Yankees vs. Rays odds, line: MLB picks, predictions for May 19 from proven model on 97-73 roll

The New York Yankees look to retake first place in the AL East when they face the Tampa Bay Rays in the finale of a three-game series on Sunday. The Rays (27-16) lead the division over the Yankees (27-17) by just one-half game. The teams split the first two games, with New York rallying for three ninth-inning runs for a 4-3 victory on Friday, while the Rays outlasted the Yankees 2-1 in 11 innings on Saturday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The latest Rays vs. Yankees odds show Tampa Bay favored at -147 on the money line (risk $147 to win $100), while the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Yankees vs. Rays picks of your own, listen to the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks in multiple sports. It entered Week 8 of the MLB season on a strong 97-73 run on top-rated picks.

Now the model has dialed in on Rays vs. Yankees. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model knows that despite having over a dozen players on the Injured List, the Yankees had a four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday. New York has won the last four season series against Tampa Bay and is 14-5-2 all-time in season series against the Rays.

Second baseman Gleyber Torres has hit in seven straight games, going 10-for-26 during that span with three doubles, three home runs and four RBIs. Also red-hot is first baseman Luke Voit, who is 7-for-12 with two doubles, one home run and three RBIs over the past three games.

But just because New York is looking to seize control of the division does not mean it is the best value on the Rays vs. Yankees money line.

That's because Tampa Bay has won three of the last four games it's played at Yankee Stadium. The Rays will send right-hander Charlie Morton (4-0, 2.32 ERA) to the mound. It will be his first start against the Yankees as a member of the Rays, but he is 2-1 with a 4.10 ERA in four career starts against New York. Tampa Bay has one of the top pitching staffs in the majors and owns the statistical edge over the Yankees in ERA (2.85 to 3.70), walks allowed (116 to 140), strikeouts (420 to 407), opponent's batting average (.211 to .229) and WHIP (1.07 to 1.23).

Offensively, the Rays also have the edge in batting average (.254 to .252), on-base percentage (.334 to .328), hits (366 to 358), doubles (74 to 64) and triples (13 to 2). Outfielder Austin Meadows has three multi-hit games against the Yankees this season and is 8-for-21 against them, including three home runs, one double and four RBIs.

So who wins Rays vs. Yankees? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line you should be all over Sunday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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