Known as "The Track Too Tough to Tame," the egg-shaped Darlington Raceway will celebrate its 71st season of NASCAR Cup Series competition on Sunday with the 2021 Goodyear 400. The 1.366-mile asphalt track has welcomed the very best of the sport to victory lane, and 37 drivers will try to get there when the green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET. Brad Keselowski earned the 2021 NASCAR at Darlington pole via NASCAR's performance-metrics formula, with Kevin Harvick beside him in the front row.

Las Vegas winner Kyle Larson is at 4-1 atop the latest 2021 NASCAR at Darlington odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Denny Hamlin is at 9-2, Harvick is 11-2 and Keselowski is 15-2 in the 2021 Goodyear 400 odds. Before you scour the 2021 Goodyear 400 starting lineup and make any NASCAR at Darlington predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Goodyear 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

During the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in four of the last seven races. Last month, it had Martin Truex Jr. at the top of its projected leaderboard at Martinsville, nailing his victory for a 3-1 payout. Last week, the model was high on eventual winner Kyle Busch at Kansas. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2021 Goodyear 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2021 Goodyear 400 leaderboard.

Top 2021 Goodyear 400 predictions

One shocker: the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he's a 22-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Darlington odds 2021. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 27-year-old Team Penske driver already has a victory this season and is ranked fifth in the NASCAR Cup Series standings.

Blaney struggled in the season-opening Daytona 500 en route to a 30th-place finish, but rebounded three weeks later with a fifth at Las Vegas. Two weeks later, Blaney earned his fifth Cup Series victory by winning the Folds Of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta. Blaney has been to the front at Darlington before, too, finishing third in the 2019 Xfinity Series race there. That experience will serve Blaney well Sunday, and he should be considered among your 2021 Goodyear 400 bets, according to the model.

Another massive surprise: Denny Hamlin, one of the Vegas favorites at 9-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Goodyear 400 starting lineup. Hamlin is 87 points clear of second place atop the NASCAR standings thanks to eight top-five finishes. However, he's still winless on the season and he's been a little off his game of late.

Hamlin finished 32nd at Talladega two weeks ago despite leading 42 laps and wound up sliding back to 12th last week in Kansas despite leading as well. While he had a win at Darlington in 2020, he's also finished outside the top 10 in two of his last four starts there.

How to make 2021 NASCAR at Darlington picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2021 NASCAR at Darlington odds longer than 15-1 to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Goodyear 400 2021? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Darlington odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Goodyear 400 leaderboard, all from the model that called at least seven of the top 10 drivers in four of the last eight races and nailed Martin Truex Jr.'s win at Martinsville

2021 Goodyear 400 odds 

Kyle Larson 4-1
Denny Hamlin 9-2
Kevin Harvick 11-2
Martin Truex Jr. 13-2
Kyle Busch 13-2
Brad Keselowski 15-2
Chase Elliott 10-1
Joey Logano 15-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
William Byron 22-1
Ryan Blaney 22-1
Christopher Bell 25-1
Kurt Busch 30-1
Tyler Reddick 40-1
Matt DiBenedetto 60-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Aric Almirola 75-1
Erik Jones 100-1
Ryan Newman 150-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 250-1
Cole Custer 250-1
Daniel Suarez 250-1
Bubba Wallace 250-1
Michael McDowell 300-1
Ross Chastain 300-1
Chase Briscoe 500-1
Ryan Preece 750-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Justin Haley 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Anthony Alfredo 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1