Homestead-Miami Speedway has become one of Kyle Busch's favorite tracks in recent years, and it's a perfect place for the reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion to pick up his first victory of the season. Busch has finished in the top six in his last five starts at Homestead, winning in 2015 and 2019 while posting a runner-up performance in 2017. The 35-year-old looks to defend his crown when he gets behind the wheel for the 2020 DIxie Vodka 400 on Sunday. Busch, who was 19th at Martinsville on Wednesday night, has yet to take the checkered flag in 2020 but has been runner-up three times and finished in the top five in six of his 11 starts.

Busch is listed at 5-1, while Kevin Harvick is the 9-2 favorite in the latest 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 odds from William Hill. Martin Truex Jr. (5-1), Chase Elliott (13-2) and Brad Keselowski (17-2) round out the top five 2020 NASCAR at Miami contenders. The NASCAR at Homestead green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET. You'll want to check out the 2020 NASCAR at Miami predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 picks.

Roberts is among the nation's premier NASCAR betting experts, and his top pick won the first two races of the 2020 season. In the season-opening Daytona 500, he nailed Denny Hamlin's win at 10-1 odds, and he hit eventual winner Logano at 13-2  in the Pennzoil 400 a week later. He also nailed the victory by Hamlin, who wasn't one of the top three favorites, in the Toyota 500 last month.

Roberts also crushed the 2019 NASCAR season. Those who wagered $100 on his predicted winner in each of the 40 NASCAR races last year (an investment of $4,000) finished with a strong profit of $2,100. In addition, those who put down $50 on each of Roberts' top four choices in each of those races (an investment of $8,000) were up a head-turning $3,400. Anyone who has followed his NASCAR picks is up huge year after year.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's 2020 NASCAR at Miami race. He's sharing his winner and leaderboard right here.

2020 NASCAR at Miami expert predictions

One shocker: Roberts is low on Joey Logano, even though he's one of the top 2020 Dixie Vodka 400 contenders at 10-1. In fact, Roberts says Logano, a two-time winner this season who has won just once in 11 career starts at Homestead, barely cracks the top 10.

"He won at Las Vegas (in February) with a late pit strategy while using this week's race package, but he hasn't looked as good as his Team Penske teammates with it," Roberts told SportsLine.

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Ryan Blaney, a long shot at 12-1 in the latest 2020 NASCAR at Homestead odds. The 26-year-old has come close to recording his fourth career Cup Series victory, posting four top-four finishes in his last five starts, including a runner-up at Martinsville on Wednesday night. Three of those top-fours came while using this week's race package, as he finished third in both events at Charlotte last month and fourth at Atlanta last Sunday. 

"He's looking for the first top-10 finish at Homestead of his career and should get it based on his last three starts using this week's race package," Roberts told SportsLine.

How to make 2020 NASCAR at Miami picks

Roberts also is high on a dark horse who "might be in store for his best finish ever" at Miami. This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400? And which massive long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2020 NASCAR at Miami leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2020 NASCAR at Miami odds (via William Hill)

Kevin Harvick 9-2
Kyle Busch 5-1
Martin Truex Jr. 5-1
Chase Elliott 13-2
Brad Keselowski 17-2
Alex Bowman 10-1
Denny Hamlin 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Jimmie Johnson 22-1
Kurt Busch 25-1
William Byron 35-1
Erik Jones 40-1
Clint Bowyer 50-1
Matt Kenseth 75-1
Tyler Reddick 75-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Matt DiBenedetto 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Christopher Bell 125-1
Austin Dillon 125-1
Ryan Newman 125-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Bubba Wallace 300-1
Chris Buescher 500-1
John Hunter Nemechek 500-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Ryan Preece 1000-1
Josh Bilicki 2000-1
Timmy Hill 2000-1
Michael McDowell 2000-1
Reed Sorenson 2000-1
Daniel Suarez 2000-1
Joey Gase 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Corey LaJoie 5000-1
Brennan Poole 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
J.J. Yeley 5000-1