Kansas Speedway sprang out of the ground in 2001 on 1,200 acres of flat land outside of Kansas City, and quickly became a favored spot by NASCAR drivers due to its quick racing line and 17-to-20-degree turns framing its 1.5-mile tri-oval. Twenty years later, Kansas Speedway begins celebrating its 20th anniversary with Sunday's 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400. Current points leader Denny Hamlin, who has won three times at Kansas in his career, seemingly is celebrating the milestone via his 20th starting position in the middle of the 39-driver field when the green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET.

Can Hamlin, who is the 9-2 favorite in the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 on William Hill Sportsbook, break the logjam with other three-time Kansas winners Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano? And what about Martin Truex Jr. at 11-2, or Harvick, Brad Keselowski or Ryan Blaney at 8-1 on the NASCAR at Kansas odds board? Before you scour the Buschy McBusch 2021 starting lineup and make any NASCAR at Kansas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

During the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in four of the last seven races. Two weeks ago, it had Martin Truex Jr. at the top of its projected leaderboard at Martinsville, nailing his victory for a 3-1 payout. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 leaderboard.

Top 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 predictions

One shocker: the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 12-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Kansas odds 2021. Busch a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Although he is still searching for his first victory this season, Busch enters Sunday's 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 ranked 11th in the NASCAR Cup Series standings.

A 57-time race winner and two-time former NASCAR Cup Series champion, Busch has come close several times this year. Busch has five top-10s this season, including a third-place run at Las Vegas. Busch has a strong history at Kansas Speedway, winning the 2016 spring race there as part of eight top-5s and 12 top-10s in 26 appearances. The Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota is always fast, and Busch -- who starts ninth Sunday -- is in prime position to win big at the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400.

And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, the Vegas favorite at 9-2, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Buschy McBusch 400 starting lineup. Hamlin has won two of the last three races at Kansas Speedway and will enter Sunday as the points leader with eight top-five finishes already this season.

However, he doesn't have a win yet this year and has also finished 14th or worse at Kansas Speedway in three of his last five starts there. That includes a disappointing 15th-place finish at the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 despite the fact that he led 58 laps. He also finished 32nd last week at Talladega despite leading 43 laps, making 9-2 a steep price to pay for Sunday.

How to make 2021 NASCAR at Kansas picks

The model is also targeting one other driver with 2021 NASCAR at Kansas odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Kansas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 leaderboard, all from the model that called at least seven of the top 10 drivers in four of the last seven races and nailed Martin Truex Jr.'s win at Martinsville

2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 odds 

Denny Hamlin 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Kyle Larson 11-2
Kevin Harvick 8-1
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Ryan Blaney 8-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Kyle Busch 12-1
William Byron 20-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Christopher Bell 30-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Tyler Reddick 60-1
Matt DiBenedetto 80-1
Aric Almirola 80-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Ryan Newman 125-1
Bubba Wallace 200-1
Cole Custer 200-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Erik Jones 200-1
Daniel Suarez 250-1
Austin Cindric 300-1
Michael McDowell 300-1
Ross Chastain 300-1
Chase Briscoe 500-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
Anthony Alfredo 2500-1
Justin Haley 2500-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Matt Mills 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Joey Gase 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1