2019 NASCAR at Kansas expert picks, Playoffs predictions, odds: Fade Brad Keselowski in Hollywood Casino 400

The field of potential winners of the 2019 NASCAR Monster Energy Cup will be reduced from 12 to eight on Sunday when the NASCAR Playoffs hits Kansas Speedway for the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400. The Kansas race is the third and final leg in the Round of 12. Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney already are locked into the Round of Eight by virtue of their wins in the first two legs of the Round of 12. Sportsbooks list Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr., both 9-2, as the co-favorites in the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, followed by Kyle Busch (5-1), Chase Elliott (6-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1) and Joey Logano (8-1). The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET. With so much at stake and so many drivers capable of winning, you need to check out the 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 picks and predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2019 Hollywood Casino 400 picks of your own.

Those who have wagered $100 on Roberts' winning pick for each of the NASCAR races in 2019 are up $1,400. In fact, those who put down $50 on Roberts' top-four leaderboard picks are up $2,750 on the year, buoyed by Alex Bowman's big win at Chicago at 30-1 odds -- Roberts had the huge underdog in his top four. One of his top four picks has won six of the last nine races, including Denny Hamlin (12-1) at Bristol, Erik Jones (16-1) at Darlington and Elliott (8-1) at Charlotte Motor Speedway's Roval road course.

Roberts got 2019 off to a blazing start, calling 25-1 longshot Jimmie Johnson's win in the Advance Auto Parts Clash. At the TicketGuardian 500, Roberts nailed Busch at 4-1 over the heavily favored Harvick, and at Dover he won with Truex at 8-1. Truex won despite starting at the back of the field.

Roberts' top 20 leaderboard has been on top of it, too. At the TicketGuardian 500, he nailed an eye-popping eight of the top 10. At the Auto Club 400, he got nine of the top 10 correct.

Roberts entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018. Those who wagered $100 on each of his picks last year saw $1,750 in profit. Anyone who's following his picks is up huge year after year. 

Now Roberts has analyzed the field and the odds for Sunday's Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas. He's sharing his winner and top 20 leaderboard only at SportsLine.

We can tell you Roberts is fading Brad Keselowski, the co-fifth choice in the Hollywood Casino 400 odds, at 8-1. Roberts has Keselowski ranked 10th on his leaderboard.

"He's a two-time winner at Kansas, including the May race, but he hasn't won a race since," Roberts told SportsLine. "That was his third win of the season, and at the time it appeared Team Penske had a huge edge with the new package. But Joe Gibbs Racing and Kevin Harvick of Stewart-Haas Racing have passed them by, and to some degree so has Hendrick Motorsports. They all got better while Keselowski and Logano stayed the same."

There are far better values than Keselowski on the Hollywood Casino 400 odds board.

However, Roberts is extremely high on a double-digit long shot who has been outstanding with this week's race package. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big.

So who wins the Hollywood Casino 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

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