2019 NASCAR at Richmond picks, Playoffs predictions, odds: Fade Kurt Busch in Federated Auto Parts 400

Only 12 drivers will advance past the first round of the 2019 NASCAR Playoffs, which continues Saturday with the 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET. This is the second of three races this round, and pressure is mounting on Ryan Newman, Kurt Busch, Clint Bowyer and Erik Jones. They're all below the cut-line with only this race and Charlotte to go. Sportsbooks list defending champion Kyle Busch as the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds, followed by last week's winner Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Kevin Harvick (6-1), Denny Hamlin (6-1), Joey Logano (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Chase Elliott (16-1), Erik Jones (16-1), Kyle Larson (14-1) and Clint Bowyer (20-1). With so much at stake and so many drivers capable of winning, check out the NASCAR at Richmond picks and predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks of your own.

Those who have wagered $100 on Roberts' winning pick for each of the 29 NASCAR races in 2019 are up $1,800. In fact, those who put down $50 on Roberts' top-four leaderboard picks are up $2,350 on the year, buoyed by Alex Bowman's big win at Chicago at 30-1 odds -- Roberts had the huge underdog in his top four. He's hit on five of the last seven races, including Denny Hamlin (12-1) at Bristol and Erik Jones (16-1) at Darlington.

Roberts got 2019 off to a blazing start, calling 25-1 long shot Jimmie Johnson's win in the Advance Auto Parts Clash. At the TicketGuardian 500, Roberts nailed Kyle Busch at 4-1 over the heavily favored Kevin Harvick, and at Dover he won with Martin Truex Jr. at 8-1. Truex won despite starting at the back of the field.

Roberts' top 20 leaderboard has been on top of it, too. At the TicketGuardian 500, he nailed an eye-popping eight of the top 10. At the Auto Club 400, he got nine of the top 10 correct.

Roberts entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018. Those who wagered $100 on each of his picks last year saw $1,750 in profit. Anyone who's following his picks is up huge year after year. 

Now Roberts has analyzed the field and the odds for Saturday night's Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway. He's sharing his winner and top-20 leaderboard over at SportsLine.

We can tell you Roberts is fading Kurt Busch even though he's desperate for a NASCAR at Richmond win to stay in the playoff chase.

"He's got two wins in 37 Richmond starts, the last coming in 2015," Roberts told SportsLine. "His only top-five using the 750 HP package was a runner-up finish at Bristol in April."

There are far better values than Kurt Busch on the Federated Auto Parts 400 odds board.

Roberts, however, is extremely high on a massive long shot who's primed to contend using the 750-HP package. He has used the package nine times and finished in the Top 5 in all but three of those races. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

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