difference in Atlanta's 2-1 win. He had a seven-game hitting streak snapped on Sunday against Tampa Bay. During the streak, Freeman was 13-for-26 with a double, four homers and eight RBIs. In 58 career games against the Padres, Freeman is hitting .311 with 17 doubles, two triples, 11 homers and 32 RBIs.
Why you should back the Padres
San Diego is expected to send right-hander Chris Paddack (5-6, 5.49 ERA) to the mound in Game 1. Paddack has won three of his last four decisions and is coming off a 24-8 win at Washington in his last start on Friday. He allowed four earned runs on five hits in five innings, walking two and striking out one. For the season, he has 83 strikeouts, while allowing just 19 walks.
The Padres entered the series by scoring 41 runs in the three-game series at Washington over the weekend. Third baseman Manny Machado has been one of the reasons for San Diego's offensive resurgence. Since the All-Star Game, he is 7-for-16 (.438) with two doubles, a home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .276 with 16 homers, 65 RBIs and 58 runs scored. He has a .492 slugging percentage and .851 OPS.
How to make Braves vs. Padres picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the run total, as the simulations project the teams will combine for 5.9 runs, and it also says one side of the money line has the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Padres vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned over $600 on MLB picks in 2021, and find out.
