Although Brandon Moreno wouldn't reveal his entire strategy for Saturday's UFC flyweight title fight, the top-ranked contender says he believes endurance could be a key factor and that he has an edge in that category. Moreno gets a chance to prove it when he faces rugged champion Deiveson Figueiredo in the main event of UFC 256 in Las Vegas. Their fight anchors the MMA showcase from the Apex facility, with the main UFC 256 fight card slated for 10 p.m. ET. Moreno noted this week that Figueiredo has never been past three rounds in his career, while Moreno has done so twice while going the full five rounds once.
Figueiredo is a -320 favorite (risk $320 to win $100), while Moreno is a +260 underdog in the latest Figueiredo vs. Moreno odds from William Hill Sportsbook. In the co-main event, third-ranked lightweight Tony Ferguson (-165) faces No. 7-ranked Charles Oliveira (+145). Before making UFC 256 picks of your own, make sure you check out the latest MMA predictions from SportsLine analyst Kyle Marley.
Marley won the first-ever "ToutMaster" UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event.
Over the past 22 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up more than $22,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on a massive run in 2020 as he has hit on 24 of his last UFC 33 main-event selections, a stretch that includes a streak of five straight underdogs.
At UFC Fight Night last weekend, Marley's winners included advising SportsLine members to back Jamahal Hill (-170) against Ovince Saint Preux (+150) in a clash of light heavyweight contenders in the co-main event. Marley reasoned that Hill's explosive speed and power would lead to a knockout victory, and was proven correct when the No. 15-ranked Hill unleashed a flurry that led to a first-round stoppage. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up.
Now, UFC 256 Vettori fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available here.
Figueiredo vs. Moreno preview
Marley knows the main event is one of the biggest in the history of the flyweight division. With another impressive victory, Figueiredo (20-1) will cement his rapid transformation from relative unknown to one of the most dominant active champions in the UFC. Conversely, Moreno (18-5-1) could top off his own blistering rise up the UFC rankings by becoming a champion in his first title bout.
The sinister Figueiredo has done an about-face in the eyes of many MMA observers who soured on him when he missed weight for an interim title fight against former top-ranked contender Joseph Benavidez in February. Figueiredo earned a second-round stoppage, but the victory came with muted credibility because of the weight issue along with an accidental headbutt that appeared to rock Benavidez before he was stopped.
However, an immediate rematch was ordered, and this time Figueiredo made weight and stopped Benavidez in the first round of their July matchup to give him the undisputed title. The well-rounded Brazilian then made fast work of fourth-ranked Alex Perez three weeks ago with another first-round stoppage.
Moreno has been on a roll of his own following a 2-2 start to his tenure under the UFC brand. The 27-year-old Mexican fighter brings a five-fight unbeaten streak to the Octagon and will be looking for his third victory in 2020. You can only see Marley's coveted Moreno vs. Figueiredo picks here.
Top UFC 256 predictions
We'll share one of Marley's UFC 256 selections here: He is supporting Kevin Holland (-120) to earn a decision victory against accomplished veteran Ronaldo Souza (+110) in a middleweight clash.
There is a groundswell of support for Holland (20-5) to perhaps earn Fighter of the Year honors should he pull off a victory Saturday, which would be his fifth of 2020. The well-rounded prospect has used his availability and willingness to fight during the ever-changing pandemic landscape to win four fights in five months, three coming via stoppage. The 28-year-old Texan stopped Charlie Ontiveros in the first round of their October bout.
Souza (26-8), 41, is widely considered an active UFC icon and one of the promotion's best fighters to have never won or competed for a title belt, but the Brazilian slugger has consistently held his own while facing a gauntlet of world-class competition. His previous outing resulted in a razor-thin split decision against Jan Blachowicz, who has since become the light heavyweight champion.
"Both are capable of getting a knockout and are solid on the ground," Marley told SportsLine. "This is a close fight on the feet, but I give the edge to Holland."
How to make UFC 256 picks
Marley also has strong picks for Figueiredo vs. Moreno and every other bout on the UFC 256 card. He's also backing one fighter "who can beat anyone in the world" to score a monster upset. Those selections are only available here.
Who wins Figueiredo vs. Moreno? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 256, all from the incomparable expert who's up more than $22,000 on MMA in the past 22 months, and find out.
UFC 256 odds, fight card
Deiveson Figueiredo (-320) vs. Brandon Moreno (+260)
Tony Ferguson (-165) vs. Charles Oliveira (+145)
Rafael Fiziev (-150) vs. Renato Moicano (+130)
Kevin Holland (-120) vs. Ronaldo Souza (+110)
Ciryl Gane (-440) vs. Junior Dos Santos (+360)
Daniel Pineda (-145) vs. Cub Swanson (+125)
Mackenzie Dern (-180) vs. Virna Jandiroba (+160)
Billy Quarantillo (-140) vs. Gavin Tucker (+120)
Sergey Spivak (-230) vs Jared Vanderaa (+195)
Chase Hooper (-420) vs. Peter Barrett (+340)