The New York Yankees might be 9.5 games back in the AL East, but they currently own a wildcard spot. They'll be looking to complete a series sweep of another playoff team from a season ago on Thursday when they host the Mariners. Seattle managed 90 wins a season ago but are just 35-37 in 2023 and sit 4.5 games out of a wildcard position. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 41-33 and own a one-game cushion in the AL wildcard race thanks to a couple of victories to begin the series.
The game is slated to begin at 7:05 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. Seattle is listed as the -115 (risk $115 to win $100) favorite on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Mariners odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The Yankees are -105 underdogs, and the over/under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Mariners vs. Yankees picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has opened the 2023 MLB season on a 35-26 roll on all top-rated MLB picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Mariners and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Mariners vs. Yankees:
- Yankees vs. Mariners money line: Yankees -105, Mariners -115
- Yankees vs. Mariners run line: Yankees -1.5 (+185)
- Yankees vs. Mariners over/under: 7.5 runs
- NYY: The Yankees have won 14 of 18 at home against the Mariners
- SEA: The Under is 5-0-1 across the last six Mariners games
- Yankees vs. Mariners picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Yankees
New York will hand the ball to Domingo German on Thursday, and German has been excellent in three of his last four starts. He gave up six earned runs and struck out 15 over 19 innings in three starts prior to a seven-run blowup against the Red Sox last Friday.
German is 4-4 with a 4.30 ERA on the season and has 65 strikeouts over 69 innings. However, the Yankees' offense has been rudderless without Aaron Judge (toe). Nobody on the roster has an OPS above .796 outside of Judge and manufacturing runs will be critical in Thursday's matchup. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Mariners
The Mariners have been struggling so far this season. They rank 10th or worse in most major team statistical categories, and Jarred Kelenic is the only player on the roster with an OPS above .760. However, the pitching staff owns a collective 3.88 ERA, and their top five bullpen arms all have FIPs of 2.92 or lower.
With Judge out (toe), the Yankees have been struggling to score runs. Also, you can expect the Mariners to throw matchups at them with Woo having thrown 91 pitches or fewer in his three starts so far. If the game gets turned over to Seattle's bullpen then the Yankees could be in trouble as the Mariners' bullpen ERA of 3.52 is fourth-best in baseball. See which team to back here.
How to make Yankees vs. Mariners picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.8 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Yankees vs. Mariners, and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 35-26 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
