Kyle Larson has recorded just one NASCAR Cup Series victory this season after amassing 10 en route to the championship last year, but he has been in the mix often. The 30-year-old is second among all drivers this season with nine top-five finishes and is tied for third place with 12 top-10s in 23 starts. Larson will hope to add to those numbers and capture his first checkered flag since February when he participates in the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Beginning with a runner-up in September 2016, Larson has posted a top-10 finish in seven of his last 10 starts at Richmond, including a victory at NASCAR at Richmond in 2017.

Larson is listed at 10-1, while Martin Truex Jr., last year's race winner, is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Denny Hamlin, Christopher Bell and Kyle Busch are 7-1, while Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliott round out the top 2022 NASCAR at Richmond contenders at 10-1. You'll want to check out the NASCAR at Richmond predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 picks of your own.

Roberts, a former Vegas bookmaker, was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting, and now hands out NASCAR winners to his followers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Elliott, won the Jockey Made in America 250 last season.

He also correctly predicted the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 winner, hitting Larson's victory at 11-2 odds, and was on point by targeting Elliott as the winner of the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at 8-5 odds the previous week. In addition, Roberts nailed last year's GEICO 500 when he predicted Brad Keselowski to win at 14-1 odds. Anyone who has followed his picks has cashed tickets.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Richmond 2022 race and just locked in his picks and best bets. He's only sharing his winner and projected leaderboard at SportsLine.

2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 expert picks

One shocker: Roberts is low on Elliott, even though he's one of the top 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 contenders. In fact, Roberts says Elliott, who leads all drivers with four victories this season, doesn't even crack the top 10.

"Elliott has an 11th-place average finish," Roberts told SportsLine regarding his Cup Series career at Richmond. "His team struggled in the first three races (of the season) on flat tracks."

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds. The 46-year-old Californian ended his 65-race winless streak last weekend at Michigan with his 59th career Cup Series victory, which leaves him one behind Kyle Busch for ninth place on the all-time list. Harvick, who was runner-up at Richmond in April, has won this race twice and owns 10 victories, 37 top-five finishes and 52 top-10s in 74 starts at the track across all three NASCAR series. He has been in the top 10 in 12 of his last 15 Cup Series races at Richmond, with nine of those finishes being top-fives.

"He has a 9.9 average finish in 42 Cup Series starts at Richmond with three wins, 16 top-fives and 1,180 laps led," Roberts told SportsLine. "Why not win two straight now that the monkey is off your back?" You can see who else to pick here.

How to make 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 predictions

Roberts is high on a massive long shot who has performed well at Richmond his entire career. This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2022 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 race odds, field, top contenders, starting lineup

See full NASCAR at Richmond picks, predictions, best bets here.
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Christopher Bell 7-1
Kyle Busch 7-1
Denny Hamlin 7-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Kyle Larson 10-1
Ross Chastain 14-1
William Byron 15-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Joey Logano 15-1
Bubba Wallace 15-1
Tyler Reddick 17-1
Alex Bowman 22-1
Chase Briscoe 25-1
Ty Gibbs 30-1
Daniel Suarez 30-1
Aric Almirola 40-1
Austin Dillon 50-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Cindric 75-1
Brad Keselowski 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Cole Custer 250-1
Noah Gragson 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 2000-1
Landon Cassill 2500-1
Corey LaJoie 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
J.J. Yeley 5000-1